The development potential is huge, but the second-hand property market is seriously weak. Is it still worth buying?

20 19.6. 16 wrote an article entitled "a must-see before buying Nansha! After reading it, some industry veterans said that they could consider investing in apartments in Nansha. Since you just asked this question, I'll give my opinion.

1. Investment is for profit, which mainly comes from the difference between rent and future sales.

The rent level is generally low.

Local housing demand: Nansha has huge real estate supply, sparse industry, few employees and little demand.

Transitional housing demand: It is far from Guangzhou, and Line 4 is not a high-speed subway, so the commuting time is long. It is unrealistic to use the back garden as a home to spend a lot of time and energy every day.

I have written many articles about apartments. You only need to search for the keyword "apartment" in Weibo to read the history blog post.

1) apartments are commercial in nature, and their value-added strength is weaker than that of residential products.

2) It is both an office and a self-occupation, with unclear positioning and mixed people, which is not conducive to the living experience.

3) If you want to buy, give priority to Tianhe, Haizhu, Yuexiu, Liwan and even Panyu and Luogang. Without first-hand residential products, sectors/lots paved with emerging industries will be better, such as Tianhe Smart City, Panyu Wanbo and Luogang Science City.

3. Buy Nansha, whether it's a house or an apartment, you should make long-term psychological preparation.

supplement

The following is the "Must See Before Buying Nansha" released by Pitaya! "I know this is a more accurate analysis and suggestion for Nansha investment.

Nansha is a region with great development potential, but the second-hand property market is seriously weak. Junior high school politics "Production and Consumption" mentioned that "the relationship between supply and demand determines the price". In Nansha, it is fully reflected.

We want to keep the value of RMB stable for the following important reasons:

1), stabilize the price level.

2) Keep the RMB exchange rate stable.

3), conducive to the stability of people's lives

4) It is beneficial to the sustainable development of economy.

5) Stabilize the financial market system

6), expand employment opportunities

7) Achieve steady economic growth.

Similarly, if Nansha wants to develop stably, healthily and sustainably, the stability of two key indicators of the property market, namely sales volume and house price, is indispensable.

Why is the development of Nansha related to the property market? Because an important source of income for a city/region is land sales and taxes. The higher the income, the faster the software and hardware construction and the better the quality.

Software includes investment promotion, talent technology, etc.

Hardware includes living facilities, urban infrastructure, etc.

For example, the two high-speed subways L 18 and L22 that we expect, and the subway L 15 around Nansha Island have no strong economic support. Where do we get manpower, material resources and technology to build them?

Therefore, economic development depends on income level, income ≈ land sales+tax.

If Nansha wants economic development, it is necessary to promote the upsurge of land auction (land sale) and first-class sales (tax revenue). But at present, the economic development of Nansha is still in the primary stage, and the tax revenue is relatively fixed, so the focus still depends on the situation of local auction.

Returning to the question of "supply and demand determine prices", we need to pay attention to three phenomena here:

Phenomenon 1, Nansha is in Quanguang 1 1 area, and land reserve and primary supply are the most areas, indicating that the subsequent primary supply is still very huge.

Phenomenon 2. With the help of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, since the second quarter of 20 19, both the land auction and the primary property market in Nansha have shown positive performance, reflecting that investment funds are constantly entering the market in Nansha.

Phenomenon 3. At the end of 20 18, the permanent population of Nansha was only about 75. 17w, ranking third from the bottom in Quanguang 1 1, reflecting that the permanent population could not digest the huge amount of second-hand real estate.

Don't forget that housing is the basic requirement. At the same time, the third point of the 20 18 10 3 1 Central Economic Work Conference mentioned: implement a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy, and do a good job in stabilizing employment, finance, foreign trade, foreign investment and expectations.

Viewed from the side, the current Nansha property market is "two hot and one cold" (local hot, first-hand hot and second-hand cold). Unconsciously, I sent an article "The alarm bell is ringing! Nansha property market, you need to be quiet! "Analyzed.

It can not only attract funds to increase regional income, guarantee infrastructure construction, reduce financial risks and ensure steady and rapid economic growth; It can also alleviate the pressure and inner anxiety of people who just need to live by themselves on the rapid rise of housing prices, thus protecting local industries, promoting foreign investment, increasing employment, stabilizing employment, and contributing to the development of new regions, which basically meets the requirements of "six stabilities".

Therefore, Nansha is destined to be an area that meets the requirements of "just self-occupation and long-term investment".

Does that mean there is no chance to buy Nansha?

No, from a dialectical point of view, it is just a good time to enter Nansha for the following reasons:

1, many second-hand properties are in relatively mature lots or stages.

2, the second-hand transaction is sluggish, and the bargaining space is relatively hot.

3, the building is new, the building is now for sale, and the building is about to close.

Who is suitable to buy Nansha?

1, just need to live: commute 1 hour.

2, just need to live: large area demand.

3, just need to live: like mountains or sea views.

4. Value-added and value-preserved: the profit-seeking mentality is relatively weak.

Ps: The income from investment mainly comes from the difference between rent and future sales. So, before you decide to buy, please think about who you can rent this house to in the future. What's the rental fee? Who will accept this proposal? For example, if 65.438 billion iphone are supplied to the China market every year, can Apple phones still be so expensive?

What house is suitable for Nansha?

1, near the subway station.

2. Close to the school.

3. The occupancy rate is high.

4. The occupancy rate of merchants in the bottom business or nearby shopping malls is high.

Brother Zhi added: Many, many, many, scarce is valuable!

H: I hope you can treat the property market calmly and buy a house rationally. Remember to live in a house without speculation.