Malaysia announces evacuation of overseas Chinese from India. Is the epidemic in India really that serious?

While most of us are having a happy May Day, India has become an epidemic and continues to grow. Now, it can be basically confirmed that with the Indian outbreak, it can be judged that the world will usher in a new wave of COVID-19 epidemic. Now many people in Pakistan are also afraid. Although they are usually hostile rivals, there are too many tropical areas bordering the two countries with similar climate and population density. My friend is worried that Pakistan will be hit by a huge epidemic like India.

In fact, not only Pakistan, but also India's neighboring countries are very dangerous, which is why Minister Wang Yi led India's neighboring countries to hold a network meeting two days ago. At present, the prevention and control of India's neighboring countries is the top priority, except Bangladesh, Pakistan is more dangerous. This is a country with a higher population density and much worse economic and medical conditions than India. 65.438+0.6 billion people live in a narrow land of 65.438+0.4 million square kilometers. Once it explodes, the consequences are really unimaginable. The epidemic in India has attracted worldwide attention, because nearly half of Indians have been to COVID-19 before, and even reached 60% in Delhi and other regions. It is precisely because of this high proportion of infected cases that there was no major epidemic in India last year, so the government and the people ignored it.

According to the current trend that India broke through 400,000 infections that day and continued to rise, it can basically be judged that this is a new outbreak of mutant virus. The global epidemic has entered a new stage, and the theory of group immunity has basically failed, because India basically acquired the ability of group immunity two months ago, and has been promoting what high temperature has a great inhibitory effect on the epidemic, and the high probability has also failed in the face of mutant virus. The highest temperature in Delhi these days is above 36 degrees. The number of people infected in a single day has hit record highs. Don't expect the temperature to suppress the virus. In addition, in many countries before, people who died were over 65 years old, and even many of them were over 70 years old. As far as the news is concerned, the death toll of young people in India is rising rapidly. I have read a similar article saying that the COVID-19 epidemic has broken out in India again. Much like the Spanish flu of 19 19, it should actually be the American flu. At that time, the first wave took the lives of many frail old people, and the second wave took the lives of many young people with the variation of the virus.

Compared with the pandemic before 100 years ago, and even various viruses in thousands of years of human history, we often emphasize what benefits the rapid development of science and technology has brought to mankind in resisting the epidemic, thus ignoring the negative effects brought by the development of science and technology. The development of modern science and technology will promote the spread of the epidemic to a certain extent, and global transportation is one of them. The development of transportation, especially the appearance and popularity of passenger planes, has greatly shortened the communication time between people in different regions. More than 500 years ago, Magellan's fleet spent three years circling the earth./At the end of kloc-0/9, a European spent about 50 days traveling around the world by train, ship and carriage. But today, even if it takes off from China, Argentina, the farthest southern hemisphere and South America, it will take about 20 hours. In other words, the spread speed of the virus carried by people in the world has been greatly improved. The virus that originally spread in one continent and one region at most will inevitably become a global virus in the current environment, which makes the difficulty of eventually eliminating it increase exponentially.

In addition, in the past 100 years ago, even in thousands of years in ancient times, the virus rarely mutated in the process of disease, and there was no chance of transmission because of the rapid death of the host. This is why all the epidemics brought by the virus will eventually evolve in the direction of high transmission rate and low mortality. In fact, the human virus also appears suddenly, that is, it will kill the host in a few days or a day. Only in this ancient isolated social unit with a small population base, once all the people who could be infected were infected and caused a large number of deaths, they naturally became extinct, leaving only one virus with high transmission rate and low mortality, just like this common flu, but because of the development of traffic, this spread has been greatly improved. At the same time, modern science and technology have strengthened the survival time and opportunity of the host infected with pathogenic viruses, leading to a large number of natural deaths in the past. To some extent, a high virus screening method is actually ineffective.

At the same time, we may have witnessed a once-in-a-century epidemic. Whether we like it or not, this epidemic will make us more afraid of nature. With the population explosion, a large number of creatures, especially animals, became extinct. Microorganisms that were originally parasitic in animals may be forced to migrate to humans to survive and reproduce, because they are also under pressure to survive and reproduce. Maybe COVID-19 is just the beginning. Therefore, some people say that we should protect the environment, take good care of animals and try to give them some living space. Many people think it's a cliche. The world is fair and conservative, and everyone wants to survive. If you don't give others a way out, then other creatures, including viruses, will have to come to you, although they may be forced.