What is the impact of the low birth rate innovation?

What is the impact of the low birth rate innovation?

What is the impact of the low birth rate innovation? Under the influence of epidemic situation, the decrease of women of childbearing age and other factors, the population born in 2020 hit a new low in recent years, and the net growth of China's total population also dropped significantly. What effect will the birth rate hit a new low?

What is the impact of the low birth rate innovation? 1 Opening the second child and encouraging the third child has become one of the hottest topics in China in recent years. Why? Because the population growth rate of China and even the whole world has slowed down, there has been a crisis of population aging.

The population growth in China has been declining since 1990.

The phenomenon of global population growth: the poorer you are, the more you live, and the shift in focus.

Although negative population growth has always been a hot topic and seems to be a crisis in the world, from a global perspective, the population is still in the expansion range. At present, the global population is 7 billion, and the United Nations predicts that the global population in 2050 will be 9.7 billion. Much more than it is now. However, it is not clear which countries these increases come from.

Let's take a look at the rankings of several countries with negative population growth:

202 1 Statistics of population data of countries around the world, ranking of negative population growth

The top few countries on the list are small countries in Eastern Europe, mostly because the European Union promotes population mobility in Europe. Young people in these small countries in eastern Europe go abroad to work and settle down, and never return to their motherland, resulting in a very large population loss. Countries in developed areas of the European Union have absorbed the blood of small countries in Eastern Europe.

Next, although our neighbor Japan has 7 1560 immigrants, the population growth rate is still -0.3%, which shows that the aging is serious.

202 1 demography, growth ranking

The reverse order of population growth shows that the population growth in many parts of Africa is still very high, probably because the cost of raising children is very low. ), or like the laws of nature, only having more children can guarantee a high survival rate.

What impact will population decline have on the country?

The collapse of human civilization is unsustainable?

On February 6, 65438, Tesla boss Musk said that the biggest threat facing mankind is the low and declining birth rate. "The foundation of the economy is the labor force. Many people think that the world population is too large and the population growth is out of control. The situation is quite the opposite. If people don't have more children, civilization will collapse, mark my words. " But when it comes to death, Musk thinks that death is very important to human beings, because many times, people will not change their minds until they die. If we live forever, our society may become very rigid and new ideas will not succeed. According to statistics, about 3.6 million babies were born in the United States in 2020, down 4% from the previous year, the lowest since 1979.

He's right. The world population is getting smaller and smaller. Who will inherit human civilization? Who will open up a new future? Aren't many folk crafts lost in our Chinese nation? Most of the reasons are that we don't make money or have no successors.

The labor force decreases and the labor cost increases.

Low labor cost is the biggest attraction for some developing countries to attract investment and construction from developed countries, while low-end labor is based on a huge population. Population decline will greatly reduce the labor advantage.

For China, transformation is necessary. Since the reform and opening up, China has grabbed orders from most developed countries with low-cost labor, which has developed very rapidly. However, with the serious decline of the birth rate in China in recent years and the gradual aging of the population, we must quickly get rid of the title of "global processing factory" and develop in the direction of high-tech export.

As the second largest country in population, India is predicted by the west that its total population will surpass that of China in the next decade, and it will usher in a demographic dividend. But it is inevitable that the low-end labor force will be replaced. However, technological products can replace labor, but not consumers. It is not what capitalism likes to see, so they need to absorb new immigrants to supplement the country's "lack of human and financial resources."

China population growth forecast in the next 30 years.

On the contrary, some poor countries are not worried about this problem.

For some developed countries, the problem of declining birth rate is indeed a problem. However, for most developing countries, population is still a pressure.

It is inevitable that low-end labor will be replaced, but scientific and technological products can replace labor, but they cannot replace consumers. Capitalism doesn't like to turn everyone into a pure machine.

What is the impact of the low birth rate innovation? 2 In 2020, compared with 20 19, the national population increased by 2.04 million, setting a new low since 1962.

Under the influence of epidemic situation and the decrease of women of childbearing age, the population born in 2020 hit a new low in recent years. At the same time, the net growth of China's total population also dropped significantly.

China Statistical Yearbook 202 1 recently released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that in 2020, compared with 20 19, the national population will increase by 2.04 million. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the First Financial Reporter combed the net population increase over the years since 1949 and found that the net population increase in 2020 hit a new low since 1962.

Net population increase over the years since 196 1 (Note, the data does not involve Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan. Source: First Financial Reporter compiled according to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics)

The data shows that the total population of 1960 and 1960 has decreased for two consecutive years due to three years of natural disasters. 1962 rebounded rapidly, and the net population increased to14.36 million that year. Since then, from 1963 to 1975, the annual net increase in population has exceeded150,000. After 1976, the net population decreased, but they were all above 1 1 10,000. Especially from 1986 to 1990, the net increase in population exceeded150,000. In the 1990s, the net population growth remained above100000.

At the turn of the century, in 2000, the net increase of population fell below100000 for the first time in 39 years, reaching 9.57 million. By 20 10, the net increase of population in that year was only 64 10/0,000. However, in 20 12, the population increased by10.06 million, which became a new high since the new century.

20 16 After the implementation of the comprehensive two-child policy, the population increased by 9.06 million in that year. In the following years, the annual net increase of population continued to decrease, from 20 17 to 2020, reaching 7.79 million, 5.3 million, 4.67 million and 2.04 million respectively.

In addition, if we take 10 as a stage, the population increased by1304,000 in 1950s, but the total population increased by1346,400 in 1960s, and by168,765.438+000 in 1970s, and in 1980s.

In the first decade of the new century, the domestic population only increased by 76.64 million, and in the second decade, with the adjustment of the birth policy, the population increased by 75.58 million. In other words, in the 20 years since the new century, the net increase of population in China is lower than that in the 1970s.

Judging from the development trend, it is predicted that the net population increase may continue to decline this year. One of the major reasons is that in recent years, the net increment of population has been declining continuously, which is closely related to the change of birth population.

According to the statistics released by the First Financial Reporter, including Guiyang and Henan, the data of birth population, newborn screening or household registration in the first three quarters all decreased year-on-year, and the decline rate was above 10%, which continued the downward trend.

Professor Dong, a population expert and president of Guangdong Population Development Research Institute, analyzed CBN. Judging from the current situation, it is increasingly difficult to increase the total population and fewer and fewer people are born. The development trend is getting closer and closer to the edge of the intersection of birth population and death population.

Wang Peian, deputy director of the Population, Resources and Environment Committee of China People's Political Consultative Conference, party secretary and executive vice president of China Family Planning Association, said in an interview with the media recently that population is the main body of social development and a key variable affecting sustainable economic development. A large population is not good, but the less the better. If the fertility rate is too low, the scale declines too fast, and there is a shortage of young people, the problem of aging will be very prominent, weakening the vitality of economic and social development and increasing the economic and social burden. Therefore, it is necessary to effectively implement the three-child birth policy and supporting measures, vigorously build a birth support policy system, increase the number of births, improve the age structure of the population, and promote the realization of a moderate birth level.

What is the impact of the low birth rate innovation? Under the epidemic situation, the population and birth rate in China dropped sharply. According to the official population data of China, the population born in 2020 is120,000, which is about178,600 less than that in 20 16 years. In 2020, the birth rate was 8.52‰, which fell below 10‰ for the first time.

According to CBN 165438+ 10/9, the data released recently by China Statistical Yearbook 202 1 mentioned that the natural population growth rate (birth rate-mortality rate) in China in 2020 is only 1.45‰, that is/.

According to the national population data published in the yearbook, in 2020, the national population increased by 2.04 million compared with 20 19, while the increase in the previous year was as high as 4.67 million, and it exceeded100000 in 20 12. Once the birth rate is lower than the death rate, there may be negative population growth. According to experts' prediction, this situation may occur during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period at the earliest, that is, from 2002/kloc-0 to 2025.

After the census, the comprehensive three-child policy exceeded expectations, which shows the seriousness of the population problem.

1987, the birth rate was as high as 23.3‰, and the natural growth rate in that year was as high as 16.6 1‰, both of which were historical highs in more than 40 years. Compared with the historical high point, the birth rate in 2020 is only about 1/3, and the natural growth rate will shrink to below110, which shows that the population situation is grim.

There are many reasons for the low innovation of the birth population, such as the decrease in the number of women of childbearing age and the impact of the epidemic. Among them, the epidemic situation had a great influence on the birth last year.

An article published in Population Research, a major journal of demography, mentioned that from 20 18, the number of births in each month from 1 to 12 has been less than that in the same period of 20 15. Comparatively speaking, from 20 18 to 20 19, the monthly birth population decreased relatively gently, with a decrease of about 10% to 15%. However, in 2020, the number of births per month decreased rapidly, from 10 to September by 20% to 30%. Due to the epidemic situation in 10 and February, the number of births decreased by more than 45% compared with that in 20 15.

The epidemic crisis and the downward trend of birth population in China in recent years have accelerated the downward trend of birth population and fertility rate. The epidemic has exerted a comprehensive and extensive suppression on marriage and childbearing in China, resulting in a 45% decrease in the number of marriage registrations in the first quarter of 2020, and a sharp drop in the number of births in the fourth quarter, especially the number of people under the age of 30 and the number of births in one child, which has depressed the size of the birth population in China.

The yearbook shows that in 2020, compared with 20 19, the national population increased by 2.04 million, while the population increased by 4.67 million in the previous year and 5.3 million in 20 18.

165438+1October 20th, "The birth rate in China fell below 1% last year" was listed on the hot search list of Weibo.