Will Dalian house prices fall in the next three years?

Personal opinion won't. Because of the serious imbalance between supply and demand, Dalian has stepped out of the independent market and the house price has bottomed out all the way. Dalian's rise until around 20 16 is also due to the cancellation of purchase restriction, and the demand for self-occupation and investment has increased. Later, the purchase restriction was restarted on 20 18, but Gansu was not limited to purchase. As a result, housing prices in Gansu continue to rise, resulting in little difference between housing prices in some areas of Gansu and restricted purchase areas.

So in a word, the policy of restricting purchases and loans directly affects the relationship between supply and demand in the market, leading to the rise and fall of house prices. Because of the direct or indirect related policies, the short-term demand is increasing, and the long-term demand is not a problem because of the strong population flow, so it is reasonable for the volume and price to rise together.

relevant information

202 1 The trend of second-hand housing transaction volume in Dalian property market in the first three quarters has been released. You can clearly see the twists and turns in Dalian property market. Last year, Dalian real estate prices rose rapidly, and then weakened at the end of the year. Perhaps it is the real estate speculators in Dalian who speculate on the Dalian property market in order to sell houses quickly, especially the Dalian High-tech Park, which is almost the hardest hit by real estate speculation. The industry is not strong, but house prices have been rising.

The highest transaction volume of second-hand houses in Dalian reached 1 0,000 sets, but by the end of September it had almost dropped to 4,000 sets, almost halved compared with the highest point this year. The average house price in Dalian now is about 1.5 million, the average house price in the main city is above 20,000, and that in the suburbs is about 1.5 million. Dalian housing price is no longer a depression.