What will be the housing price in China in the next five years?

It can be predicted that by 2020, the demand for real estate in China will drop by about one-third, and the demand for commercial housing in big cities will also be significantly weakened because the marriageable population and urbanization rate are greatly reduced.

In fact, housing prices in third-and fourth-tier cities have not risen, and housing prices in first-and second-tier cities can maintain a good situation for several years because of the temporary inflow of population. However, since 20021year, China's population has started to decline slightly, and the number of declining population will gradually increase every year. By 2030, the population will decrease by more than 5 million per year. By 2040, the population will be reduced by about100000 every year, and this trend of rapid population reduction will last for about 40 years. I am afraid that no city's housing prices will be spared because of such a long and sharp population decline. Of course, if the sharp depreciation of the exchange rate is used to alleviate the decline in house prices, it is not that house prices will not fall and other prices will fly.