What is the main source of the chaos in the Middle East? How to evaluate the changes in the current situation in the Middle East?

The most fundamental source of confusion lies in the word "profit"!

Historical roots: It originated from the struggle for the throne between the ancestors of the Jews and Arabs. The Jews occupied Palestine and were later driven out by the Romans. Later, the Arabs drove away the Romans and settled in Palestine. Zionism began to emerge before World War I. It aimed to restore the Jewish state. It chose Palestine, failed to negotiate with the Palestinians, and gave up.

The British ruled Palestine after World War I and did not restrict immigration. During World War II, Germany massacred Jews, and Jews moved to Palestine in large numbers, leading to chaos. The British were unable to solve the problem and handed it over to the United Nations. With the intervention of the United States and the Soviet Union, the resolution divided Palestine into two parts, with Jews accounting for the majority and Jerusalem under international jurisdiction. Then the endless disputes began.

Strategic position: The strategic position and economic value of the Middle East (the land of three continents and five seas, the Suez Canal and rich oil resources)

Evaluation: Political turmoil has affected the Middle East for a long time. Domestic political struggles in some countries have intensified and government functions have weakened, unable to provide basic guarantees for economic development and social stability. After the coups in Tunisia and Egypt, new governments have been delayed in being established. Street politics are still continuing. Political forces are being reorganized and reorganized. It is difficult to form a stable and reliable government in the short term. Taking Egypt as an example, the "Muslim Brotherhood" is a political party with a strong Islamic flavor, representing religious forces that want to participate in national political affairs. The military currently in temporary control of state power is a powerful faction in state power, and there are currently Dozens of secular political parties form a differentiated mix. These three forces all hold a pivotal position in Egyptian politics, and no one can be excluded from the government. The three forces have very different strength bases, sources of power, governing concepts, and behavioral patterns. At present, Egypt is formulating a new constitution under the leadership of the military, but any new constitution must meet the needs of these three forces. Historically, these three forces have never cooperated closely. Forming a stable cooperation framework in the future will not happen overnight. The political situation in Libya and Yemen is even more worrying. Due to the existence of tribal forces, the possibility of being trapped in internal affairs for a long time cannot be ruled out, and the people will be thrown into the abyss of despair. American observers of the Middle East issue concluded that the political turmoil in the Middle East was just the beginning.

Enlightenment to us:

First, a country must not be weak. If it falls behind, it will be beaten.

Second, dictatorship is unpopular. We must develop a democracy that suits our country and allow more people to participate in and discuss politics.

Third, the country must do its own thing well so that the people can live and work in peace and contentment and live in peace. It must represent the most fundamental interests of the people. Citizens should study hard and work hard for the prosperity of their country.

Fourth, the Western powers are shameless countries. Especially people from other countries. This is the case with Afghanistan, Iran, Libya, Yemen, etc. in the Middle East and North Africa. I must put it aside quickly.

Whether the domino effect caused by the turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa will continue, and whether Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and other countries will become the next targets considered by the United States, remains to be closely watched. However, not long ago, some people with ulterior motives inside and outside my country used the Internet to incite domestic residents to gather illegally in an attempt to trigger "street politics." This cannot but be said to be an attempt by some individuals to bring chaos to China. We should be very clear-headed about this and Be on high alert. Thousands of years of Chinese civilization history have proven that Western powers always want to bring China, which has a vast territory and abundant resources, under their control. An independent and powerful China has always been the aspiration of people of all ethnic groups in the past dynasties. After more than thirty years of reform and opening up, China is achieving unprecedented achievements and development, and is striving towards the bright future of great rejuvenation. We should cherish this very much and consciously safeguard the hard-won harmony and stability

Political earthquakes and geographical earthquakes made both Libya and Japan temporarily dangerous states that were unfit to enter and uninhabitable. Countries issued warnings and advised their nationals not to travel, which just confirmed Confucius's point of view. Compared with the past, not to mention compared with the era of Confucius, but compared with the world before this round of globalization, the world has undergone tremendous changes. For countries, companies, groups and individuals living in a globalized world, if we want to draw lessons from the crises in Libya and Japan, we must seriously study how to reduce the risks of globalization, and what should we do if a crisis occurs. How to avoid it and how to minimize the loss of life and wealth?

Faced with the Libyan crisis, the Chinese government made a decisive decision to massively and successfully evacuate more than 30,000 compatriots working in Libya, which attracted the attention of the world. However, when the civil war in Libya and the military intervention of Western allies in Libya began, China also began to count its losses in Libya. If the loss is limited to business interests, it does not matter how high the amount is. The problem is that China’s retreat from the Libyan incident is a serious warning sign. Ignoring or failing to consider the major potential political and security dangers and crises in some countries and regions, and recklessly entering into large-scale business, including long-term and huge investments, seems to lack strategic considerations.

Not all Western comments about China in Africa are harsh and vitriolic; there are some words of experience and advice.

For example, some Western experts on China-Africa relations have repeatedly pointed out that China does not have security immunity in Africa just because it comes from the developing world and pursues a different foreign policy than the West. The setbacks and blows that Western companies and countries have encountered in Africa will also be encountered by China. It is not easy for foreign forces to gain a foothold on the African continent. The large-scale history of China’s real contact with Africa, especially political mutual support and economic interdependence, is the story of the last 50 years, or more precisely, the past decade or so. Europeans and Westerners are different. Starting from the evil slave trade, through various aspects of colonization of Africa, to "decolonization" and the establishment of new aid relationships, it has experienced a history of 500 years.

One is 500 years, and the other is 50 years. No matter how China’s foreign policy and Africa policy stand on a moral high point (supporting the development of people in developing countries, supporting them to take the path of their own choice instead of (the path imposed by external forces), with only 50 years of contact, China's experience and knowledge of Africa are still lacking and immature. In some aspects, it is necessary to learn from Europeans and Americans about Africa and how to deal better with Africa.

China needs to keep in mind our ancient philosophy of "not entering a dangerous country and staying in a chaotic country", and it also needs to learn lessons from the current international setbacks. Only in this way can China truly "go global."