Kneel for 20 13 China urban rail transit and equipment industry and future research report.

Abstract: The process of railway informatization in China began with the increasing demand for railway transportation after the reform and opening up. At present, the railway has formed a network system combining computer and communication, and computer has become an indispensable and powerful tool for railway transportation production, organization and management.

The process of railway informatization in China began with the increasing demand for railway transportation after the reform and opening up. At present, the railway has formed a network system combining computer and communication, and computer has become an indispensable and powerful tool for railway transportation production, organization and management.

At present, the projects that have been put into production or partially put into production include DMIS, financial information system, statistical information system, maintenance information system and office automation system. Public works information system, locomotive maintenance management system, vehicle maintenance management system, electrical equipment management information system, comprehensive department management information system, such as planning management, labor management, science and technology education management, etc. These information systems are being or will be built one after another. Because the major railway traffic accidents have a far-reaching impact on the whole industry, the accidents will urge the railway authorities to pay more attention to information security construction, and the investment in railway informatization will increase and the development of railway informatization construction will accelerate in the future.

According to the statistics of Forward-looking Industry Research Institute, the total investment in informatization construction of railway industry in 2008 was 8.545 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60.34%. In 2009, the total investment in informatization construction of China railway industry was 9265438+500 million yuan, up by 7.84% year-on-year. Since 20 10, with the full implementation of railway construction, the total investment in railway information construction has been increasing. According to preliminary calculation, in 20 1 1 year, the national railway informatization investment is nearly 20 billion yuan.

During the Eleventh Five-Year Plan period, information investment accounts for about 2% of the total investment in railway construction, and it is estimated to be about 40 billion yuan, with an average annual investment of 8 billion yuan.

According to the analysis of the rail transit industry research group of Prospective Industry Research Institute, with the continuous expansion of rail transit, especially railway coverage network, and the continuous improvement of economic and social development requirements for rail transit transportation capacity, rail transit system urgently needs to improve its operational capacity.

As far as the railway system is concerned, in 20 1 1 year, the national railway operating mileage will reach 93,000 kilometers, and it will reach120,000 kilometers or more in 20 15 years. The acceleration of railway construction leads to the acceleration of railway information construction. In addition, China Railway experienced seven speed increases, which increased the danger of railway locomotives. Vehicles, tracks and operations need to be promoted in coordination, and the speed increase needs the guidance of corresponding information systems. With the rapid development of China's railway construction and the safety of railway transportation, the investment in railway informatization will increase and the railway informatization construction will be accelerated.

However, the impact of major rail traffic accidents on the whole industry is far-reaching. These accidents will prompt all competent departments to pay more attention to information security construction, increase investment in informatization and speed up construction and development.

The rail transit industry research group of Forward-looking Industry Research Institute predicts that the investment in railway informatization will gradually increase from 1% before 2008 to over 4% in the next five years, while the proportion of developed countries in Europe is 15%. During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, the total investment in informatization in the railway industry will reach140 billion yuan, and it is estimated that the investment in informatization during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period will increase by more than 200% compared with the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" period.

From the specific year, in 20 10, the national railway informatization investment1500 million yuan. 20 1 1 year, the investment in railway informatization will be close to 20 billion yuan. It is estimated that by 20 15, the investment in railway informatization will exceed 30 billion yuan, with a compound growth rate close to 15%. If we consider the transformation of existing lines, this market space will be even greater.

On May 5th, the National Development and Reform Commission approved 25 rail transit construction plans in 9 cities nationwide/KLOC-0, with a total investment of over 800 billion.

With the acceleration of urbanization, the level of urban population and per capita car ownership in China has increased dramatically. At present, there are widespread phenomena of road congestion, vehicle congestion and traffic disorder in large and medium-sized cities across the country. Urban rail transit has the advantages of large passenger capacity, high transportation efficiency, low energy consumption, low relative pollution and transportation cost, and small per capita road area. It is the best way to solve the traffic congestion problem in big cities. It is not an exaggeration to increase the construction of urban rail transit. However, people in the industry generally believe that this round of approval is not for wine.

Yu Junfeng, a researcher in the urban rail transit industry of Prospective Industry Research Institute, believes that urban rail transit construction can form large-scale investment, which has an obvious pulling effect on economic growth. At a time when the export situation is grim and consumption is exhausted, the National Development and Reform Commission intensively approves urban rail transit projects, which can not only ensure the stability of domestic economic growth, but also help to digest excess capacity such as steel and cement.

According to the latest Report on Market Research and Investment Forecast and Analysis of China Urban Rail Transit Industry released by Prospective Industry Research Institute, according to statistics, the scale of rail transit-related industrial chain can reach hundreds of billions of yuan, involving more than 20 related industries, including technology-intensive industries such as civil engineering, machinery, electric power, electronics and communication. In addition, the construction of urban rail transit is unique in guiding economic development.

First of all, because of its convenience, rapidity and punctuality, urban rail transit lines are usually the first choice for residents to travel, and its powerful population agglomeration and diffusion effects bring huge passenger flow and business opportunities to underground businesses. For example, the operation of station shops and advertising light boxes, the lease of the right to use interval communication networks, and the investment promotion of mobile video can provide a new world for the development of urban service industry; In addition, if the underground commercial resources are seamlessly connected with the famous shopping malls and business districts on the ground, the transportation advantages of the former and the brand advantages of the latter will be organically combined to form a three-dimensional and wide-ranging urban business district.

Secondly, the construction of urban rail transit will also guide the transformation of urban economy to intensive development mode. The construction of urban rail transit has obviously stimulated the existing land price of the city, which can drive the real estate development along the line and increase the government land tax; The construction and development of affordable housing and commercial buildings on the subway depot can not only alleviate the housing problem of urban low-income people, but also provide more development space for the city on the premise of maintaining the overall scale, which is helpful to avoid the disorderly and blind expansion of the city scale; In addition, it can also guide the rational distribution of population and industrial parks along the area where the urban rail transit line passes, form different types of groups, and guide the excess resources in the urban center to the emerging areas of the city.

In a word, the development and establishment of urban rail will drive the change of urban spatial pattern, form a central city, radiate the surrounding cities, and drive the economic growth of the surrounding areas of urban rail. The western cities approved this round are nothing more than Lanzhou, Taiyuan, Chengdu, Xi 'an and Hubao 'e.

Yu Junfeng, a researcher in the urban rail transit industry of Forward-looking Industry Research Institute, pointed out that the 25 rail transit plans approved this time are not only conducive to promoting urban development, but also boosting the steady economic growth of China and boosting the market demand of industries with overcapacity such as steel and cement.

As we all know, urban rail transit construction is a long-term fixed assets investment project. According to international experience, an urban rail transit line usually takes about 8 years from planning and design to completion and opening to traffic, and the cycle of establishing an urban rail transit network is longer. Take Shenzhen, where the construction speed is relatively fast, for example, it takes 1 1 year from the first rail transit line to the initial formation of a rail transit network of 177km, which is much longer than other infrastructure construction periods and has a continuous pulling effect on related industries.

Because urban rail transit is a large-scale project, its development and construction need a lot of manpower and material resources. Its construction can not only provide a large number of jobs and promote employment, but also bring business opportunities to engineering construction, building materials, cement, stone and other related industries, effectively alleviating the serious overcapacity problem in the domestic steel and cement industries.

It is worth noting that rail transit needs to rely on a lot of capital investment while strongly stimulating economic growth. Gone are the days when construction funds were contracted by local governments. Therefore, rail transit construction investment needs to pay attention to achieving financial balance, which mainly depends on reasonable planning, strict cost control and diversified income channels.

At present, China has entered the peak period of urban rail transit construction, and the choice of system mode is very important for the development of urban rail transit. To build a low-cost, quick-acting and efficient urban rail transit, it is necessary to extensively absorb the development experience of urban rail transit at home and abroad, absorb new technologies, adjust measures to local conditions, select rail transit modes in a targeted manner according to the actual situation of the city, and develop urban rail transit scientifically and reasonably.

Yu Junfeng, a researcher in the urban rail transit industry of Prospective Industry Research Institute, reminded that when urban rail transit is launched on a large scale, it must be clear that urban rail transit undertakes large-scale public transport functions, and the safety and reliability of the system must be placed in an important position. In the process of construction, it is necessary to carefully evaluate the reliability of the system vehicles and equipment, the supportability of maintenance, and the timeliness of disaster prevention and rescue.