Did Hawking's prediction come true?

Hawking's prediction has not yet come true.

In the history of science, there have been four famous gambling games around black holes, and Hawking participated in three times, but unfortunately, he lost all of them: Hawking participated in the first bet on whether Scorpio X- 1 can contain the black hole in 1975, and Hawking finally gave up;

The second time was at 199 1. Whether Hawking and Thorne and Preskill naked singularity could exist, Hawking lost again. The third note is 1977. Hawking and Preskill bet whether black holes can destroy all the information they swallow. Hawking publicly admitted defeat in 2004.

Hawking predicted in the book "The Universe in the Shell" that in 20 years, a computer worth $65,438+0,000 pounds will be as complex as the human brain. Now it is not far from this deadline, but this vision is still far away and full of helplessness.

Hawking also predicted that some of us may get a complete unified theory in our lifetime, as long as human beings do not destroy themselves. Fortunately, human beings have not yet come to their own destruction, but this unified theory still stays in the model of quantum mechanics, M theory, borderless universe and so on, and there is no way to break through.

When talking about the limits of human wisdom, Hawking said that the size of the human brain is limited by the birth canal. He predicted that in 100 years, human beings will be able to raise babies outside the human body.

The author has a strong feeling that this prediction can be realized. If the great women with self-esteem and self-improvement can't be liberated from trivial childbirth when the 22 nd century comes, the biomedical field is really ashamed of the women in Jiangdong.

20 16 according to Russian media reports, the famous British physicist Stephen? Professor Hawking said in a recent speech at Oxford University that human beings can survive in the world for less than a thousand years.

Hawking also detailed the threats that may lead to human extinction. Due to the development of genetic engineering virus or artificial intelligence, human life may die in nuclear war.

Hawking said: "There is no future for human beings unless they fly into space. So I want to arouse public interest in going to space, and I will train to fly there. "

Hawking said in a speech in Los Angeles that in the next 1000 years, it is almost certain that the earth will be destroyed by a catastrophe, such as nuclear war or greenhouse effect. Therefore, he stressed that human beings must migrate to other planets. Griffin, director of NASA, also said that species on a single planet cannot survive forever.

In the solar system, besides the earth, Mars is the best choice for human habitation. However, it will take decades for manned exploration of Mars to be implemented, and it will take 450 days for a round trip.

Hawking said: "Human extinction is possible, but not inevitable. I am an optimist. I believe that the development and progress of science and technology can eventually bring mankind out of the solar system and reach more distant places in the universe. "

Hawking has repeatedly said that "the complete development of artificial intelligence may lead to the demise of mankind."

According to Hawking, artificial intelligence technology does bring convenience to human life in the initial stage of development, but machines are likely to redesign themselves at an increasingly fast speed. However, human beings are limited by the speed of biological evolution, unable to compete with it and eventually surpassed. This turning point of artificial intelligence beyond human intelligence was named "singularity" by the scientific community.

There are all kinds of news about Hawking's predictions on the Internet, but many of them are debatable. Many are just for hype, and some predictions are not made by Hawking at all, but Mr. Hawking's predictions are really unreliable.

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Stephen william hawking (1942 65438+1October 8 to 201March 08 14), male, was born in Oxford, England, a famous physicist at Cambridge University, one of the greatest physicists in modern times and one of the great men with international reputation in the 20th century.