Which country is seriously short of people to recruit 65,438+0,000 immigrants?

The average annual salary is 330,000! Canada, which is seriously short of people, should recruit 65,438+0,000 immigrants.

Generally speaking, in attractive areas, the price increase will be even greater. But in Canada, something strange happened. There, the real estate bubble and the crisis of population decline coexist.

According to UBS global real estate bubble index report, Toronto and Vancouver ranked first and fourth respectively in 20 17.

You know, the total population of Canada is only over 36 million. What is the reason for the soaring housing prices in this sparsely populated country?

All along, Vancouver authorities and local residents believe that immigrants and foreign investors have pushed up housing prices. Paradoxically, however, Immigration Canada believes that the aging population is a factor that restricts or even threatens Canada's economic development. Therefore, recently, the Canadian government announced an immigration plan, which will absorb about 1 10,000 immigrants in the next three years to "ensure national prosperity".

According to the data of the World Bank, in 20 16, the per capita GDP of Canada was as high as 42 10/0,000 US dollars (about RMB279,000), ranking higher than that of Germany and Britain. Statistics from Statistics Canada show that the average annual salary of Canadian wage earners is as high as 50,000 Canadian dollars (about 33 1 1,000 yuan).

High income and high housing prices coexist. Can Canada attract immigrants?

With an aging population and insufficient labor force, Canada "expanded its enrollment" by 6,543.8+0,000 immigrants in three years.

On 1 65438+1October1day local time, the Canadian government issued the 20 18-2020 immigration plan in official website: 20 18 years, and the number of immigrants to Canada should reach at least 3 1000.

▲ Image source: Canadian government official website

165438+ Statistics Canada1data released on October 3rd show that in June this year, 88,700 full-time jobs were created in the Canadian market, but at the same time 53,400 part-time jobs were reduced. If you count the 165438+2000 full-time jobs added in September, the number of full-time jobs added in September and June this year set a historical record.

On the one hand, the increase in jobs means that the market demand for labor increases; On the other hand, the problem of aging population in Canada leads to labor shortage.

197 1 year, the ratio of working population to the elderly in Canada is 6.6 1. In 20 12 years, the ratio dropped to 4.2 1, and it is estimated that it will only be 2 1 in 2036. Canadian Immigration Minister Ahmed Hu Sen said that by 2035, 5 million Canadians will retire.

It is estimated that the GDP growth rate of Canada will reach 3% in 20 17, but it may slow down to 1.9% in 20 19.

Therefore, the economic data seems to support the Canadian government's immigration "expansion" plan. However, some people have raised objections to this.

It is said that in the next 20 years, half of the jobs in developed capitalist countries will be occupied by robots. Therefore, it seems unnecessary for immigrants to "expand their enrollment".

According to statistics, 75% of Canada's population growth now depends on immigrants, and by 2036 it will be almost entirely dependent on immigrants.

Immigrants push up housing prices, and high housing prices scare away immigrants.

In recent years, housing prices in Vancouver, Toronto and other big cities have soared, making local residents miserable. According to the UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index 20 17 released by UBS Wealth Management on September 28th, Toronto, Canada faces the greatest real estate bubble risk, and Vancouver ranks fourth. As a result, the local government and residents pointed their finger at overseas investors.

▲ Image source: UBS 20 17 Global Real Estate Bubble Index

In order to control the housing price, from July 2065438 to July 2006, the government of British Columbia (hereinafter referred to as "BC Province"), where Vancouver is located, introduced a new housing policy, which imposed an additional 15% housing transfer tax on overseas real estate investors.

At that time, Christy Clark, Governor of British Columbia, said that there was evidence that some wealthy investors from overseas had entered the Vancouver real estate market, which pushed up the housing prices in British Columbia.

Michael Derong, Finance Director of BC Province, said:

According to the data we collected, during the period from June 10 to July 14, foreigners' real estate investment in BC province exceeded 10 billion Canadian dollars (about RMB 5.048 billion), of which more than 86% invested in Vancouver's real estate. The government will not sit idly by and watch house prices rise endlessly.

Among overseas investors, China buyers are considered as the driving force of Vancouver housing prices.

Earlier, Peter routledge, a financial analyst at National Bank of Canada, said in a report that in 20 15 years, China buyers spent 127 billion Canadian dollars (about 64 10/0 billion yuan) to buy real estate in Vancouver, accounting for 33% of the total local real estate sales.

A few months after the introduction of the tax policy, house prices in the Greater Vancouver area did fall. However, since 20 17, local house prices have rebounded again, even exceeding the level of June and July last year.

▲ Image source: Greater Vancouver Real Estate Department

At the same time, after the introduction of 15% real estate transaction tax in BC province, Toronto's housing prices began to soar. According to Hurun's statistics, from June 20 16 to June 20 17, Toronto ranked first in the global housing price increase, with an increase of 26%. According to UBS, house prices in Toronto have increased by 50% in the last five years. Some people think that this is caused by the transfer of overseas "real estate speculators" from Vancouver to Toronto.

However, this statement is not supported by data. In July this year, the Ontario government, where Toronto is located, said that in the previous month, overseas buyers only accounted for 4.7% of all purchases in Toronto.

In any case, the high housing prices in big cities in Canada scare away many potential immigrants, especially skilled immigrants.

According to the latest census data released by Statistics Canada 161October 25th, the proportion of new immigrants who choose to settle in BC province has gradually decreased from 200 1 to 20 16.

According to the census data of 200 1, among the new immigrants who went to Canada in that year, 20.8% chose to settle in BC province, second only to Ontario (55.9%). By 20 16, the proportion of new immigrants in BC has dropped to 14.5%, ranking in Ontario (39%), Quebec (17.8%) and Alberta (17. 1%).