I am in the installation-free version of Cell Division 6 under the Wanderer Starry Sky, but there is no sound after entering the game.

Multi-site property market welcomes "Golden September and Silver 10" Wang Di Feast, September 9, 2003 20 10:00.

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□ The plot of "Xujiahui Center Project" in Xuhui District of Shanghai has become the new "land king of total price" in Shanghai/Xinhua News Agency

Looking back on 2009, when many "land kings" were born, the current rate of return of recorded plots was not as great as expected, and the situation of entering the market below the auction reserve price often occurred nationwide. The way developers make money is different from the way ordinary people settle accounts. People who think that the "expectation" is changing only when they see the floor price should know that for the most valuable plots, developers will also adopt the method of subsection development.

According to Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, September 8 th

A group of "land kings"

From September 2nd to 5th, Tianjin, Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou and Suzhou were born one after another. Is China real estate market really in a new rising cycle?

At the beginning of September, China land market staged round after round of land competition. 1. The unit price of Tianjin homestead "Wang Di" appeared on the 2nd. Two days later, the "Wang Di" of Beijing Agricultural Exhibition Hall appeared at a floor price of 73,000 yuan/square meter. Then, a new "Wang Di" with a total transaction price of 210.77 billion yuan was born in Shanghai, and Suzhou and Hangzhou also began to stage a land battle. ...

One huge data after another not only makes "small partners stunned", but also makes people have a nearly unanimous view on the future trend of the real estate market: can land prices not rise with such an increase in land prices?

In fact, as early as two months ago, "Wang Di" once again became the focus of attention. After the market briefly digested the new regulatory policies introduced in the first half of the year, the land market took the lead in kicking off the rebound that began in May. In Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and other first-tier cities, high premium land for business transactions frequently appears, and correspondingly, the national land transfer income has exploded. According to the statistics of the Central Plains Real Estate Research Department, from June 5438 to July this year, the income from the transfer of state-owned land use rights reached 20 1, 5 1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.4%. According to the land supply plan disclosed in various places, in September, Shanghai, Beijing, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Nanchang, Jinan and other cities will have large plots entering the market, and the land market will usher in a "blowout".

At the same time, the national housing prices seem to confirm the rationality of this "gamble". According to the data of housing prices in 70 cities in July released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the year-on-year increase of housing prices in first-tier cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou all exceeded 10%, and Beijing led the country with a year-on-year increase of nearly 20%.

Is China real estate market really in a new rising cycle?

A Weibo.

WANG Shi: "The shrewd Mr. Li Ka-shing is selling real estate in Beijing and Shanghai. This is a signal. Be careful! "

In fact, in addition to the frequent occurrence of "land kings" last week, there is another Weibo that deserves special attention. After learning that the floor price of Beijing Agricultural Exhibition Hall was 73,000 yuan/square meter, Wang Shi commented on Weibo: "The clever Mr. Li Ka-shing is selling real estate in Beijing and Shanghai. This is the signal, be careful! "

Although we can't draw the conclusion that the property market bubble is about to burst from Li Ka-shing's selling, the arbitrage behavior of smart businessmen illustrates a simple truth: there is no market in the world that only rises but does not fall.

However, this truth is very weak in front of the real estate market in China. In the past 20 years, both local governments and real estate developers, as well as those who started earlier, have gained too much return from the real estate market. Real estate has become the most valuable asset in the eyes of China people. Even the label "multi-owner" has become an important standard for China people to measure "Gao Fushuai" and "Bai Fumei". Indeed, there is no market that can only go up and down, but as long as you don't take the last stick, you are still a rich man. The huge market inertia has developed the property market mentality of speculation by the whole people; The wealth that can appreciate in a few months also makes people want to believe that buying a house is the most "rational" investment method.

Although the news of "land king" keeps breaking out, there are also countless "ghost towns", but compared with the accumulation of financial risks, the decline of purchasing power and the change of supply and demand balance, real estate vested interests seem to be more willing to see the expected "improvement" of the market.

In fact, the real estate market has always been a special market with strong regionality. The "land king" of first-tier cities can only reflect the supply and demand characteristics of first-tier cities, and even only reflect the market value of the area where the land parcel is located. Expecting such news will change the whole real estate market, which in itself is a "marketing" thinking of manufacturing concept.

Looking back on 2009, when many "land kings" were born, the return rate of land parcels that set one price record after another at that time was not as great as people thought, and the situation of entering the market below the auction reserve price often appeared nationwide.

The way developers make money is different from the way ordinary people settle accounts. People who think that the "expectation" of floor price is changing only should know that most developers will adopt the method of subsection development, losing three years and earning two years, and finally whether they can make money really depends on whether the "expectation" of buyers can change.

Officials from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development interpret hot spots in the property market.

Why do hot cities have a high increase?

The property market is divided into cities and enterprises, and the newly started area in Beijing and Shanghai is negative.

Qin Hong, Director of Policy Research Center of Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: From 1 to the operation of the real estate market in July this year, urban differentiation and enterprise differentiation are the most important features. House prices in some big cities are still rising obviously, most cities are basically stable, and a few cities are in a downward trend. Brand enterprises have achieved good results in the first half of the year, but some enterprises still face great financial pressure and sales difficulties. After more than ten years of rapid development, it can be predicted that the real estate market in China has bid farewell to the monolithic structure, and the future differentiation will be the norm.

The reason behind the differentiation of urban real estate market is mainly the imbalance of demand growth caused by population flow. In particular, a large number of young people gather in big cities with more employment opportunities and better public services, resulting in a large number of housing needs, which is manifested in the continuous increase in the proportion of first-time buyers aged 20 to 35 in big cities.

Compared with the growth of demand, the supply of major cities in the first half of the year was obviously insufficient. Until June this year, the newly started residential area in the eastern region was still negative growth of 0.6%, of which Beijing was negative 10. 1% and Shanghai was negative 13.2%. In the case that the policy continues to curb speculative investment and has not changed, house prices are still rising, which only shows that there is an imbalance between supply and demand in these places.

Where is the focus of property market regulation?

The regulatory policies remain stable and continuous optimization is more targeted.

Qin Hong: Since 20 10, the keynote of real estate regulation and control policy is to curb speculative demand and meet the reasonable demand of housing market. This policy orientation is conducive to narrowing the imbalance between the possession and consumption of housing resources, and more specifically solving the main contradictions existing in current housing; Second, it is conducive to better combining the housing policy with the needs of national economic development, which is reflected in increasing the construction of affordable housing projects and supporting first-time buyers, which not only improves people's livelihood, but also helps to support economic growth.

At present, China's economic growth is changing from high-speed growth to medium-speed growth. I think the focus of real estate market regulation at this time should be to maintain the continuity and stability of policy direction; In terms of policy measures, it is constantly optimized and more targeted.

In addition to administrative means, there are three economic means of real estate regulation: land, credit and tax, which should be implemented according to the law. Among them, the effect of land regulation is the most direct. In places where supply and demand are tight, measures should be taken to increase the supply of residential land and improve the efficiency of land use to alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand. Credit means are flexible and suitable for camera decision. We must adhere to the policy of differentiation, support just-needed, and limit investment. Tax policy is an indispensable basic system in the real estate market and has strong stability. As a means of regulation and control, taxation has a complicated transmission mechanism, uncertain impact on housing prices, and is generally used less frequently, and the adjustment of taxation involves laws and regulations.

There are many factors that affect housing prices, such as unbalanced urban development, social functions such as education and medical care tied to housing, and local finance's dependence on land revenue, which cannot be solved by regulatory policies, and further reform of institutional mechanisms is needed.

Why are some cities restricted from upgrading?

It is necessary to upgrade the "purchase restriction order", but it is more necessary to combine "thinning" with "blocking"

Qin Hong: The recent escalation of "purchase restriction" in Zhengzhou and other places should be mainly due to the government's commitment to complete the housing price control targets announced at the beginning of the year. In those cities where housing prices have risen too fast due to insufficient supply, upgrading the "purchase restriction" is an emergency way to alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand, and it is also a necessary measure for the government to realize the decline of housing price increase in a short time.

However, while taking this emergency measure, it also reminds us that local governments must be more predictable about the local supply and demand situation and have policies and measures that combine "sparse" and "blocked", otherwise the effect of "blocked" alone will be unsustainable.

Where is the breakthrough in building a long-term mechanism?

Let all kinds of people in cities and towns know what housing policy they are facing.

Qin Hong: In my opinion, the key to establishing a long-term mechanism for the healthy development of the real estate market is to solve the problem that the whole society has a stable "expectation" for housing policies, that is, to let all kinds of people in towns know what kind of housing policies they are facing.

For example, low-income families know which housing security policies they will enjoy; Young people without housing know the solution to the housing problem; People who already have multiple houses know what the housing policy is.

Nowadays, due to the unstable expectation of housing policy, many people are eager to buy a house without the economic basis of buying a house, which not only increases the current market demand, overdraws the future demand, but also increases the pressure of life and produces complaints.

Therefore, the policy of long-term mechanism should be a set of policies to stabilize expectations, and its core should be to build a supply system covering the housing needs of all residents, supplemented by supporting policies and resolutely implement them.