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What do you think of ZTE being sanctioned by the United States? How should ZTE respond to this incident?

ZTE's sanctions by the United States are related to interests, and ZTE should focus on research and development.

Last year, I knew a designer who designed high-speed AD/DA chips. I remember he used to be a researcher at Texas Instruments. Actually, I am gloating. Because most domestic enterprises didn't pay attention to this research before, some people may think that many domestic enterprises have invested a lot, but that's not what I saw.

I talked to some people who are engaged in the research and development of basic components and various hardware, including emerging companies in the fields of automobiles, new materials and chips. The general situation they reflect is that domestic enterprises cannot make demands. For a simple example, when I was working on the supercapacitor project, the product index of the factory I visited was only above average in the world, but the quality control was very good.

Since the product index is not the best, what should we do? The method of this factory is to adjust the performance of products according to the requirements of customers. For example, if you want a small internal resistance, then give up a little capacity; If you want a large capacity, the internal resistance should be larger; If you want large capacity and small internal resistance, then make the size bigger and the price more expensive; If high voltage is required, the service life will be shorter. Foreign customers are very satisfied with this. Give a specific index. If it can be realized, pay a high price. If not, we can also discuss which performance indicators to make some concessions.

After the sample is made, the customer will take it back for repeated testing. During this round trip, they will have a deeper understanding of various processes and technologies, and their products will become more and more advanced. But when domestic customers come, they can only make one or two basic requirements. If you can't satisfy them, how can you change them? I don't know, so try this part in the whole product, as long as there is no problem after trying it. In this way, either the test period is particularly long or the test samples are particularly small. Once the quantity is large, various problems will occur.

However, are foreigners really smarter and better at doing business? No, in fact, in the above example, Zhongmin is responsible for the domestic procurement of foreign companies, and Zhongmin is also responsible for product testing and puts forward index requirements.

This is not bad. Another time, I investigated a company that made plastic parts for automobiles. They made a world-leading part, but domestic car factories dare not use it. The reason why they dare not use it is because the parameters of the parts on the car are copied from abroad, and the enterprise does not know why the parameters of these parts are set like this. Once the newly designed parts are changed and some parameters are different, they dare not use them, so that the company can only apply to become a supplier of foreign manufacturers first and get them tested by GM and Volkswagen, and wait until GM and Volkswagen adopt them first.

Earlier, another company I know, an encoder, also encountered the same problem. To make matters worse, the products they made were forbidden to enter China by foreign countries, so when they were certified abroad, no company bought them. Domestic factories are even more afraid to use it, and they have survived for nearly ten years. Finally, they bought it from this company, because some weapons in China needed to be embargoed, and they couldn't buy it, and then the company survived.

Why should I gloat? Because people in China can't make things, but since they can make money lying down, no one wants to stand. They have no choice but to jump, and then these hardware makers have a way out.

Of course, if the United States also blocked the database used for design, then everyone would cry together. In fact, I think since we are talking about the strength of the whole country, we should throw money at several colleges and universities while the database is still available, and verify all the parameters in the database, so that we are one or two generations behind the United States at most, but at least most of the products in the semiconductor industry can still be saved.

On the other hand, I had dinner with two colleagues who worked as guarantors and funds several years ago.

Colleague B: "Why did you leave again?"

Me: "Now I don't need to adjust the projects of productive enterprises. Risk control positions are either online loans or state-owned enterprises, and many wages are less than 8,000; Industry analysis positions are all real estate, intensive real estate recruitment; The rest are state-owned enterprises and need a master's degree in finance. "

Colleague B: "What about your own project?"

Me: "It's too slow. I always have to find another job to make a living? " I have a friend who makes overseas investments, and I'm thinking of working as a sales post with him. "

Colleague A: "Is the span too big? Small loan bridge has a good business recently, and some good companies are short of money. "

Me: "So when this wave is over, these enterprises will be gone, and then I will jump ship? Or can I lend usury to state-owned enterprises? "

Colleague A: "Why not give it to state-owned enterprises?" We also cross the bridge for government projects. The state believes that state-owned enterprises are easier to manage than private enterprises. Now we are both in state-owned enterprises, except for a bunch of relatives and companies and a bunch of inexplicable study meetings. When we meet any meeting, we must watch the live news and write a report on how to conduct business in the spirit of XXX. I am in the fund business. What spiritual guidance do you think? "

Colleague B: "We just need to hold on for ten minutes after the live broadcast starts, and then we can run away."

Colleague A: "Never let us go."

Me: "You guys, it is enough for the state-owned assets to open a guarantee. What is the purpose of state-owned small loans? " And you put such a high interest rate on state-owned enterprises and government projects, how can you have a meeting? "

Colleague A: "Don't say that, we are an investment bank ~ ~, and what's wrong with this left pocket in the right pocket?"

Me: "... so reasonable, I am speechless. "

Colleague A: "We have a review meeting."

Me: "The review meeting of state-owned enterprises, you ask B, how does their review level compare with that of our private guarantee?"

Colleague B: "Don't say that. Our customers are very qualified, so it doesn't matter if the audit is almost done. "

Me: "How much did you lose? Have you lost money every year in recent years? "

Colleague B: "That's just compensation. There are still a lot of collateral, and it is impossible to be bad debts. "

Me: "How much did you default when you were doing private insurance risk control?" (Note: At that time, we were in the same company, and many businesses were unsecured. The business passed by the risk control department did not pay back the money, which was about 1.3%, and the bad debt was 0.8% after asset disposal).

Colleague B: "Hehe ~ ~"

Me: "Have you ever heard of ZTE? Switching to state-owned enterprises is convenient for internal management. Will this efficiency be beaten outside? "

Colleague A: "Small and medium-sized private enterprises have propped up 70% of China's economy. What do you think? "

Why do I give this example? Many people say that ZTE is very much like a state-owned enterprise.

And if the state-owned enterprise changes to ZTE's post, it is normal to leave all the planning reports in the computer. Because doing this kind of thing, we follow the normal process and leave enough evidence. Only those who participate in the problem can throw away the pot. If we really want to do everything in secret and leave no trace, as some people say, we will not wait for the American investigation, and these people involved will be destroyed by colleagues in a way that is light and illegal, but heavy and corrupt. The Changjiang scholar set up his own company, imported experimental materials at a lower price, and was finally jailed on the charge of misappropriating 500 thousand. Is it forgotten by everyone so soon?

If ZTE people don't follow the formal process of auditing, keep all kinds of meeting minutes and notify other colleagues in the company, they are likely to be like this Changjiang scholar in the future. And if you do these things well, even if something happens in the future, you will not be responsible for it yourself. It's just that they didn't expect the United States to be so tough, but if the United States is tough again, it will require the dismissal of several executives. Why didn't other participants even deduct the bonus? All because of these preserved files.

In the first round of Sino-US trade war, I said that China targeted Trump's ticket warehouse and Trump targeted China's manufacturing and technology enterprises.