20 1 1 Hunchun house price?

Hehe ... it would be nice if it really drops to 2500, but the price of the fund-raising building in Beishan is really the same, and it is still the same in the urban area. It hasn't dropped since Changjitu was approved at the end of last year, starting at around 3,200 and starting at around 3,500 for the elevator building. However, Hunchun friends who want to buy a house don't have to rush to buy first. Don't listen to the sales place saying, "We're half sold", "Several floors are gone" and "Now the price will go up soon ..." 2011The price will definitely be slightly lowered.

Reason 1: At present, the state is regulating the real estate industry because of the soaring first-line housing prices, and has issued a series of property market regulation policies (controlling loans, controlling the number of housing units, and property tax ...). Although it has nothing to do with Hunchun, the housing prices in Hunchun do have a bubble, and there is nothing good in the context of re-regulation.

The second reason: Hunchun's economic development is slow, and the rigid demand for buying houses is insufficient under the background of no population growth. The Hunchun government has done a good job in the supply of affordable housing and low-rent housing. It is almost impossible for houses in Hunchun to be in short supply, and there is no market for them.

The third reason (most critical): China's cpi has reached 4.4% (in fact, inflation is much higher than this figure). In order to control inflation, the state has continuously increased the bank reserve ratio, and since 20 10/0, the benchmark interest rate of RMB deposits and loans of financial institutions has been raised. The benchmark interest rate for one-year deposits was raised by 0.25 percentage points, from the current 2.25% to 2.50%. In other words, the loose monetary policy has been transformed into a tight monetary policy. If interest rates are raised again at the end of a few years or early next year, and then 3-4 times next year, the amount of loans will be reduced. Hunchun's real estate developers don't have the strength and cash flow guarantee, and they either go bankrupt or reduce prices to promote cash withdrawal.

Reason 4: Real estate has entered a recession cycle, with the first real estate business cycle (from 1985 urban real estate reform-1990 negative growth in real estate investment), the second real estate business cycle (from 1992 southern tour of Deng Xiaoping-1997 second negative growth in real estate completion) and the third real estate cycle from. In fact, 2008 should have ended, but because the country's 4 trillion economy has stimulated the real estate recession for a long time, the international situation is now complicated (European subprime mortgage crisis, currency war ...), the national fiscal deficit and high inflation ... it is impossible to print a lot of money, so the real estate collapse is not far away.