Why is the fertility rate lower in highly civilized countries?

Why can't the fertility rate go up? Because you can never accept that your child is just a junior high school student.

1) Dignity

In a city like Beijing and Shanghai, those who can understand the articles in the Reservoir Forum are generally college graduates.

There is one thing you won't do if you kill yourself: if you give birth to a child, and in the end he only has a junior high school education.

Imagine that you are a student who graduated in 985, and your wife has at least a junior college degree.

Your child, anyway, "college" is definitely a must.

To put it further, it is necessary to give children "quality education" when they are very young. Including but not limited to: piano, Olympics, English, photography, painting, ballet and summer camp. ...

As the saying goes, "shine on you is better than blue", parents are short of conditions when they are young; Today, children naturally have to stand at a higher starting point. Higher grades, let children win at the starting line.

If I say this is 99% or even 99.99% of "* * * knowledge". There should be no objection.

So, all of the above are wrong.

2) Fertility rate

Why can't the fertility rate go up? Because "decency" is the greatest evil.

At present, almost all "white-collar" families have an annual salary of 20W~ 100W. The general reaction is "can't afford it".

Heap on a child, the consumption of resources is huge.

Children are being trained from kindergarten to university, and 20% are graduate students. The tuition fees they consume are amazing. Correspondingly, during the nearly 20-year training cycle, there is no salary output.

If you pay attention to quality. It is necessary to give children a prestigious school and an interest class. Then your expenses will be multiplied several times.

To cultivate a "decent" Beijing-Shanghai standard child, the price of each child is to burn a human gold.

In addition to money, there is also the human time and care invested by parents. This is also an extremely expensive resource. Even with limited resources.

What is the combination of the above factors, that is, "can't afford it".

Almost all the white-collar middle class are crying poverty. Cultivating a child according to "high standards" will probably consume 30~40% of their income and time. So the fertility rate of white-collar workers is very low. You can hardly see multiple births. Even if the policy allows, they don't want to have children.

According to a statistical analysis in the United States. Among all population groups, the lowest fertility rate is professors, followed by doctors, then masters and undergraduates. .......................................................................................................................................................

Why is this happening? Because according to the professor's "expectation", the professor's child should at least be a professor. At least a senior intellectual, who can play chess and paint.

Cultivating and cultivating such a "high-quality" talent means huge resources. Besides, the professor has no money. Professors generally have only 0~ 1 child.

If you say, "Professor, you have nine children. But a few of them will be sewers, plasterers, tramps and prostitutes. " See if the professor will spray him to death. Will it be sprayed to death by people in Chaoyang District, Beijing? Will it spray the readers of this post to death?

3) Survival competition

Why was the family poor before and still worried about "food and clothing"? When there is hardly enough food, you can still give birth to 8~9. They were all brought up.

Nowadays, small white-collar workers earn 50~60W, and they have no worries about food and clothing. It says, "I can't afford it, I can't afford it." Every family has at most one, and the second one feels hard.

The paradox here mainly comes from the difference of children's quality.

Poor couples have very low requirements for their children and invest very little resources. It can almost be said that you were raised and you didn't starve to death. /kloc-Finding an apprentice at the age of 0/8 is a victory. Resources given by parents ≈0

On the other hand, modern parents invest a lot of money in their children. "High-quality" high-quality talents. The construction cost of each higher arm is naturally different.

This forms a paradox. It seems that the people's pursuit of high-quality and high-quality talents has become a fashion, a trend and a political correctness.

This is a very, very harmful thing! !

In today's social circle and circle of friends, if you are a professor couple, both husband and wife have doctorates. But you said:

"I want to have nine children, and the average quality education level is junior high school students. Some of them will learn from carpenters. A few of them may have artists begging and social wandering. "

What do you think others will think, relatives will think, teachers and friends will think, colleagues will think, public opinion will think.

They'll think you're crazy. I will think that you are insane, you have taken the wrong medicine, and such behavior is outrageous.

This is a paradox, deadlock.

What is the final result of the custom of "decent" social atmosphere?

The result is "getting better every generation". But there are fewer generations.

If a couple give their children "equal" inheritance and cultivate their own class, they may support at most two.

If a couple gives their children "far beyond" their own class education and training, they may only be able to afford one at most.

This is why the fertility rate is 1. 1.

Once a country, a city and a social circle are stabilized, it will form a network of mothers who compare with each other.

Then the fertility rate in this city will drop sharply. Finally, it fell to around 1. 1.

Because mom wants elite training. She can't afford it.

Japan and South Korea, both East Asian cultural circles, experienced a sharp decline in fertility rate after completing urbanization and "urban social network".

At present, Japan has completely become an aging society. South Korea is the country with the worst population decline and the lowest fertility rate in the world, and the Republic of Korea is about to perish.

The current situation in China is that the fertility rate in cities that have completed the "urban social network" is very low. Indigenous people are generally around 1. 1 times. Even if you can't afford it.

The reason why China's population data is not so ugly is that China has not completely completed urbanization.

At present, the urbanization process in China is about 50%, increasing by 1% every year. In the vast rural areas, the phenomenon of "extensive farming" is still widespread.

Fuxian Yi, a scholar, is especially opposed to "big urbanization". Because big cities are almost family planning black holes. Once the population enters a big city, regardless of its ancestral home in Anhui and Henan, it will drop to 1. 1 times the fertility rate.

Why? Because this is "urban social circle pollution". Once simple farmers from Anhui and Henan come to the city, Cang Shi's Knowledgeable Rites will also plan to produce several college students and doctoral students from home.

It doesn't matter if you have fewer children, but you must not let your mother lose face in the circle of friends. ...

"A professor's family can't have a junior high school diploma", "A decent family can't have children who don't deserve it" and "Family shame and notoriety".

The existence of these customs and habits will inevitably lead to the failure of the number priority strategy of "giving birth to nine" Everyone is trained by the elite. This is a one-way street. If the custom changes, it will not change;

So the fertility rate can't rise.

Say a digression;

China's little pink, cynical, had expected immigrants from China to "occupy the United States". It is hoped that more and more immigrants from China will eventually change the population ratio and turn the United States into an China country.

In fact, the fact is that Chinese Americans are dying. If it's not finished.

The average fertility rate of Chinese immigrants in the United States is less than 1. 1. Even lower than Beijing and Shanghai, only 1.0.

Chinese immigrants have the lowest fertility rate among all non-white immigrants in the United States. On average, the population is reduced by half in each generation.

There is no need to "occupy the United States". In a few decades, "Chinese" will not exist.

Why is this happening? Very easy to understand.

Because every China immigrant has the expectations of his parents and relatives. "immigrate to America", and you will get ahead. I want to commemorate my ancestors.

Under this concept, immigrants from China absolutely dare not have nine children. If one or two of them didn't graduate from junior high school, they would go to the grocery store as shop assistants. It's a pity that I was sent back to my hometown.

Almost every immigrant from China, their training direction for their children is "Ivy". The future is either a doctor or a lawyer. Elite education is decent enough.

Under such circumstances, the fertility rate of China people will never be high. Because you can't afford it. Every elite is piled up with huge amounts of money and resources.

Since Chinese people can't pull their faces down like Lao Mo, they will naturally be overwhelmed by Hispanic people.

China people, since they can't pull their faces down, and there are several homeless criminals at home, are naturally crushed by the old black crowd.

——

Fertility is a kind of competition.

People have long understood the competition in domestic shopping malls. "Can't save face" pretends to be lofty, then sales will inevitably fail to sell goods, shopping malls will inevitably have no customers, and bosses will inevitably have no connections.

Similarly, in the population competition, "you can't lose face." You don't want to do dirty work. You are so dirty that you live like an old black bug. It has to be an Ivy League in Bai Lianhua. Everyone dies if you don't die.

4) Tombstone of civilization

In the 5th century, the Roman Empire finally collapsed.

In the past, the huge empire that unified western civilization and hundreds of millions of subjects along the Mediterranean coast turned to dust. Not even a tombstone was left.

The history of the rise and fall of the Roman Empire is the focus of western studies. Everyone is confused:

How did the once invincible Roman Empire lose its strength? How the civilization with advanced technology was defeated by barbarians.

The answers range from women's inheritance rights to inflation to lead-containing water pipes.

But one thing can't be circumvented anyway: there are fewer and fewer Romans.

Really, the population of pure-bred, religious and spiritual descendants of Rome is getting smaller and smaller.

This is a very strange question. As a victorious country, Rome destroyed the Carthaginians, Greeks and Egyptians and established a unified empire.

The Romans mastered the richest land, the most advanced farming techniques and the most ironware. In the end, the fertility rate of the Romans was not as good as that of the foresters in the inland.

The population of the whole Roman nation is not increasing, but decreasing.

By the end of Rome, he didn't have enough population to fill such a huge imperial territory. He was forced to introduce foreign workers and give foreigners more residence rights.

After that, the Romans couldn't even get together the population for military service. So there are more and more savage soldiers in the Roman army.

When the barbarian first joined the army, you thought he was just a soldier without brains and arms. But when the population of barbarian soldiers accounts for 1/3 or even 2/3. Who else can ignore the ideas of foreign soldiers? [ 1]

After that, the Romans couldn't even keep their Roman ancestry. Guards mingled with barbarians.

At this point, Rome is not far from extinction.

Then the question is, why are there fewer and fewer "Romans"?

Rome is the ruling nation, occupying the best and richest pastures. Why is the population of the Romans getting smaller and smaller? On the contrary, there are more and more barbarians in the barren valley. Eventually occupy the majority of the population?

Compared with AD 476 and AD 1 year, the population of Rome and barbarians is simply an inverted pyramid.

I don't have a definite answer. But I have an imaginary idea:

The decline of the Roman population and the final collapse of the Roman Empire are all related to urbanization and decent childbirth.

Almost all big cities are black holes of fertility. Almost any society where the "middle class" is formed and solidified is a fertility black hole.

Because "courtesy engages in knowledge", when a city-state enters a rich society, the wind of comparison is inevitable.

When a group of ladies get together, only decent children who are "strong, outstanding and outstanding" can win glory for women.

And if you have nine offspring, but each one is mediocre. Just ask for quantity, and obviously you will be laughed at by the social circle.

This led to the "shine on you" curse of Roman middle-class families.

The comparison between the middle classes will inevitably lead mothers to "pursue quality" and have fewer children. In exchange for praise from friends.

Forget the blood behind you.

The result of "less but better". There are fewer and fewer Romans, and the whole Roman nation perishes. The Romans thought they were elegant and tasteful, and eventually all the Romans became slaves and humble maids of barbarians.

If you have read such cold but thorough books as Sperm War and Baby War.

Then you will know that biological competition is everywhere.

Generally speaking, there are two main strategies for biological competition: "quality wins" and "quantity wins".

Winning by quality is bound to be accompanied by the slaughter of inferior nations!

This sentence is absolutely 100% politically incorrect. But it is the result of step-by-step deduction by logical reasoning, which is beyond doubt.

I can't help it Logic is higher than PC!

Because "quantity wins", his number has doubled. And every living thing has been fighting for the genetic rights of resources and phylogenetic trees for 4.6 billion years.

"Quality wins" is bound to be accompanied by the slaughter of inferior bugs. Only in slaughter can the value of "quality" be reflected. Not killing is not a good quality.

Only by killing all inferior bugs, at least half, can "quality win" grow slowly with a very small reproduction rate. And eventually leave a genetic tree.

When Rome was first established. The ancient Romans were typical "quality wins". The unique unity, discipline, sacrifice and team spirit of Roman citizens forged the invincible ancient "Roman phalanx"

Square, square, glory belongs to Rome!

With the help of the legion, the Romans killed all the barbarians in Gaul, ruled the Mediterranean and wiped out African blacks.

However, when Rome established a unified empire and "peace", slaughter was not feasible.

In other words, from the day of "peace", it was doomed that all the Romans were killed and became slaves.

Since there is peace, "quality wins" cannot kill "quantity wins" at will.

No matter how humble the conquered people are, they are at least imperial citizens. You can humiliate, but you can't slaughter.

Therefore, in a "peaceful" environment, the population of inferior ethnic groups and barbarians has increased very rapidly. The Roman Empire lacked an excuse to slaughter them again.

For a long time, hundreds of years later, the population of barbarians was 100 times of yours. I will kill you sooner or later.

The second Roman Empire;

In today's society, the behavior of Notre Dame de Western Europe has accelerated this historical process several times.

"Peace" and "welfare society" are mixed into cancer cells and malignant tumor AIDS.

At present, the United States and Western Europe are caught in the triple attack of Africa+Latin America+green education.

The strategy of black and green is to live desperately at all costs. Maximize the number of pursuits.

In the "jungle competition", such a desperate strategy will destroy a tribe, make a race go backwards, and make them lack food and scientific and technological input.

And in the "welfare society" of western Europe in the United States. The more children you have, the more benefits you will get. The virgin forced her to eat and cut milk, so that Heiwa would not starve to death.

This is not "winning by quality", but "winning by quality". The higher the quality of the elite, the greater the loss.

They can neither slaughter inferior people nor feed bugs.

The white civilization of "quality wins" committed suicide today!

As shown in the figure. In the United States. White people only have a numerical advantage in the age group over 44.

What does this mean? It means sunset. Early; In the early days; Early ... super life.

If there were no such events as the "654.38 billion colored massacre" in the United States.

Within 30 years, Americans of color will account for 75% of the population. Approaching the avalanche trend.

The United States will become an Omerikenstein similar to Latin American countries.

You'll see it in your lifetime.