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The internal logic of changing with constancy.

The only constant in this world is constant change. If we can know the future trend, we can lay out the layout in advance. There is no if in reality, how to deal with the changing world. The solution is to find the underlying logic that the world has always been like this. Respond to change with perseverance.

0 1. Humanity, Morality and Law

There are only two things in human nature, that is, survival and reproduction. Morality is a social contract for everyone to survive better. Law is a subset of morality and the bottom line, telling people what not to do.

02. Choice is greater than effort

There are three layers of wisdom. The first level is the game, where you fight to the death and win by cooperation. The optimal solution is that I synchronize your operation, you are good and I am good, you are bad and I am bad. The second level is determination, choosing a goal to continue to deepen and finally achieve the goal. The third layer is the wisdom of choice. Learning to choose is very important. It takes great wisdom to know what to choose and what to give up. Because choice is greater than effort.

03. Facts, opinions, beliefs and positions

What we say can generally be divided into facts and opinions. For example, the temperature is 30 degrees now, which is a fact. And you said it was hot now, that's your opinion. If you say that I don't feel hot at all, because you don't want to turn on the air conditioner because you are a property, then this is a matter of position. Faith is everyone's logical self-consistency Everyone has his own beliefs. Don't attack unless you want to lose friends.

04. Beware of brainwashing.

If someone asks you why the earth is square. I believe you will immediately realize that there is something wrong with the latter part, because you know that the earth is not square, but there are some vague questions, such as why Darwin began to believe in Christ in his later years, and you may start to find reasons for his reasons.

05. See the essence through things

We always say that seeing is believing, but many times appearances will confuse us. Especially in the face of survivor bias, people often take it for granted that this is the case. You know there is something wrong with your samples. Didn't you consider those samples that don't conform to the situation? You can also use the methods of hypothesis, verification, induction and adjustment to discuss things objectively and find the essence.

06. Key steps to analyze the problem

Remember the following five steps to analyze the problem and gain insight into the essence: 1) Find the core stock. 2) Find the key causal chain. 3) Find the enhancement loop. 4) Find the regulating circuit. 5) Consider the lag effect. Excellent managers should find ways to improve the reinforcement circuit and weaken the influence of the regulation circuit.

07. Establish logical literacy

The basic logical literacy begins with four sentences: 1) No matter whether the certificate is true or not, finding a black swan can show that not all swans are white. 2) Partial and incomplete. 3) Evidence depends on examples. 4) It all depends on reasoning.

08. The Secret of Wealth and Freedom

The secret of wealth freedom is that you rely on the principal in the early stage and the toughness in the later stage. When your principal is small, you don't earn much every year 100%. To get the principal, you need to improve your earning ability, strive to achieve high returns and stability, ensure that you can continue to get high returns, and finally limit your desires. If you let your desires swell, no matter how high your income is, you can't squander it.

09. Probabilistic thinking

Probabilistic thinking means that when you do anything, you should accept our fate frankly. The success probability of the Internet is 5%, so you can improve 12% by grasping the opportunities of the times, 5% by relying on strategies, 2% by organizational design, and 1% by personal efforts. In this way, your success rate will reach 25%. If you try four times, you have a chance of success.

10. Time management

The core of time management is choice. For the priorities of things, choose those to do first, those to do later, and those not to do. It doesn't mean to save 10 seconds from 10 minutes, but to use 10 minutes to decide that it's not worth doing, thus saving 100 hours.

Original books: underlying logic

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