What is the development prospect of Xi Anheneng Real Estate?

1, the prospect of China's steel industry depends on a word from an official. be like

The iron and steel industry holds the lifeblood of the national economy and accounts for a large proportion of the gross domestic product. Of course, the country will not let this industry slump. At present, the integration of steel industry seems to be a prelude and a good direction. China's steel production capacity is seriously in excess of demand. In the case of blocked exports, we can only increase infrastructure investment to stimulate domestic demand. Otherwise, steel prices will plummet and economic losses will be heavy. On the other hand, steel mills will gradually reduce the production capacity of general materials and gradually develop into high-quality and high-quality varieties. Only in this way can we achieve a balance of production capacity and then enter a benign development. The steel industry must unite to integrate resources and eliminate backward production capacity. The listing of steel futures is also a form of resource integration. I personally believe that national leaders will not joke about the national economy. China Iron and Steel will intensify the integration of production capacity, eliminate backward production capacity, develop into high-quality steel, and connect with developed countries. In the future, the information of steel mills will gradually become transparent, and the proportion of steel directly supplied by steel mills will also increase; Intermediate traders, on the other hand, were cut off because of the gradual compression of profits, and gradually developed in the direction of processing and logistics distribution.

Of course, this is a long process, domestic steel demand will increase in the future, and it will take a long time to balance production capacity with domestic demand and external demand.

If you want to see the production and supply and demand of the steel industry, you can refer to:

Research Report on China Iron and Steel Industry in the Post-20 10 Crisis Era

If you want to look at the investment situation in the steel industry as a reference for investment risks, you can look at:

20 10 steel industry risk analysis report

2. The most likely situation of China real estate in the future is to reshuffle the cards, which will get bigger and bigger, and the small and medium-sized enterprises will be driven out of the market.

According to the data of "Residential Sales Ranking of China Real Estate Enterprises in the First Three Quarters of 20 10", despite the strict regulation since April this year, the real estate industry has still handed over quite eye-catching transcripts, among which Vanke and Evergrande won the championship in sales amount and sales area respectively.

In 20 10, the tax revenue of Chinese government exceeded 8 trillion yuan, and the land transfer revenue excluding budget revenue of governments at all levels reached 2.7 trillion yuan, of which the capital Beijing reached163.9 billion yuan, ranking first in the country. According to the 20 10 economic data released by the National Bureau of Statistics10 on October 20th, the gross domestic product (GDP) of 20 10 is 39,798.3 billion yuan. Assuming that according to the proportion of Beijing, the total national real estate sales in 20 10 is estimated to be 4.8 trillion yuan, then the direct real estate market alone will create more than 12% of GDP. If 60 directly related industries driven by real estate are counted, the real estate industry in China really holds up half of China's economy.

Due to high interest rate financing, the scale of real estate trusts increased significantly last year. In the first half of last year, the proportion of real estate trusts in all trust projects was close to 50%, and the proportion rose to 56% in August. In the previous seven years, the proportion of real estate projects in the overall investment has always remained at 30%. In the first eight months of last year, the issuance scale of real estate trusts has exceeded 654.38+0047 billion yuan. By the end of June, the annualized rate of return was as high as 654.38+07%, which means that the project financing cost is almost close to 30%. It is difficult for developers with weak financial strength to support such high-cost financing. The sharp increase in risks has led small and medium-sized developers to withdraw from the real estate market. Some non-real estate listed companies announced their withdrawal from the industry in order to avoid risks in exchange for refinancing qualifications. Once the developer's capital chain collapses, private investors will be separated; Once the RMB falls, the overseas financing cost of developers will rise instead of falling.

3、

When many people are about to retire, the stock market becomes cheaper. The same is true of house prices: the more people of working age, the fewer people will retire, so the more people retire, the lower the possibility of house prices rising.

According to Standard Chartered Bank (standard

Charter) data, starting from 20 14. It is estimated that by 2030, the median age of the population in the United States will reach 40, and that in China will reach 4 1. This is just another reason to stay away from the China stock market.

I hope the above points are helpful to you.