The investment is about100000 yuan. What are the advantages of Mentougou new house and Haidian second-hand house?

From the perspective of investment, house prices are influenced by population (in monetary terms, that is, population density per square kilometer and per capita consumption power), trend (annual loss or increase ratio of population units) and surrounding stability factors (industrial zones, schools, commercial centers, planning and parks).

If you don't have a rigid demand for your children to go to school (the current educational resources are actually not as rampant as before, and the education level in other areas is not as high as that in Haidian, Xicheng, but the education gold content of representative campuses and several famous schools in the whole area has improved), Haidian's house suggests that you don't start. At present, the housing prices in Haidian District are at the highest level in history, and the overall plate development is earlier. In the past, due to the induction of the school, it caught up with the period of soaring housing prices. Haidian looks fierce, but the real estate is at risk of collapse. Because in the past, Haidian was the only so-called science and technology park in Beijing and the only gathering place for high-income groups in that year. It was developed earlier, and the supporting facilities were ok in those years, with a good foundation.

but

1 It is also because the development is early and the house is old. Some houses have exceeded the cycle of 20 years, and banks do not grant loans. Second-time buyers can only buy in full, which has downward pressure on housing prices. In addition, most houses have been 15 years or so, and they are about to pass the line of life and death for 20 years. The overall house price is in a downward trend. (This argument is based on the price changes of second-hand houses in May 20 16 -20 18. )

Due to the decline in the value of houses and outdated supporting facilities, most people will buy houses to replace them. There is no more land development in Haidian No.1, and the replacement will go to the new district. Secondly, due to the uniqueness of industrial zones (schools and industrial zones are scattered outside), there are many industrial zones in Beijing now, and local high-income groups are scattered, so the consumption potential of newly absorbed high-income groups has declined.

3 You look pale. There are Shunyi and Chaoyang in the same lot, so investment is not recommended.

The new house is actually a second-hand house that has not entered the market. Without the acceptance of the follow-up crowd, the value of the house in investment will decline.

Only from the investment analysis.

It is recommended to buy a new house or a new district. In the whole financial environment where water is not released and rational demand is oriented to the market, the age of the house is a very important indicator. Generally speaking, 20 years of a house is a line of life and death, on the one hand, it is a bank loan, on the other hand, it is a generation's time. Often in a city, only extremely poor people will live under the same house for two or even three generations, otherwise they will change houses after 20 years.

Because you are an investment improvement type, your working and living place is in the west of Beijing, which is precisely the area with the most concentrated high-end residential land in Beijing in the future (20 12 is planned as a luxury residential area in Beijing, and high-income groups gather through industrial integration. Investment is not taking over, but creating. As long as outstanding high-income groups gather in scale, some legendary businesses and schools will naturally have so-called value-added supporting facilities. The planning of Mentougou has created the most concentrated plot of luxury houses in Beijing at present. As long as the quality is good and the natural environment is good, the house price is not low.

Moreover, as long as we look at the subway planning (now we don't look at whether there is a subway around, but whether there is a subway gathering), the places where subways gather (such as lines S 1 and 18) and industrial enterprises gather, it is often a plate with high per capita population density and high consumption power. If you add the natural environment at the same time, it is a high-end residence.

In terms of investment, if we consider new houses,

1 You must buy an improved disk.

(There are two reasons:

[1] Beijing is one of the cities that attract the rich in China. Their room tickets are limited and they can only buy the most expensive ones. 100000 is the entry threshold for investment in Beijing.

[2] In fact, the demand of the future population is not to have a house, but to improve on the basis of having a house. 4-bedroom apartment with construction area of 120 square meters, which has future market potential. Look at the children under the age of 0/8 in Beijing/Kloc-now, the family ownership rate is very high, and the housing ownership rate of children with good foreign families is higher. At the same time, in the future, small-sized houses will depreciate because of the outbreak of government affordable housing and the aging of houses. )

Only high-end houses can support the so-called investment considerations in the future.

If you invest in real estate, don't use a second-hand intermediary.

This is a low-dimensional marketing level, and the more you look at it, the more chaotic it is.

If you think from the perspective of real estate developers, it will be a blow to dimensionality reduction.

There are three directions for real estate investment: convenience, natural environment and humanistic environment. Because we are downstream buyers, the only value-added that can be changed is humanity.

Because in the second-hand market, only the quality of residents will affect housing prices. The first two items are the reference points that we cannot change: convenience, can the natural environment attract high-income groups?

From these points of view, I suggest you consider the following attributes:

1. Vanke Emerald Chang 'an (located in the new urban area, with convenient transportation, the nearest building along the west edge of Chang 'an Street, Beijing No.8 Middle School Campus, and the CBD of Mentougou will be the place where landmark buildings will gather in the future).

2. Xishan Tianjing (20 16 land king, backed by developers, with large future premium space, superior quality and gorgeous new Chinese style, but the advantages of surrounding natural environment are also important value-added points for later preservation).

3. Xishan Roadshow (located in Xincheng and Emerald Chang 'an, but the distance along Chang 'an Avenue is not as good as Emerald Chang 'an, but the property is excellent, and the quality of Greentown property can reach the top level in the whole market in Beijing, which is an important feature of subsequent value preservation).

The first two are high-end improvements and the last one is advanced improvement. The total price of Emerald Chang 'an 1000+ (165 flat), 7.6 million cases of Xishan Tianjing (1 17 plus 28 square meters of gifts = 145 flat), and Xishan Road Show 140 flat, 900.

This is our current budget of about100000 yuan. We can consider owning and investing several houses in the west and enjoying good regional development.

I suggest you go to Mentougou, because Mentougou is the only one with great development potential among the six central districts in Beijing (that is, it was really poor in the past, with low development level, close to the urban area and convenient transportation, so it can only be promoted through real estate development in advance, which is also one of the important reference places for housing investment. The other three streets in Tongzhou core area are far away from us, and the management cost is high. Only after the first Beijing hukou is qualified can we have the right to buy).

If you want to reserve millions for other investments, there are China Resources Xishan Villa, Long 'an and Lijing Chang 'an. The price/performance ratio is good, but the products are not so powerful.

In addition, property is one of the key factors that affect the house price more implicitly: it is generally classified as humanities by developers, because the level of property directly affects the house price five years later. You see Vanke's second-hand houses are often more than 20% more expensive than the surrounding houses, which is the impact. If there are properties of the same grade and location, you must choose the one with relatively expensive property fees, which is of great benefit to the preservation of your house.