When will intelligent robots enter people’s lives?

Roboticians say that intelligent robots have quietly broken into our lives

Some people predict that as many as 70% of traditional occupations will be impacted by robots in the next 30 years; As robots gradually enter homes, traditional business models will also face major challenges and bring new dividends to the upgrading of traditional manufacturing industries

"Buy a robot to go home and sweep the floor and clean windows for the holidays." During the holidays Several household robots that can automatically clean the bathroom are quietly becoming popular in the Beijing home appliance market. From this, people can see that Bill Gates' prediction is becoming a reality. High-tech intelligent robots have finally entered thousands of households, becoming the same as color TVs and refrigerators. , washing machines, mobile phones, personal computers, and the Internet are all household essentials.

Bill Gates said in "Scientific American" magazine in 2007: "Robots will enter thousands of households just like personal computers 30 years ago. Robots are very similar to personal computers 30 years ago and 20 years ago." Mobile phones 15 years ago and mobile Internet 15 years ago. "In other words, intelligent robots are quietly changing people's lifestyles.

Able to "eat" and "lick"

The central nervous system of future homes

Such a considerate and intelligent robot has entered the homes of ordinary people like household appliances. Life will be popularized on a large scale in the future. This is by no means a fantasy! Think back to 30 years ago, when electronic computers still needed several rooms to accommodate them. When entering the computer room, you had to put on slippers and dust-proof clothing, close the curtains, and turn on the exhaust fan. Who would have thought that today's laptops can be carried around and played with at any time and anywhere. ; 20 years ago, when the brick-like mobile phone commonly known as "Big Brother" first came out, no one would have thought that today's smartphones would have almost become a companion function for making calls. If you don't install "WeChat", you will be completely "out" "Yes. What's more, as far as the price of robots is concerned, the threshold of around 2,000 yuan is no longer a burden for ordinary working-class families.

Future home smart robots can not only serve as "nannies", but also as "housekeepers". A recent widely forwarded message on mobile phone WeChat stated that the robot has become the "star" in the home of movie star Jimmy Lin, making even Obama envious. While filming a movie on the set, Jimmy Lin can issue instructions to the robot at home to order the rice cooker at home to cook, turn on the air conditioner in advance to adjust the room temperature, and turn on the water heater to put in bath water. Once you get home, you can enjoy the fragrant rice and the "warmth" comfort of family life.

Children and the elderly are the weak in society, and intelligent robots can also provide care and concern. For example, if you are worried about your child being alone at home, you can let the robot search for your baby to see where it is, what it is doing, and whether it is in danger, because the robot is mobile and can interact with the baby via video. For elderly friends who live at home, intelligent robots can also help them request songs, entertain themselves, do housework, provide health care, and provide information services, becoming their home helpers.

All of the above are the "nerve center" of the smart home system, the application direction of future home robots. It is entirely possible that the smartphones in our hands will become a magic weapon used to control the nerve center. There is only one prerequisite, and that is for robot manufacturers to cooperate with telecom operators to connect their peripheral smart devices and become commanders who give them orders. official.

Today's home robots are still in their infancy, and there are many areas that need to be improved. However, he predicted that robots that still seem "childish" today will eventually become as commonplace for everyone as personal computers and mobile phones. "Household appliances" that are a must-have for the family have profoundly affected and changed our lives in many aspects. Its status and role in future smart homes will be crucial. This is determined by the trend and trend of smart homes in the future. In the future, home robots will have diversified functions. They will not only sweep floors and clean windows, but also cook and work as security guards... Robot technology will change everything we know and do. Many professions, from nannies to drivers, face the possibility of being replaced by robots.

Some people even predict that as many as 70% of traditional occupations will be impacted by robots in the next 30 years.

The market is advancing by leaps and bounds

Intelligent robots have entered thousands of households from the laboratory, and the market is undoubtedly the only way. Therefore, all major robot-producing countries in the world attach great importance to the robot market and consumer demand. of cultivation.

The Japan Robot Association predicts that by 2025, the "cake" of the global robot industry will reach an annual scale of 50 billion US dollars, which is 10 times the current market size. A new survey titled "World Robots in 2016" from the US manufacturing giant Fredonia Group shows that the demand for service robots has exceeded that of industrial robots. From now until 2016, global demand for robots will grow at an average annual rate of 11%. By 2016, demand for service robots is likely to quadruple.

In our country, the development of the robot industry is also in the ascendant. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology also officially released the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Development of the Industrial Robot Industry" a few days ago, proposing a goal of reaching more than 100 robots per 10,000 employees by 2020, which means that the domestic demand for robots will grow by leaps and bounds in the future. Industrial robots have opened up a good period of development opportunities. International organizations predict that China will be the fastest growing industrial robot market in the world.

For example, many listed companies with a keen sense of smell, such as Greatoo Shares (002031, Stock Bar) and Cixing Shares (300307, ??Stock Bar), have released plans for industrial robots; many provinces and cities such as Shanghai, Jiangsu and Chongqing The robot industry is also regarded as a key breakthrough area in 2014. Whether industrial robots can become a new gold-mining industry and bring new dividends to the upgrading of my country's traditional manufacturing industry, these new industrial trends deserve attention. It is also reported that Germany's KUKA, the world's leading industrial robot manufacturer, recently held an offline ceremony for the first robot manufactured in China.

Seize the "robot dividend"

The future development of the robot industry will also provide an excellent "carrier" for emerging industries. Just like smartphones and mobile Internet, a number of emerging industries such as mobile social networking, mobile games, and mobile banking have developed at an alarming rate. As robots gradually enter every home in the future, the traditional business model may also face major challenges.

When robots become your "housekeeper" in the future and help you take care of your daily life, then it is natural that sooner or later those merchants with a keen sense of smell will find their future "gold mine". The robot that designs and "lurks" around humans is itself an excellent business platform. "He" can chat with its owner, sing and dance for him, and even help him choose a shirt... So, "he" is very It may become a "must compete" for merchants in the future.

The labor shortage is forcing the industrialization of robots to accelerate. In the context of facing a structural labor shortage, the increase in labor costs and the inherent requirements for precision manufacturing, the machine replacement plan has an opportunity to accelerate. From the perspective of potential demand, my country's robot industry will usher in a period of rapid growth of 25% to 30%. It is estimated that by 2020, my country will have 300,000 robots, with an output value of robots and systems of approximately 100 billion yuan, driving a parts market of 300 billion yuan.

Our country is a country with a large population. This and the application of robots to replace traditional labor forces will, on the surface, create new contradictions. This cannot be simply interpreted as "robots grabbing jobs", but must be viewed dialectically. First of all, the labor-intensive advantages of traditional manufacturing are no longer available, and "machine substitution" will become an important direction and general trend for future manufacturing innovation. Secondly, changing the mode and adjusting the structure itself require human resource development to comply with the needs of industrial upgrading. However, if we lack a development perspective and stick to the old thinking of having a large and cheap labor force in the past, both enterprises and individuals will face the risk of being eliminated. Therefore, whether we can seize the "robot dividend" depends on the determination and actions of two aspects: first, development must be transformed and upgraded; second, we must adapt to transformation and upgrade, take advantage of the trend, step up the development of human resources, promote the transfer of workers to high-end, and let China The economy has reached a new level driven by innovation.