Romance of the Three Kingdoms (original) No.665438 +0 for reading notes

To raise this question, we must first be psychologically prepared: be prepared to swear! For more than 1000 years, Zhuge Liang has been worshipped as the embodiment of wisdom, the empty city plan, and even the wisdom in wisdom, so that the empty city plan in Thirty-six Plans is also among them. Therefore, it seems unwise to ask this question.

But I still have to ask: Did Sima Yi really fall for it?

The answer is simple. Sima Yi was never caught. He deliberately let Zhuge Liang go and led him to this behavior. This is a huge political conspiracy of Sima Yi.

In order to make the analysis more orderly, first introduce the two protagonists, Zhuge Liang and Sima Yi, and the two regimes they represent, Shu and Wei, and draw a conclusion.

In the thirteenth year of Jian 'an, Zhuge Liang put forward the famous "Longzhong Dui", made a prospect and action plan for social politics, military affairs, diplomacy and internal affairs at that time, and determined the idea of developing to the Central Plains based on Sichuan. After ten years of operation and twenty-four years of Jian 'an, we finally have the land of two rivers, and realized Longzhong's strategic plan for the first half: "crossing the Jing, benefiting and ensuring". This is the right strategy, and it has been realized. But Longzhong's strategy for the second half was wrong, and the stealth and pincer attack were right. It reversed the position of the main force and the partial division, so it was called an "invisible mistake": "If the world changes, the soldiers of Jingzhou will be led to Wan and Luo, and the generals will lead the people of Yizhou to Qinchuan." On the surface, it completely conforms to the battlefield rules, allowing the enemy to fight on both sides, but what is fatal is that the main force and some divisions used the wrong direction, causing irreparable losses.

What's the reason? This is because: after Xian Di moved the capital to Xudu, Qinchuan has lost its political status of commanding the whole country; After the war, the economy and people's livelihood of "high ruins everywhere, ten rooms and nine empty rooms" could not support the action of large troops; The large troops are far from the rear, across the mountain, and the supply cannot be replenished in time. Materials travel long distances across mountains, and once they are cut off, large troops are extremely dangerous. Therefore, on the premise of preventing attacks, it is appropriate to use small and capable troops to attack everywhere and contain the enemy. That's all. This is the direction of Qinchuan. Jingzhou is in different directions. Jingzhou is located on the Yangtze River, and it is strategically located in the upper, middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River with Iraq, Nanjing and Yang. If they occupy Jingzhou, Yizhou and Jingzhou will all be alive, and they can go down the river militarily. What's more, Jingzhou's "Woye Shengshi" strategically forced Wan and Luo to control Jiangnan. Therefore, the so-called "crossing Jing Yi and protecting its rock resistance" is the battlefield for military strategists. "Jingzhou is connected with the country, and if it is available, this imperial city can also be obtained" (Volume XIII of Zi Zhi Tong Jian). However, due to Jingzhou's small size and lack of depth, Zhuge Liang repeatedly warned Guan Yu to "reject Cao in the east and Sun Quan in the north" to avoid being attacked on both sides. Even so, once a small group of troops were under pressure, the situation was extremely dangerous, so Guan Yu lost Jingzhou. Therefore, it is appropriate to use large forces and exert continuous military pressure to achieve the goal of firmly controlling strategic locations, so that they can advance and retreat freely and move freely.

It's a pity that Zhuge Liang made a mistake here and didn't pay attention to Jingzhou. After Guan Yu lost Jingzhou, it was impossible for Shu Han to "go east downstream" from now on, and Qinchuan could not get through, so he was trapped in the land of two rivers.

When Zhuge Liang realized this, it was too late. He faced a choice: active attack or passive defense?

He knows his weight. In "A Model", he said: "When you measure the talent of a minister, you will know that only by cutting thieves can you weaken the enemy and strengthen it." If you don't take the initiative to make progress, you will say, "If you don't cut off the thief, Wang Ye will die, but you are doing nothing. Which one is it? " This is because "we can't be partial to the capital of Shu". If you want to make progress, what are your strengths? Since entering Hanzhong, after the battle of Yiling (burning camp), in a few years, * * * more than 70 generals who are good at taking the lead and 1000 military backbones have died successively. These military backbones have been accumulated and cultivated for decades. If we spend a few more years, it will be two-thirds less, which obviously shows that our strength is insufficient. If you wait for the enemy to attack, the price you pay is equal to taking the initiative to attack. As the saying goes, "live and travel, work and expenses are just waiting." This is Zhuge Liang's personal understanding, which is more objective.

At all times and in all countries, war is a military war on the surface, but in fact it is a logistics war, a protracted war and a comprehensive national strength war. What is the comprehensive national strength of Shu? There is a set of figures in the official history of the reflection, which shows that when Shu died, "there were 280,000 households, 940,000 men and women, 102,000 sergeants, 40,000 officials and more than 400,000 granaries (gold, stone? ), gold and silver each two thousand jins ... ". It can be said that the inventory has reached the point of sweeping bricks and seams, and it is a country's material reserve! As can be seen from the figures, on average, there is one soldier for every nine people and one official for every seven households. (According to: Today's politicians should learn from it! This situation was not much better even during Zhuge Liang's first Northern Expedition. So don't talk about "setting the Central Plains in the north and restoring the Han Dynasty". It's hard to protect yourself. It is no wonder that Zhuge Liang admitted: "Everything is so unpredictable that we will not rest until we die. As for failure, I am outspoken, which I don't know. "

Such was the situation in Shu, and Zhuge Liang also realized that Sima Yi, a politician and strategist who was intrigued politically at that time, certainly knew the situation in the other two countries around him like the back of his hand. He deliberately exaggerated the strength of the other side, alarmist, in order to firmly grasp the armed forces of Wei, in order to achieve his political goal-once the time is ripe, seize the political power of Wei.

What is the situation of Wei behind Sima Yi? As far as Wei is concerned, since Cao Cao occupied the land of the Central Plains, he has leveled all the dignitaries in the territory, pacified the north and reached the Liaodong Peninsula. By adopting the policy of stabilizing territory, reclaiming farmland, building water conservancy and developing agriculture, the productivity has been greatly improved, the whole territory has been initially stabilized, and it has gradually become the political center of the country. More importantly, although he was nominally the prime minister of the Han Dynasty, he actually firmly grasped the state power, unified power, and gave orders to the whole country in the name of Han Dynasty orthodoxy, which reflected the political talent of a politician. In the twenty-five years of Jian 'an, Cao Cao died, and Cao Pi was the founder of Wei on behalf of Han Dynasty. Seven years later, Cao Pi died, his son Cao Rui was Wang Wei, and Sima Yi was appointed as the commander-in-chief of the national armed forces-General A title of generals in ancient times. For a political careerist like Sima Yi, it is really a good opportunity to fall from the sky! However, according to Sima Yi's own measurement, the time to seize the Wei regime is not yet mature: Cao Cao died only seven years ago, and a group of loyal ministers are still there; His wings are not full; Imperial officials had a lot of doubts about themselves ... So, he retreated and wrote to Cao Rui to station troops in Xiliang. On the surface, it is defending Yong and Liangzhou, but in fact it is sticking to the army, supporting military minions and waiting for opportunities.

It was at this time that Zhuge Liang made his first northern expedition, and the "empty city plan" will also happen in this battle.

Zhuge Liang heard that Sima Yi was stationed in Harmony and Cool, and immediately realized that Shu was in danger, and advocated preemptive attack on Wei. When he was about to send troops, he used a double agent to get rid of Sima Yi, the number one enemy of Shu, which was decided by Zhuge Liang's suspicion of Sima Yi. As soon as this plan was implemented, it received immediate results. Wei Zaichao's ministers threw stones one after another: Sima Yi looked at the wolf and could not hand over the military power; (This is really where to start. There are trumped-up charges! ) Sima Yi ... ... knows the military strategy well, is good at knowing the military strategy, and is always ambitious. If it is not eliminated early, it will be a long-term disaster ... Finally, Sima Yi was relieved of the military power. A little trick actually made the commander-in-chief who commanded the national armed forces lose the military power, which shows the degree of suspicion of Sima Yi in Wei Guo Zhong. Sima yi accepted the ending by retreating, temporarily retired and waited for the opportunity. Sure enough, the news of Zhuge Liang's winning streak came ahead, and his son Sima Shi predicted: "The court will soon use his father." It was not until Zhuge Liang won three cities in succession and alarmed the Wei regime that Sima Yi was forced to regain the military power and won a decisive victory in the street pavilion. Zhuge Liang is just trying to empty the city. At this time, if Sima Yi catches Kong Ming, his use value will be finished, and the relieving he finally returned will be gone. Only a fool would do that.

Zhuge Liang set an empty plan, which was really a last resort. At that time, Zhuge Liang was surrounded by only 2,500 soldiers, plus a group of civil servants, guarding a small new city. Knowing that Sima Yi led 150,000 troops, all the people around him were eclipsed. Troop ratio: 1: 60! It is a foregone conclusion that the battle has not been won. Zhuge Liang knew it well and fled the city. Other150,000 soldiers swarmed in, and he was certain to die. We're going to make an adventurous design-it's death anyway-and maybe there's hope for life. As for Sima Yi, there are 150,000 soldiers, and ―― 150,000 is not a small number ―― they are not afraid of ambush. Even if the other party has the means to reach the sky, they can keep going. I believe that Sima Yi's inner struggle must be fierce when he was meditating at the gate: armies swarmed in and captured Zhuge Liang alive, making great contributions in the first battle. When he won the victory with the red flag, the Emperor of Heaven led hundreds of officials to meet him and held a ceremony to offer prisoners, which was extremely glorious. However, after the glory, the relieving will be lost. Not only is it impossible to seize Wei, but it is still unknown whether the head can grow in its original position. This is the usual trick of all rulers. In this regard, the wily Sima Yi is of course very clear that he decided after weighing badly; It is better to let Zhuge Liang go and leave an opponent who can't play a decisive role at all as a condition to ensure his legal existence. Sure enough, after Sima Yi returned to the DPRK, he took the opportunity to kill Cao, an important official of Wei State. Short-lived Cao Rui was emperor for only thirteen years, and his son Cao Fang became emperor. The regime basically fell into the hands of Sima Yi. Later, he got rid of Cao Shuang, another trusted official and Ye Chen's son, and planted cronies all over North Korea. At this time, twenty years after Cao Cao's death, Cao Cao's original confidant had almost died. Even if North Korea suspects him, there is nothing it can do. The time is ripe. Soon, his son officially proclaimed himself emperor, with the title of Jin and the history of Western Jin.

Don't think I'm just talking nonsense. The international modern version of the "empty city plan" is under way. If Sima Yi's descendants are still alive, they can ask the US government for copyright fees! As a contemporary superpower, whoever wants to attack, bomb and destroy Libya, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Iraq ... just needs an excuse. But for a small Palestinian, the Americans allowed him to turn against Israel from beginning to end. Isn't Israel a close friend of America? For the peace of Israel, as long as the Americans do something, Palestine will not exist and Israel will be at peace. But why don't Americans do this? (It is equivalent to Sima Yi letting Zhuge Liang go) The reason is simple: "The wisdom of the United States is in the heads of China people; American money is in the pockets of Jews. " Most of America's wealth is in the hands of American Jews. In order to make the Jews pay for it, they must ask the United States for something from the Jews. For the sake of Israel's national security, the Jewish rich in the United States will happily open their wallets. Only by letting Palestine continue to make trouble with Israel can this be achieved. The key is to control both sides just right, not too much! The same is true of the relations between other Arab countries and Israel. Without a war, oil from the Middle East will flow into American oil depots, which is "in the interest of the United States".

Careful observation will reveal that there are many such cases around us and in our daily life. Don't waste your mind if it's none of your business.

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