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Gold immigrants selling houses scam.
When it comes to buying and selling houses, I find that many people will be more entangled and hesitant in the past two years. How can I put it? In the past, house prices have been rising, and everyone knows that you can make money by buying a house. However, in the past two years, house prices have stabilized under the control, and many people are worried that they will fall after buying them, and they have become high-ranking people.
Therefore, the question that I received the most private messages backstage recently is whether the house will go up or down in five years. In this case, today, the author invited an insider to analyze it for everyone and see if the house will be "cabbage price" or "gold price" in five years.
0 1 insiders believe that whether the house will become a cabbage price or a gold price ultimately depends on the city.
Why do you say that? Because some time ago, China Academy of Social Sciences released a report entitled "China Housing Development Report (2020-202 1)", which mentioned that the overall property market in 202/KLOC-0 was stable: it resumed growth in the first half of the year and grew normally in the second half. Central cities, urban agglomerations and metropolitan areas recovered quickly, while other cities recovered slowly, and some fell into recession.
In other words, house prices will still rise this year, but not all cities will. The general inflation has ended, and the urban differentiation will be more obvious.
Why is this happening?
Actually, it's not hard to understand. First of all, with the passage of time, the demand for houses is gradually decreasing. According to the data given by the central bank, the current self-determination rate of residents is as high as 96%, with an average of 0/0/.5 sets per household.
In other words, every household now has a house, and there is basically no shortage of housing. What is lacking is a good house in a big city. After all, no one has a house in their hometown.
Secondly, under the restriction of three red lines and individual housing loans, most housing enterprises have to adopt the mode of exchanging price for quantity this year to win more funds back, otherwise it will be difficult to survive under high debt.
This means that houses that are difficult to sell in some cities will get more discounts. For example, Evergrande got a 30% discount last year. Will it be lower than this discount this year? Will the discount continue after five years? We might as well wait and see.
Finally, from the perspective of regulation, this year, the word "stability" is still outstanding.
The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development mentioned in the 20021year real estate work arrangement that the long-term mechanism scheme of real estate should be implemented steadily to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market. Unswervingly adhere to the position that houses are used for living, not for speculation, and fully implement the long-term mechanism of real estate.
It can be seen that this year will still be a means of controlling where it is hot and where it is cold.
Therefore, combining the above three points, we can know that whether the house price is cabbage or gold in five years depends on whether you choose the right city. As mentioned above, big cities have a large population and good expectations. You can rest assured that a large amount of funds will enter the property market, and house prices will naturally rise.
For some small cities, although buying a house is easy, it doesn't need much money to invest. However, it is also easy to stand guard at a high position. No one took over in the future, the increment was slow, the market could not win, and the food was tasteless.
As Wang Jianlin said in the interview, in the future 10, house prices in first-and second-tier cities will rise. This judgment is based on the development of urbanization in China. In the future, 200 million people will enter cities, mainly in first-and second-tier cities. However, for third-and fourth-tier cities with a net outflow of population, especially county towns, there is not much room for housing prices to rise.
Therefore, everyone must recognize the trend when buying a house, so as not to fall into their hands.
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