Why is the Muslim population in Europe growing so fast?

The forecast report released by the Pew Research Center on the 29th shows that even if illegal immigrants or refugees are not accepted in the next 30 years, the Muslim population in Europe will continue to increase. If the growth of legal immigrants maintains the current level, by 2050, Muslims will account for more than 1 1% of the total population in Europe.

Pew Research Center is good at public opinion survey and analysis. Based on the statistical data of 25.8 million European Muslims from 2065438 to mid-2006, this organization has set up three models of "zero immigration", "medium-scale immigration" and "large-scale immigration" to calculate the Muslim population of 28 EU member States, Norway and Switzerland by 2050.

The report entitled "Increasing Muslim Population in Europe" shows that under the condition of "zero immigration", the Muslim population in Europe will reach 30 million in 2050, accounting for 7.4% of the total population, higher than 4.9% in 20 16 years. The reason why the number of Muslims will increase without immigration is mainly because the average age of Muslims in Europe is lower than that of Europeans 13 years old and the fertility rate is higher. According to this model, the Muslim population in France will be 5.7 million in 20 16, and it will remain the largest Muslim country in Europe by 2050.

"Medium-scale immigration" refers to absorbing immigrants to maintain a "normal speed", while the motives for emigrating to Europe include economic, educational and family factors, excluding asylum-seeking refugees. According to this model, the Muslim population in Europe will reach 58.8 million in 2050, accounting for 1 1.2%.

In the case of "mass migration", the Muslim population in Europe will reach 75 million in 2050, accounting for 14% of the total population. The Pew Research Center speculates that even if the number is greatly increased, the Muslim population is still "much smaller" than Christians and non-believers. In addition, in 2050, the proportion of Muslim population in Germany will be 20%, and that in Sweden will be 3 1%.

According to the report, immigration has stopped the decline of European population. If immigration does not increase in the future, the total population of Europe will decrease from 52.65438 billion in 2065.438+06 to 482 million in 2050.