Is Merkel a shoo-in in the German election?

On September 4th, it was announced that Germany would hold the Bundestag election on September 24th. Three weeks before the German general election, the current German Chancellor, President of Christian Democratic Union Merkel and President of German Social Democratic Party Schulz held a 97-minute TV debate on the evening of September 3, local time. The two men expressed their views on topics such as immigration, diplomacy, security and social justice. Although Merkel seems to be a shoo-in, no matter from opinion polls or media analysis, she has not dispelled her competitors' enthusiasm for challenge. Foreign media reported that this is the peak of the current German election campaign.

According to the Russian new network report, the poll results of German TV One (ARD) show that watching German Chancellor Angela? Merkel and her main competitor, Martin, the leader of the Social Democratic Party? In Schultz's TV debate, most viewers thought Merkel won. According to the results of the poll, 55% of the respondents believe that Merkel scored significantly higher than Schultz in handling affairs, giving people a good impression and convincing. Especially in terms of ability, 59% of the audience think Merkel is more capable, and only 18% of the audience think Schultz is more capable.

According to French reports, Merkel and her rival Schultz have similar views on immigration, Turkish issues, repatriation, European borders and other issues, and there are many harmonious scenes in the TV debate, so that in the perception forum held by German TV 1, the media star Thomas Gottschalk said that it doesn't really matter who is in power. Another media source said that the TV duel did not become a duel, but became an advertisement for the two parties to continue to govern together. France Radio International quoted Focus as saying that the audience thought Merkel was clearly in the leading position in the TV debate, but Schultz's performance was better than people thought.

According to reports, according to the latest poll released before, the support rate of the Christian Democratic Union and its sister party, the Christian Social Union (collectively referred to as the Union Party), is about 39%, while the support rate of the Social Democratic Party is only 22%, with an obvious gap. Judging from this data, Merkel is likely to be the German Chancellor again. Despite this, Merkel did not take it lightly. Agence France-Presse reported that Merkel announced her re-election last June 165438+ 10. Until the general election on September 24, during the campaign, she has been giving speeches in more than 50 cities, which can be described as dedication. On August 22nd, 20 17 Cologne Game Show officially opened, and Merkel actually attended the opening event for the first time. In addition to participating in game shows, Merkel recently accepted an online interview with four popular Youtuber in Germany. This series of "fashion-following" actions will more or less leave a more "cordial" impression on young voters.

Germany's GDP has risen steadily, with 20 17 increasing by 0.6% in the second quarter and 0.7% in the first quarter. The unemployment rate continues to fall. In 20 16, the unemployment rate in Germany was 6. 1%, but now the unemployment rate has dropped to 5.7%. In 20 18, the unemployment rate is expected to drop to 5.5%. These achievements are good "plus points" for Merkel to win the election.

According to previous reports, the annual survey report released by Jeffries, a German market research organization, showed that 56% of the respondents in Germany expressed their concerns about the immigration tide and the integration of immigrants. From 20 15 to 20 16, Merkel accepted more than one million refugees with an open attitude, and the social order and public security environment in Germany deteriorated rapidly, which also made her Coalition party face a serious crisis. French media previously reported that German Chancellor Angela Merkel had received more than 1000 accusations since the peak of the refugee crisis in 20 15, most of which were treason. However, in an exclusive interview with the German newspaper Le Monde on August 27th, Merkel said that she did not regret adopting the open policy to accommodate many foreign refugees, and she would still make the same decision if she had to start all over again, but she reiterated that Germany would not face such a crisis again. Merkel also made it clear to the media on August 26 that her Coalition party would not cooperate with the anti-immigrant far-right option party, and said that she would try to win back the supporters of the German option party. She will patiently listen to the opinions of the people and take concrete measures to solve some specific problems.