Is it good or bad for Britain to leave the EU?

No matter what Britain's plan is, as an outcast, other EU countries have reacted violently.

Germany is relatively mild. France and Italy solemnly warned Britain before the British referendum, and a French cabinet minister even declared that if Britain voted to leave the European Union, Britain would become an insignificant island.

Why did the French react so strongly to Brexit? On the one hand, Britain's withdrawal from the EU seems to be a major blow to the European integration advocated by France in the short term. On the other hand, as we said before, France allowed Britain to join the European Union in order to balance the powerful German forces. France will be lonely after Britain leaves. Even if it unites Italy and Spain, it can't resist the potential threats from Germany and the Nordic countries that often unite around Germany.

From then on, within the EU, Germany's central position formed since the Greek crisis will be strengthened, France will yield to Germany's powerful economic influence more, and the balance of mutual borrowing between Germany and France will be reversed.

In foreign policy, France once exerted geopolitical influence on foreign countries as a political power with the help of Germany's economic strength. In the future, Germany will rely on the strength of an economic power and use France's political status to exert its strength and influence abroad. This is psychologically unacceptable to France and even Italy and Spain. Therefore, these countries all expressed regret, disappointment and even sadness.

Many people think that Russia is an outsider in this incident. Because the European Union has shrunk and its strength has weakened, it is no longer full of confrontation when dealing with Russia in the future, but more of compromise and concession. Of course, this is only a short-term impact. In the long run, after Britain's withdrawal, the EU will be more United, the remaining EU will remain strong, and Russia will have no chance. In the long run, Russia has no direct interest in this incident.

As strategic assistants of the United States in the Pacific, Japan and South Korea are worried that Britain's withdrawal from the EU will break the strategic circle of the United States in the Atlantic, which will lead to the failure to implement the "Asia-Pacific rebalancing" strategy promised by the United States, and also worry that it will encourage American isolationism. Therefore, Japan and South Korea have expressed certain concerns. Economically speaking, like China, Japan's previously expected desire to enter the EU market through Britain has also failed, thus suffering certain losses in the previous strategic layout.

As for China, it is difficult to see the direct impact of this incident in the short term. The cooperation between Britain and China and other emerging countries will be deepened to some extent, but the significance of Britain itself to China's economy may be slightly reduced.