What will be the trend of housing prices in Tianjin?

1. In order to improve the air environment in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, control smog and enhance the status of Beijing's capital city, Tianjin has implemented the "Blue Sky Plan". From June 20 18 to June 20 19, Tianjin's pollution-related industries stopped working in an all-round way, and the shutdown order ended in March 20 19. Many developers can't enter the market in time after taking the land, resulting in lower and lower inventory of new houses and increasing market demand. After the suspension order is issued, landlords will concentrate on entering the market in 16, 17 or even 18, which will have a great impact on the new housing market and house prices will continue to rise.

2. The nationwide purchase restriction starts from March of 17. In the context of national purchase restriction, various cities have made differentiated purchase restrictions. Because 19 15 years and 19 16 years, the national market was affected by the "down payment loan", and all the expenses of buying a house depended entirely on bank loans, resulting in a high market leverage ratio. Therefore, 17 is a year of national deleveraging. Therefore, the government put forward various policies to restrict purchases, loans and sales, which slowed down the "out of control" growth of the whole real estate market in 16. However, since the purchase restriction, the number of new houses has increased slightly in the steady upward trend.

3. In order to enhance the image of Beijing as a capital of a big country and continuously evacuate its population, Tianjin, as a municipality directly under the central government in the north, has assumed the role of a sparsely populated city outside Beijing. Therefore, Tianjin formulated a new talent introduction policy at the end of 17, which lowered the threshold for talent introduction. As long as you have a college degree or above in Tianjin, you can rent a house in Tianjin for half a year. Have a residence permit; If you pay taxes or social security for one year in a row, you can stay in the collective account of the rental community. The policy will be officially implemented on April 18, 20 1. After the implementation of the policy, there will be a large number of people who are qualified to buy houses, and these people who are qualified to buy houses will flood into the Tianjin real estate market in large numbers, resulting in an increase in real estate demand.

4.20 18 is also a very special year in Tianjin, because the GDP of Tianjin Binhai New Area has dropped from 20 16 to 660 billion, and the serious shrinkage of GDP has led to a very big "hole" in Tianjin's finance. In the first three quarters of 20 18, Tianjin's GDP growth rate was seriously at the bottom, and the growth rate was as low as 1.9%, so Tianjin urgently needed to fill the loopholes. The main source of fiscal revenue is land finance, and land auction is an important means for the government to withdraw funds. Therefore, in the two months of Tianjin181-March, nearly a dozen plots of land were auctioned in the four districts around the city, the six districts in the city and the five districts in the outer suburbs, which also proved that the government urgently needed capital turnover. Moreover, the prices of these plots are not low. In this market where flour is more expensive than bread, do you think house prices will fall?

Generally speaking, because the government is constantly regulating market prices, now is a very suitable time to start new houses. Since the purchase restriction, the phenomenon of second-hand houses hanging upside down is serious. Generally speaking, the price of new houses is higher than that of second-hand houses, but at present it is actually the opposite. Therefore, instead of spending hundreds of thousands or even tens of thousands on second-hand houses, it is better to wait two to three years before considering new houses, which is more cost-effective. In short, in the first half of 20 18, the price of new houses in the whole Tianjin market will tend to be stable, and it may rise in the second half because of the land king entering the market and loosening the purchase restriction policy in disguise.