What impact does the loss of the House of Representatives have on the American economy?

The Los Angeles Times previously analyzed that if the Democratic Party wins the House of Representatives and the Democratic Party keeps the Senate, then Congress may not be able to pass major new laws in the next two years. In addition, if the two parties control the two houses of Congress separately, if they cannot reach an agreement on funding and other matters, it may lead to the closure of the government, and it may be difficult to build a border wall and abolish Obamacare reform.

But what is more concerned is whether Trump will be impeached. Negative news such as communication with Russia, sex scandals and tax evasion have emerged one after another, which makes many people worry about Trump's career. However, Sun Lipeng, an assistant researcher at the American Institute of China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, believes that access to Russia depends on the attitude of the House of Representatives, and impeachment is unlikely at present. The impact of the mid-term elections is more reflected in internal affairs, which is a constraint for Trump to promote the second tax reform in finance, and it is also possible to adjust Trump's right-wing tendency to some extent in immigration.

But in general, this defeat may not have much impact on Trump. Sun Lipeng believes that Trump's policy should continue to be implemented economically, and the infrastructure plan is also under way. In May this year, Trump signed the Economic Growth, Deregulation and Consumer Protection Act. However, judging from the general election of 20 16, the advantages of * * * and the party are not great, and now the changes are more fine-tuning, which is also expected, and the overall trend is controllable. As for the second tax reform, it is not ruled out that Trump will compromise with the Democratic Party in other aspects to promote this policy.

It is difficult to bridge the differences. Although today's results are not satisfactory, in fact, Trump's performance in these two years is not bad. Many international organizations believe that the economic performance of the United States is the best since 2008. In 20 17, the economic growth of the United States reached 2.3%, which was significantly higher than that in 20 16. It is expected to reach 2.9% this year. Trump also ushered in the longest bull market in the US stock market, although many people think that his contribution is only 8%. Although the accusation is pointed out, Trump is not soft in safeguarding his own interests. Despite holding high the banner of trade protection, Trump made concessions to major trading partners such as South Korea, Japan, Canada and the European Union. Now that the House of Representatives is in the hands of the Democratic Party, a certain degree of restraint can be expected.

Trump knows how to minimize losses when he fails. Before the election results were officially announced, Trump had called House Democratic leader Pelosi to congratulate him, and he also mentioned that he hoped to cooperate with Democrats. However, Pelosi stressed that the Democratic Party still has different opinions with the party on issues such as universal health care.

The opposition between the two parties can be seen. In fact, before the mid-term elections, the differences between the voters of the two parties became more and more obvious. In a poll conducted by Pew Research Center in June+10, 5438, 18 voters paid attention to the mid-term elections. As a result, most Democratic voters think that 13 of them are "very big problems", while most * * * and party voters only think that five of them are "very big problems".

"Trump's core goal is to maintain the foundation," Sun Lipeng said. He believes that although Trump has suffered setbacks in medical reform, he has achieved certain results in immigration, returning to Obama's liberal policy, tax reform, infrastructure, relaxing financial and energy supervision, and consolidating the interests of the United States on the Iranian nuclear issue, the DPRK nuclear issue, and the Syrian issue. But the real problem is that Trump has not bridged the differences in American society, but has intensified the opposition between ethnic groups, the two parties, the establishment and the anti-establishment.