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Shanghai subway drives the surrounding housing prices to soar by 50%? Don't trust me.
Then, is the proposition that the subway will drive the house price to soar by 50% true? We combine the actual situation in Shanghai to analyze.
1. Shanghai suburban real estate inventory scale is insufficient.
From the actual situation, in view of the current shortage of housing inventory in Shanghai suburbs, this kind of suburban real estate itself will be recognized by the market, and the subway construction and other factors will directly accelerate the pace of buying houses for the corresponding groups, which is the content that needs attention.
2. Statistical basis of data
According to statistics, the prices of mature subway properties in cities such as new york, London, Hong Kong and Tokyo are more than 30% higher than those in the same region on average, and the occupancy rate of shops along the subway in Shanghai, Guangzhou and Hong Kong is 100%. The subway will produce a kind of magnetomechanical effect from the beginning of construction, attracting facilities such as life, commerce, commerce and entertainment to the track station, which will have a pulling effect on the surrounding area.
3. Facilitate travel and stimulate buyers' willingness to purchase houses.
This increase along the subway is convenient to appear, and at the same time, it also increases the opportunities for stations to transfer, so it is positive and beneficial to go to the urban area and to the stations along the subway. From this perspective, the investment value of subsequent properties along the subway will continue to rise, and the psychological expectations of buyers will also change.
On the whole, it is not a false proposition that Shanghai Metro 15 Line will drive the house price to soar by 50%, but it is very possible. In practice, it depends on whether there is any influence of the Wang Di project. If the number of projects in Wang Di increases, the increase in housing value will be greater than expected, and more than 50% will actually meet market expectations.
(The above answers were published on 20 16-07-25. Please refer to the actual situation for the current purchase policy. )
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