Time needed to solve the project construction in feasibility study.

The answer is: the preliminary feasibility study needs to solve the time required for project construction.

According to the needs of the project, the general project owner entrusts a qualified design institute or consulting company to conduct a feasibility study and prepare a feasibility study report.

1. Sign the entrustment agreement

After the project proposal is approved, the feasibility study can be carried out. Feasibility study generally adopts the way that relevant departments and construction units entrust design or consulting units to exchange views on the scope, content, focus, depth requirements, completion time, budget and quality requirements of the project feasibility study, sign entrustment agreements, and carry out various stages of the feasibility study.

2. Set up a research group and make a research plan.

The unit undertaking the feasibility study must first master the project proposal and related project background information, understand the intentions and requirements of the entrusting party or superiors, and clarify the research content. On this basis, a feasibility study working group (project team or research group) is established, and the project team studies the scope and requirements of work, formulates the project work plan and arranges the implementation progress according to the written task book issued by the design institute (or consulting company).

3. Market research and forecast

The main task of this stage is to further clarify the necessity and reality of the project construction through investigation and study, and provide information for the next step. The project team should first consult and collect the information and data necessary for the project construction, production and operation, draw up the survey outline, then conduct on-the-spot investigation and sampling survey, and conduct special investigation, experiment and research when necessary, and finally sort out the collected information. Provide accurate technical and economic data for determining the product scheme and production scale of the project, selecting production technology and equipment type.

4. Scheme design and optimization

According to the requirements of the project proposal, combined with market research and forecast, on the basis of collecting certain information and data, several alternative technical schemes and construction schemes are established, and the repeated schemes are compared and demonstrated in combination with the actual situation. In addition, together with the entrusting unit, the major principle issues and optimization standards of scheme selection are clarified, and the better scheme is selected from multiple schemes to study and demonstrate the technical feasibility of the project, and further clarify the construction schemes such as product scheme, production scale and technological process, so as to prepare for the next work.

5. Economic analysis and assessment

After studying and demonstrating the necessity, possibility and technical feasibility of the project construction, the basic data, quota standards and economic evaluation parameters related to this project are selected, and the selected optimal overall construction scheme is detailed in financial prediction, financial benefit analysis and national economic evaluation. Starting with the calculation of project investment, production cost and sales profit, this paper makes profitability analysis, cost-benefit analysis and uncertainty analysis, studies and demonstrates the financial profitability and economic rationality of the project, further puts forward financing suggestions, and formulates the overall progress plan for project implementation.

6. Prepare the feasibility study report

After detailed technical and economic analysis and demonstration of the project, the first draft of the feasibility study report is compiled, the project construction scheme and implementation scheme are selected, and conclusive opinions and major measures are put forward to provide scientific basis for the final decision.

7. Exchange views with the entrusting unit

After the first draft of the feasibility study report is formed, exchange opinions with the entrusting unit, revise and improve it to form a formal feasibility study report.

2.2.3 Market survey method and forecast method in feasibility study

Market research and forecast is an important part of the project feasibility study, and it is also the premise of the project feasibility study.

1. Market research methods

Market research methods are divided into indirect information collection method and direct investigation method.

Indirect information collection refers to the activities that researchers collect, analyze, study and use information through various media (Internet, newspapers, statistical yearbooks, television, radio, public welfare information of consulting companies, etc.). ). Indirect information collection methods generally include inspection.

, purchase, exchange, receiving and other specific ways.

Indirect information collection method is characterized by fast data acquisition and low cost, which can make up for the shortcomings of direct investigation method. The disadvantages are poor pertinence, insufficient depth and low accuracy, so it is necessary to adopt appropriate methods for secondary processing and verification.

Direct investigation method is an investigation method to obtain the required information by asking the investigated items in person, by phone or in writing. The commonly used direct survey methods generally include interview survey, exchange survey, conference survey, observation and experiment. When conducting market research, appropriate methods should be selected according to the specific conditions of the project.

The advantage of direct investigation method is that the investigation results are targeted and the information is accurate. The disadvantage is that the survey cost is high, and the survey results are easily influenced by the level of staff and the quality of respondents themselves.

2. Market forecasting methods

Market forecasting methods can generally be divided into qualitative forecasting and quantitative forecasting according to their types.

Qualitative prediction is a subjective judgment and description of the future trend, law and state of the market based on information and materials, relying on the experience and knowledge of individual experts and groups and using certain methods. Quantitative prediction is to select or establish a suitable mathematical model according to the historical and current statistical data of the market, analyze and study its development and change law, and make a prediction for the future. Forecasting methods can be divided into short-term forecasting methods and medium-and long-term forecasting methods according to the different time span of forecasting.

When making market forecast, we should choose the corresponding forecasting method according to the product characteristics of the project and the different depth requirements of market forecast in different decision-making stages of the project.

2.2.4 Preparation of feasibility study report

1. Basis for compiling feasibility study report

The main basis for compiling the feasibility study report of this project is as follows.

(1) Long-term planning of national economic development, departmental and regional development planning, principles, tasks, industrial policies and investment policies of economic construction.

(2) the approved project proposal and the requirements of the entrusting unit.

(3) Large and medium-sized backbone construction projects should have resource reports, land development and renovation plans, regional plans and industrial base plans approved by the state. Traffic projects should have related river basin planning and road network planning.

(4) Basic information on nature, geography, meteorology, hydrology, geology, economy, society and environmental protection.

(5) specifications, standards and quota data of engineering technology and economy in relevant industries, as well as technical regulations and standards officially promulgated by the state.

(6) Evaluation methods and parameters issued by the state, such as national benchmark rate of return, industry benchmark rate of return, foreign exchange shadow exchange rate, price conversion parameters, etc.

2. Requirements for preparation of feasibility study report

(1) foresight. The feasibility study report should not only study and analyze the historical and current data, but also predict and estimate the future market demand and investment benefit.

(2) objective and fair. The feasibility study report must adhere to the principle of seeking truth from facts, demonstrate and evaluate according to objective laws on the basis of investigation and study.

(3) Reliability. The feasibility study report should carefully study and determine the technical and economic measures of the project, ensure the reliability of the project, and at the same time, whether there is an absolutely infeasible project or scheme to avoid investment losses.

(4) scientific. The feasibility study report must use modern scientific and technological means to predict the market, and use scientific evaluation index system and methods to analyze and evaluate the financial benefits, economic benefits and social impacts of the project, so as to provide scientific basis for project decision-making.

3. The main contents of the feasibility study report

The content of the project feasibility study varies with the nature of the project and the characteristics of the industry. Generally speaking, it mainly includes the following contents.

(1) Introduction.

The general introduction mainly explains the project background, the basis and scope of the research work, the main conclusions of the feasibility study, the existing problems and suggestions.

(2) Market research and forecast.

Market analysis, including market research and market forecast, is

The important contents of feasibility study include market investigation, product supply and demand forecast, price forecast, competitiveness analysis and market risk analysis.

(3) Construction scheme.

The construction scheme mainly includes construction scale and product scheme, process technology and main equipment scheme, site selection scheme, main raw materials, auxiliary materials and fuel supply scheme, general plane transportation and civil engineering scheme, public works scheme, energy-saving and water-saving measures, environmental protection and governance measures scheme, safety, occupational health measures and fire-fighting facilities scheme, project organization and human resource allocation scheme, etc.

(4) Investment estimation.

On the basis of determining the engineering quantity of the project construction scheme, estimate the project construction investment, including construction cost, equipment purchase cost, installation cost, other construction cost, basic reserve cost, price increase reserve cost, and interest and working capital during the construction period.

(5) financing plan.

On the basis of investment estimation to determine the financing amount, the financing subject, sources and methods of funds, capital structure, financing cost and financing risk of the project are studied and analyzed. Combine the financial analysis of financing schemes, compare, select and determine financing schemes.

(6) Financial analysis.

Estimate operating income and cost in detail, and forecast cash flow; Prepare financial statements such as cash flow statement and calculate relevant indicators; Analyze financial profitability, solvency and financial viability, and evaluate the financial feasibility of the project.

(7) Economic analysis.

For projects whose financial cash flow can't fully reflect their economic value, economic analysis should be carried out. Including the choice of foreign exchange shadow price and evaluation parameters, the range and numerical adjustment of income and expenses, national economic evaluation report, national economic evaluation index, national economic evaluation conclusion and so on.

(8) Economic impact analysis.

Projects that have a great influence on industry, regional economy and macro-economy should also be analyzed from the perspectives of industry influence, regional economic development, industrial layout and structural adjustment, regional fiscal revenue and expenditure, income distribution and whether it may lead to monopoly. For projects involving national economic security, we should also analyze them from the perspectives of industrial technology security, resource supply security, capital control security, industrial growth security and market environment security.

(9) Analysis of resource utilization.

For projects with high energy consumption, high water consumption and high consumption of natural resources, such as oil and gas exploration, petroleum processing and power generation, the utilization efficiency of energy, water resources and natural resources should be analyzed; General projects should also be energy-saving, water-saving, land-saving and material-saving analysis; All projects should put forward measures to reduce resource consumption.

(10) Analysis of resettlement land and resettlement scheme.

For new construction land projects, it is necessary to analyze the land use situation of the project and put forward measures to save land. For projects involving relocation and resettlement, the rationality of the relocation plan and resettlement plan should also be analyzed.

(1 1) Social evaluation and social impact analysis.

For projects involving social interests, such as rural poverty alleviation projects, on the basis of social investigation, we should analyze the social impact of the proposed project, the needs of major stakeholders, the degree of support and acceptance of the project, and the social risks of the project, and put forward plans to prevent and solve social problems.

(12) sensitivity analysis and break-even analysis.

Conduct sensitivity analysis, calculate sensitivity coefficient and critical point, and find out sensitive factors and their influence on project benefits; Carry out break-even analysis, calculate break-even point, and roughly predict the ability of the project to adapt to market changes.

(13) risk analysis.

Identify the main risk factors of the project, estimate the risk degree through qualitative and quantitative analysis methods, and study and put forward countermeasures to prevent and reduce risks.

(14) Conclusion and suggestion.

We should summarize the advantages of the recommended scheme, point out the possible main problems and risks, make a clear conclusion on whether the project is feasible, and put forward suggestions on the next work of the project and the problems to be solved in the project implementation.