What is the fertility rate in Shanghai?

What is the fertility rate in Shanghai, detailed to the administrative regions.

Let me circle a few key points for you first, and you can try them:

(1) The "aborigines" in Songjiang District like having children best.

"Shanghainese" in the second child and above the highest proportion is:

Songjiang (35.2 1%)

Minhang (32.47%)

Fengxian (3 1.88%).

② The "aborigines" in Hongkou District are the least willing to have a second child (or more).

The places with the lowest rate of "Shanghainese" giving birth to a second child and above are:

Changning (22.54%)

Chongming (2 1.94%)

Hongkou (20.72%).

③ The "new Shanghainese" who likes having children best is in Fengxian District.

The highest proportion of "non-Shanghai new Shanghainese" who have a second child or above is:

Fengxian (58.70%)

Jinshan (57. 14%)

Chongming (56.59%).

Girls living in Xuhui District are the least willing to get married.

202 1, the number of women of childbearing age (15-49 years old) in Xuhui District is 193900.

Among them, 109300 people entered the marriage hall.

43.63% of women in Xuhui did not choose to get married, the highest in Shanghai.

The second and third highest in the same proportion are:

Putuo (4 1.54%)

Songjiang (39.79%).

Authentic Shanghainese may have been "extinct".

The total fertility rate (TFR) is 2. 1, which is internationally recognized and can maintain the generational replacement of population.

The total fertility rate is below 1.5, which is called "extremely low fertility rate".

In 20021year, the average total fertility rate of registered population in Shanghai was 0.7.

The highest is Songjiang (0.84) and the lowest is Huangpu (0.47).

The first is "indigenous people", ranking the proportion of second children and above in each district (horizontal screen viewing):

draw

There are four points in the above picture:

① The proportion of second and third births of "aborigines" in Shanghai 16 district in 202/year, and the average value of all lost births (the average value of resident population).

In other words, 14756000 "aborigines" in Shanghai are far less willing to have a second or third child than 10 138000 "new Shanghainese".

② The five new cities+Xuhui, Jinshan and Minhang are basically the population engines of Shanghai's "aborigines".

The "aborigines" in five new urban areas (except Lingang) have lost the average resident population, but at least they are above the average registered population.

Xuhui in the inner ring is really a surprise. It is not surprising that Jinshan and Minhang belong to the suburbs.

(3) So what are the "aborigines" doing in Baoshan and Chongming? Even the average of the second and third births of the registered population did not outperform.

Because the sample size is large enough, I think this data can basically reflect the marriage intention of women in all districts.

The higher the proportion, the lower the desire to get married (horizontally, the values of each district are the data of permanent residents):

34% of the "average resident population" value is omitted from this picture.

The location should be below "average registered population" and above "Huangpu District".

Summarize four points:

① "Indigenous" women prefer to be single, while "new Shanghainese" women prefer to get married.

A clear dividing line, which is not unexpected.

If you live in Shanghai for a long time, it is obvious that "indigenous" women are more emboldened, single and emboldened.

(2) Songjiang is unexpectedly ranked in the top of the three pictures.

Songjiang's fertility desire, whether "indigenous" or "new Shanghainese", is relatively high.

But women in Songjiang are relatively willing to remain single.

Why is this? I can't figure it out.

③ The data of Xuhui, Changning and Jing 'an are well deserved.

I asked some friends around me, and they all said it was normal.

First, women's income is high, and second, parents' thoughts are more open.

It's good to be alone and happy.

④ Fengxian women have the lowest proportion of singles and the highest willingness to get married.

Above, finally, from the reality to sum up:

The relaxation of Shanghai's settlement will not stop, and Shanghai will always be Shanghai.

I checked some information, and there are not many cases of pulling back the fertility rate in the world. In fact, there are only beautiful countries.

In fact, the fertility rate in beautiful countries also depends on immigrants.

To some extent, Shanghai's relaxation of settlement also means this, just for another person.

By then, Shanghai will still be Shanghai, and nothing seems to have changed.

There will be new aborigines and new Shanghainese, don't you think?