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Although the supply may exceed the demand in 2009, Hefu brilliantly predicts that the sales area of new residential buildings will still reach 6.5-7.2 million square meters through limited price reduction, an increase of 20%-33% compared with previous years. He Fu Brilliant predicts that there will be 80,000 sets for sale (including 30,000 sets in stock and 50,000 sets newly supplied), which is higher than the demand of 60,000 sets in 2008. The new residential supply will mainly be small and medium-sized units, more than half of which are units below 90 square meters. He Fu brilliantly predicted that the average sales price of new houses in Guangzhou this year was 8,500 yuan/square meter, down 10% from last year. There will be a great demand for projects located in urban areas with reasonable prices. For example, in February 2009, Everbright Garden in Haizhu District (in the urban area) sold 400 houses at an average price of 1 10,000-10.2 million yuan/square meter in one day.

Among the developers we investigated, Hejing Taifu Real Estate Company and Guangzhou R&F Real Estate Company have the greatest influence in Guangzhou, with 40% and 14% of the land stock located in Guangzhou respectively, and more than 50% and 2 1% of the land stock located in Guangzhou respectively.

Beijing real estate Beijing, continue to reduce prices. He Fu brilliantly predicted that it would take more than 24 months for Beijing's stock houses to be sold out (based on the sales speed in 2008), which is the longest time among key cities. Coupled with the supply of affordable housing, these houses will put great pressure on housing prices in Beijing. In the next three years, about 85,000 square meters of affordable housing will be developed, of which 2 million square meters will be completed in 2009. This is roughly equivalent to 12% of the total market demand in 2007, and its scale cannot be ignored. Recently, Hesheng Chuangzhan Group lowered the average price of 48 apartments in Grand Hyatt Building in Chaoyang District by 30%, reaching 1.6 million yuan/square meter. Among the key cities, the situation in Guangzhou and Shanghai is relatively good. According to the sales speed in 2008, it will take 15 months to sell out the stock houses. Chengdu and Chongqing are also facing the pressure of stock houses. According to the brilliant calculation of Hefu, it will take more than 24 months to sell out the stock houses.