Does the Shanghai school district with frequent hot searches usher in a moderate cooling?

On March 16, Weibo searched the Shanghai School District.

On the same day, the Shanghai Municipal Education Commission issued the "Implementation Measures for the Enrollment Reform of Ordinary Senior High Schools in Shanghai" (hereinafter referred to as the "Implementation Measures"). According to this method, by 2022, every junior high school in Shanghai that does not choose students can, in principle, get the quota allocated by the city's high-quality high schools, so as to ensure inter-school equality to the greatest extent. With the deepening of this reform measure, the problem of choosing schools in junior high schools, which has long troubled the parents of primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, will be gradually alleviated.

This is not the first time that the Shanghai school district has been searched. In the second half of 2020, the housing in Shanghai School District has been hotly debated by netizens due to rising prices. According to the monitoring data of Ke Rui, since March 2020, the price of new houses in some school districts of Dasanlin plate and Zhangjiang plate has increased by more than 50%. In 2020, the average transaction price of new commercial housing in Shanghai was 55,994 yuan/square meter, up 2.5% year-on-year.

Does the school district cool down moderately?

On March 16, the Shanghai Municipal Education Commission announced the implementation measures. This is the supporting document of 20 18 "Implementation Opinions of Shanghai Municipality on Further Promoting the Reform of the Senior High School Entrance Examination System", which is applicable to candidates who will take the senior high school entrance examination in Shanghai from 2022. The "Implementation Measures" stipulates that from 2022, Shanghai senior high school enrollment can be divided into three types: independent enrollment, comprehensive evaluation quota allocation and unified enrollment.

It is worth noting that this policy puts forward the system of "comprehensive evaluation and admission of quota allocation". Admission by comprehensive evaluation of quota allocation is a new enrollment method determined by Shanghai's "Reform Plan for Senior High School Entrance Examination", including quota allocation to district enrollment and quota allocation to school enrollment, accounting for 50%-65% of the total enrollment plan of experimental demonstration high schools in the city. Compared with before the reform, the proportion of quota allocation has been further expanded. Among them, the quota is allocated to the district enrollment, and the enrollment is arranged according to the total score; Places are allocated to school enrollment, with junior high school as the unit and enrollment according to the total score plan.

"The purpose of this policy is mainly to give outstanding students from all kinds of junior high schools the opportunity to enter prestigious schools (high schools), which will have a certain impact on the school district, but the impact is expected to be limited." Yu Xiaoyu, director of Han Yizhiku, told the Securities Daily reporter.

"At present, the regulations from primary school to junior high school have not changed. Property buyers will still buy school districts if they have the strength. The resources of friends in high-quality schools are highly valued by parents. The advantages of prestigious junior high schools may be relatively weak, but they may be stronger than ordinary junior high schools. Maybe there used to be 200 places in a famous junior high school, but now there are 80 places. Ordinary junior high schools may have been 0, and now it is 1. " Yu Xiaoyu added to the reporter of Securities Daily.

Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, told the Securities Daily reporter, "According to the monitoring data of Ke Rui, the prices of popular school districts in Shanghai have been adjusted back from the highest point last year at the beginning of this year. The introduction of this new junior high school enrollment policy should moderately cool down the school district. "

Experts suggest rational home ownership.

The price increase of school districts has become a hot word in the Shanghai property market in the second half of 2020. The "Securities Daily" reporter visited and found that in 2020, the prices of many second-hand housing communities in the Qiantan plate in the Dasanlin area of Shanghai and many communities in Zhangjiang Group Middle School all increased by more than 50%. The price of second-hand houses in several communities far exceeds 654.38+ 10,000 yuan/square meter, while the average price of new houses in Qiantan is around 90,000 yuan/square meter, which is seriously upside down.

"At present, the scores of new houses in the core area have not reached 60 points (full marks, Shanghai new houses implement a scoring system), which is basically in a relatively backward position. The possibility of lottery is small, and families with full marks have greater hopes. For property buyers, buying a new house is profitable. The second-hand housing with a slightly better school district is basically upside down with the price of new houses, and the price is also sky-high. " An insider of a local real estate enterprise in Shanghai told the Securities Daily reporter.

"In Linsan area, the increase of second-hand houses is relatively large in 2020, and the transaction price of some communities such as Boxuejiayuan has risen from the lowest of 60,000/square meter last year to the highest of 65,438+10,000/square meter. Second-hand houses in Linsan area generally rose last year, with the lowest increase of 30% and the highest doubling. Take the Dulin Jiayuan in Linsan as an example. At the beginning of 2020, the average price of second-hand houses in this community was 52,000 yuan/square meter, and now the basic unit price exceeds 80,000 yuan/square meter. " A staff member of a second-hand house transaction in Linsan District of Shanghai told the Securities Daily reporter.

Yan Yuejin said in an interview with the Securities Daily: "In this educational reform in Shanghai, high-quality high school resources will be allocated in the form of quota allocation. All kinds of schools can enjoy more fair enrollment opportunities in the future, which naturally reduces the phenomenon of' grabbing school districts', and then promotes the cooling of the prices of related school districts. For parents and property buyers, under this kind of education reform policy, we should actively understand the original intention of the policy reform, that is, the reform idea of' equalization of educational resources', and rational school selection and rational home ownership have become crucial. "

Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute released the report "Shanghai Education Reform Begins, Education Resources Balance Is Good for Housing Price Stability", and analyzed the education reform policy of Shanghai Education Commission on March 16, focusing on the reform content of "quota allocation comprehensive evaluation admission", what risks existed in Shanghai school district housing last year, how the school district housing market changed under the education reform, and how parents should rationally choose schools and purchase houses.

The report points out that this policy proposal is based on the goal and spirit of education reform, and also reflects the risks and problems of the housing market in Shanghai school district in 2020. Take the Dasanlin plate (including Qiantan), where there was much speculation in the school district last year, for example, the average transaction price of new commercial housing in 2020 was 99,359 yuan/square meter, the highest year-on-year increase. According to the report, the similar increase in school districts is obviously too large. If the subsequent price falls, it is easy to cause various risks to property buyers.

"The senior high school entrance examination is to look at the scores. Before that, you can apply for schools across regions (there may be only one school across regions). It will be fairer now. This is a good start. Although it is the first place in ordinary junior high school, the score still can't reach the admission score of famous schools. Now that there are places, you can go to a prestigious school. After the reform, high school famous schools are still the best among the best, from' junior high school famous schools+famous schools in the city' to' famous schools in all districts+famous schools in junior high schools+famous schools in the city'. " Yu Xiaoyu told the Securities Daily reporter about Shanghai's new high school admission policy.