Job Recruitment Website - Ranking of immigration countries - The United States released water to harvest the world, and the Turkish currency depreciated sharply. Who's next?
The United States released water to harvest the world, and the Turkish currency depreciated sharply. Who's next?
1, bonus hunter Water Law, USA.
The bonus hunter Act of the United States has been implemented for nearly 65,438+000 years. The trick is simple. Release the dollar first, then tighten it, and then bargain-hunting. It has been this game for so many years, playing enlightened plunder naked, and all countries in the world can't escape except a few. The only one who can escape is China;
Therefore, for the United States, fattening a sheep means killing it anyway.
Do you know how annoying it is that the other person can't eat fat?
Let's look at the global monetary policy first. Almost since 2008, it has been in a state of substantial easing. In fact, the contraction and interest rate increase in the middle did not last long. In addition, this wave of dollars has flooded like a mountain, so once reversed, asset bubbles all over the world are risky.
At present, the situation is still in the rhythm of "creating austerity expectations" in the United States. The adjustment of financial cycle will not be a sharp turn. There is a process that is extremely loose now. To turn to austerity, there will be several stages: 1 The first step is to create austerity expectations, the second step is to reduce the scale of easing, the third step may be to increase or decrease the scale, the fourth step is to stop easing, and the next step is to start raising interest rates slightly.
But now, just as expected, people have been afraid that the day of austerity will come sooner or later.
It's like seeing a robber coming, and the robber directly scared himself to pee before robbing you;
I am afraid of being used by bonus hunter countries to save myself.
So we can see that Russia and Turkey have started the austerity mode of raising interest rates. What is the reason for this wave of operation?
To put it bluntly, it's simple. We want to protect ourselves. Everyone is expecting that the dollar will be tightened in the next step to prevent hot money from coming in and out. It feels like riding a roller coaster. This is why everyone has no choice but to raise interest rates.
By the way, what is hot money?
Once Britain and the United States began to print money and carry out quantitative easing (the dollar maintained a low interest rate policy), the dollar depreciated sharply. Then people will borrow a lot when they see that the US dollar interest rate is so low. At this time, the rich will find that the dollar has depreciated and the low interest rate policy is unprofitable, so they will change the dollar into other currencies and invest overseas. This kind of investment is called hot money;
Once the hot money flows in, it will force other countries to follow the example of the United States to issue money, and most of these money will flow into the stock market or real estate, causing the stock market and real estate to skyrocket.
Faced with this situation, many countries have no choice at all. The only way to avoid being defeated by bonus hunter is to keep foreign exchange stable. Then there are only two ways: strong foreign exchange reserves and raising interest rates in advance to maintain exchange rate stability.
The disadvantages of doing so are also obvious. In the stage of economic recovery, it is tantamount to suicide, which may lead to the collapse of foreign exchange, stock market and bond market, and the property market may also be dangerous.
If you really can't do it yourself, America may even skin you twice.
This is the form of interest rate hikes and inflation in various countries in June this year (5438+065438+ 10):
South Korea raised interest rates by 25 basis points, with an interest rate of 0.75% and inflation of 3.2%;
Turkey raised interest rates by 875-200 basis points, with interest rate 16% and inflation19.89%;
Zimbabwe raised interest rates by 2,000 basis points, with an interest rate of 60% and inflation of 54.49%;
Venezuela raised interest rates by 575 basis points, with an interest rate of 54.06% and inflation of1.946%;
Norway raised interest rates by 25 basis points, with an interest rate of 0.25% and inflation of 4.1%;
New Zealand raised interest rates by 25 basis points, with an interest rate of 0.5% and inflation of 4.9%;
Mexico raised interest rates by 75 basis points, with an interest rate of 4.75% and inflation of 6%;
Ukraine raised interest rates by 250 basis points, with an interest rate of 8.5% and inflation of11%;
Poland raised interest rates by 50 basis points, with interest rate 1.25% and inflation of 6.8%;
Singapore raised interest rates by 7 basis points, with an interest rate of 0.07% and inflation of 2.5%.
Russia raised interest rates by 325 basis points, with an interest rate of 7.5% and inflation of 8.13%;
Brazil raised interest rates by 575 basis points, with an interest rate of 7.75% and inflation of10.25%;
It's terrible. Looking around the world, many countries have entered a cycle of high inflation and high interest rates. This is a war without a bloody blade. In the final analysis, the purpose of waging war is to plunder resources and wealth. In a civilized society, everyone solves this problem in a more civilized way, but they are also robbers.
3. How can we avoid being plundered by wealth?
The U.S. imperialists have made it clear that they want to raise interest rates and tighten, and everyone knows that. Why can't they escape?
To put it bluntly, what matters is the strength of the cards, which can basically determine who should get how many points.
Bonus hunter's means: double cycle of interest rate reduction and interest rate increase;
Such a complete cycle of "raising and lowering interest rates+buying and selling assets" is completed.
Few countries can withstand such a man-made tsunami. In essence, the United States can control the world and get the wool of the world, because no country can surpass its comprehensive strength, and it will be beaten if it falls behind. This is always an unchangeable truth. This fierce meal will directly rob a country of decades of labor achievements. Compared with this, we have the advantages of the whole manufacturing industry chain, but there is still a long way to go on the road of high technology.
Now the United States is facing serious inflation, why not raise interest rates?
The excessive rise in the exchange rate of the US dollar was deliberately created by the Federal Reserve. To put it bluntly, this is the layout of the United States for decades. Their current national policy is quantitative easing and super-issuance of dollars. If the rhythm is suddenly interrupted and the interest rate is raised, it will deviate from the national policy, and the dollar export plunder plan will be interrupted and the harvest will not be completed. Compared with the national policy of harvesting the world's wealth, today's inflation is nothing at all, which is why the United States has been trying to force us to buy their national debt. In the final analysis, it is not to solve the problem of too many dollars.
The United States is convinced that no matter how much the dollar is oversold, someone will always pay the bill. As a result, China didn't buy it at all this time and made up his mind not to harvest the United States. This is the reason for the unprecedented inflation in the United States.
If we don't buy this bill, Wall Street and the Federal Reserve will try their best to force western countries to buy it in order to save the market, then before the return of the dollar, western countries will definitely force us to death, and then those small countries will basically be unable to feed the United States. Then western Europe, Japan and South Korea came to save the United States. This has been staged several times, every time it is a routine, and every time there are corpses everywhere;
At that time, the United States will swear to oppress all rich countries, and the relationship between the United States, Japan and South Korea and Western Europe will be tense again. Only a fool wants to be harvested by America?
So selling out teammates will follow. At that time, the contradiction between Japan and South Korea should be encountered, the EU will split again, and the United States will be isolated again. At that time, China was looking for a chance to clean up the mess.
The fact of this analysis is that quantitative easing in the United States will be very isolated before the dollar begins to flow back. But as long as they can survive and wait until internal conflicts break out, the external environment will be completely relieved.
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