What is the population gap?

Understand as follows:

China's future labor shortage will exceed 1 100 million, which should be able to accommodate a large number of immigrants from Asian and African countries.

There is a large-scale phenomenon of "foreign illegal workers" in Guangdong. A large number of overseas illegal workers from relatively backward countries in Southeast Asia and Africa have blossomed everywhere in Shenzhen, Foshan, Dongguan, Yunfu and Zhaoqing, and may spread to the whole Pearl River Delta.

The emergence of foreign illegal workers can certainly be attributed to the strong attraction of China's economic development. However, it is worthy of vigilance that the wave of "illegal migrant workers" in Guangdong is almost synchronized with the "shortage of migrant workers", which reflects the huge hidden labor crisis in China.

The reason for the shortage of migrant workers is not only the industrial upgrading, but also the sharp decline of young and middle-aged labor force.

From the founding of New China to the 1970s, China has been encouraging childbearing. In a sense, the rapid development of China in the first 30 years of reform and opening up benefited from this demographic dividend.

After the full implementation of the family planning policy in China, the proportion of young people has decreased year by year. At the beginning of the reform, the proportion of children aged 0- 1979 in China was about 1/3. In 2009, the proportion was less than 1/5, and the rate of decline was amazing.

Not long ago, Gu of Wuhan University declared that with the decline of the birth population base and the decrease of the number of students aged 18-22, many universities in China will face the danger of bankruptcy. Gu is by no means alarmist. According to the statistics of the Ministry of Education, the number of college students has increased continuously for 13 years since 2007, and then began to decline. This year, the number of applicants for the Beijing college entrance examination dropped sharply by 20%.

The simultaneous emergence of "shortage of migrant workers" and "shortage of students" shows that China is no longer a "young China person".

With the promotion of the family planning policy, China has accelerated the pace of entering an aging society. In the next 10 year, the population of China 18-22 years old will decrease by 40 million, and the population of China will decrease by100-300 million in 20-40 years.

What's more, due to the implementation of family planning in China and the lack of social security, giving birth has become a heavy burden, which has led to a general decline in fertility willingness.

Opening Asian-African immigrants may solve the shortage of young people in China.

In this wave of illegal workers in Guangdong, illegal workers mainly come from Southeast Asia and Africa, especially Southeast Asian countries. They are geographically and culturally close to China, so it is easier for them to come to China. For example, most Vietnamese in Guangdong are from Dongxing, China and Guangxi. In addition, China's growing national strength will also attract young people from Asian and African countries for a long time.

Guangdong, as the first stop of the illegal labor movement in China, published an investigation report on the phenomenon of "three inactivity" among foreigners in Guangdong. With the spread of illegal workers in the country in the future, China will inevitably make fundamental policy changes to Asian and African workers and grant legal immigrant workers legal status. With the gradual improvement of China's household registration system, this process will be accelerated.

In the next 20 years, China should tolerate a large number of immigrants from Asian and African countries. It is predicted that the labor shortage will reach more than 6,543.8+billion in the future, and China will form a large-scale immigration tide, becoming the country that accommodates the largest number of immigrants in the world except the United States.