The test flight of the starship exploded into a fireball, but Musk said it was a success. What happened?

Many people have good expectations and want to go to Mars. Our research on Mars is getting deeper and deeper, and we also think that we can immigrate to Mars after a certain technology develops to a certain extent within a certain period of time, and we can also let many people immigrate to Mars, because Mars can also make us live better and have suitable conditions. Is it unrealistic for 1 10,000 people to immigrate to Mars? I think this is realistic in the future for three reasons:

One reason is that technology will be more and more developed in the future, which will allow us to emigrate. Our science and technology will develop faster and faster, and will be applied to practice faster and faster, so that we can use science and technology to create more conditions for our immigrants and have the conditions and strength for immigration. This is very possible, and I think the probability is relatively high, because we are really developing science and technology, and the research on Mars is getting deeper and deeper.

The second reason is that our research on Mars is getting deeper and deeper, which enables us to emigrate. Our research on Mars is getting deeper and deeper, and we have made great research on the living environment and living conditions on Mars. We believe that people can live on Mars, and we can live better there. As long as we have certain skills of emigrating to Mars, and the conditions on Mars are not much different from those on Earth, if we have this condition, we will be able to emigrate to Mars and live on Mars.

The third reason is that we can immigrate ourselves with our own skills. We have powerful technology, and we can also use it to create many favorable conditions for ourselves. In particular, we can use technology to immigrate ourselves without wasting these technologies.

In an interview with reporters, Musk also said that when the starship was not launched, he probably estimated that the success rate of this test flight was only about 1/3, which means that there is a 60% probability of an accident in this test flight. This result also proves that Musk's inference is correct. In fact, when the spacecraft was flying, the overall situation was still very good, especially when it took off, and nothing was found.

The accident happened during the descent of the spaceship. During the descent of the spacecraft, it is necessary to keep burning to maintain the thrust, so that the spacecraft will not fall freely at a very fast speed. However, during the descent, the engine of the spacecraft broke down. The spaceship was originally equipped with three engines, but two of them suddenly broke down. In fact, the research team of the spacecraft must have some backup plans, which will be re-ignited according to the instructions of the system in case of failure.