Can Zhu Rong's desire to travel to Mars be realized?

The wish to travel to Mars can come true.

Technically, Go can be realized very quickly, for example, in twenty years. There should be no problem if all the developed countries in the world concentrate on doing this.

However, going and settling down are two concepts. It is entirely possible to leave within 20 years, and the time for long-term settlement is very uncertain.

Humans are not ready to adapt to the ecological environment of Mars.

In addition, human beings have not been forced to emigrate to Mars, and the exploitation of crude oil in the Middle East, oil and gas in the South China Sea, potential resources in Antarctica and the Arctic, and resources in the African continent have not reached the level of forcing human beings to emigrate to Mars. Therefore, at present, the plans to immigrate to Mars are in a very preliminary exploration stage, and there is no complete immigration plan.

If it is a project to be implemented, there must be a relatively complete project, all necessary conditions and material preparation will be arranged at the time node, and all processes will have detailed plans and preplans, which cannot be done just by thinking about it.

Therefore, if human beings have this plan, they have to consider many things, such as the degree of technology, the degree of understanding of Mars, the minimum manpower needed for full implementation, how many groups of immigrants to be prepared, how to screen these candidates, how long they plan to stay in the past, what they need to do, what materials they need to bring to build the base in the past, what their work objectives are, how to solve problems encountered, and the workload of establishing the project before the development is also very large, and the reasons are.

I think the reasons for setting up the project are actually relatively easy to pass. At least, this project can greatly stimulate the progress of science and technology. At present, many civilian technologies are leaked from the fingers of high-end scientific research fields. Doing this project can greatly promote the development of national science and technology, and at the same time bring about the establishment of research environment and talent growth mechanism in many related fields. If the national strength allows, it is still very meaningful to do so.

However, it is not optimistic that all countries in the world will unite to develop and enjoy technology, because the space powers are likely to rely on achieving scientific and technological leadership as the main reason to do this, otherwise it will be difficult to persuade the whole country to work together to do this, so it is unlikely that the world will work together to do this. The countries that may be the first to reach Mars and settle in batches will even declare the ownership of Mars as soon as possible and establish a huge single-planet country. For example, many people in China are reluctant to share the lunar soil with other countries. This kind of thinking is understandable, and the United States has not opened many of their scientific research fields. This is not a pattern problem, but a realistic problem. If everything in this world is peaceful and beautiful, how good would it be? Unfortunately, the reality has repeatedly proved that this idea is too naive. If our rabbit can achieve national prosperity without being bound by capital, it can be said that it has been very successful. It is impossible to achieve this by unilaterally hoping to pin their hopes on Qixin, a world power.

Moreover, even within the same country, it is very likely that there will be a monopoly like Musk, which may form a benign competition mechanism, but at the same time it may be fragmented and run on each other. So these factors will greatly delay the progress of the plan to go to Mars.

In this way, one is not in a hurry, and the other is that the cost of independent development is very high, and no country has publicly set up a project to do this batch of immigration plans. Musk also regards burning money as a tourism project mainly from a commercial point of view. Without Tesla to support his share price, I don't know if he can fly out successfully after the money is burned out.

Therefore, there are so many factors that it is difficult to determine the specific time to realize real large-scale immigration.