/kloc-prediction of human development and related industries after 0/000.

Since mankind opened the door to electricity, technology has developed faster and faster. Electric light, telephone, television, computer and a series of computer-related products have completely changed the human world. Now, every ten years, the whole world seems to have changed completely. For example, stand at 202 1 and look back at 20 1 1. At that time, mobile phones were not fully popular, and WeChat was still there. However, standing at 20 1 1 and looking back at 200 1, the Internet was not popular that year, and Alibaba and Tencent were not born. The whole business ecology seems to be in a primitive and barren era, which is completely different from now.

Then, with the rapid development of science and technology, what will the world look like in a thousand years?

In my imagination, human beings in a thousand years will be completely different from now. Simply put, they can realize the transformation of consciousness and eternal life.

Thousands of years later, historians may divide human history into three stages: the initial stage of stumbling, the stage of inheriting civilization from generation to generation and the stage of eternal soul.

The initial stage of stumbling includes human walking upright, freeing hands, learning to make tools and living in groups, thus surpassing many animals and growing into the king of all things.

The generations of civilization include the gathering of human beings, gradually forming tribes and countries, learning languages and characters, forming different civilizations, passing on knowledge and experience from generation to generation, promoting the development of science and technology step by step, and exploring the laws of this world step by step. Now we are in this era.

The eternal life stage of the soul is a future stage. In the stage of stumbling and civilization inheritance, everyone is limited by life span. After decades and hundreds of years, no matter how healthy people are, they will gradually age, and life and death will appear alternately. It seems that this is an inviolable law. But I believe that after the high development of science and technology, including medicine, human beings can finally transcend the limitation of life span and let life exist forever without relying on generations to inherit civilization.

So how can we make life last forever?

In the 5,000-year history of civilization, many people pursued immortality, and these pursuits were almost all flesh and blood. I think it is very difficult to do this, because flesh and blood are real substances, and any substance can rot and cannot be immortal forever. So when I say eternal life, I don't mean eternal life of the body, but eternal life of the soul and consciousness.

Below I will talk about my thoughts on the immortality of consciousness in detail:

Humans can dominate the earth by thinking, making tools, and greatly improving their abilities with tools, such as flying into the sky by plane, roaming the ocean by ship, and killing gorgeous beasts with instruments.

Diligent thinking produces self-awareness, which makes human beings break away from the category of animals and become the masters of the earth, and it is likely to become the masters of this universe in the future. A strong subjective consciousness is the most important symbol that distinguishes human beings from ordinary animals.

Many animals have instinctive reaction ability, but their consciousness is different. It enables human beings to form social collectives and countries. After thousands of years, different civilizations and heritages have been formed. Hundreds of millions of people's conscious thoughts collided with each other, which stimulated the rapid development of science and technology, made human beings surpass the era of agricultural civilization and industrial civilization, and now completely dominated the earth in the era of global networking.

Subjective thinking leads to science, which allows human beings to break through the limitations of material bodies, move and fly quickly, go to distant, high and dangerous places, and study the mysteries of the earth, the sun and the universe.

Self-consciousness is attached to the body. With the growth of the body, consciousness grows from scratch, from childish to intelligent and mature. Finally, when the body is old and weak, the fire of consciousness will also perish.

From this perspective, consciousness and body are integrated and inseparable.

Since ancient times, the desire for longevity must be through the pursuit of long-term health, so the fire of consciousness has been lit for a long time.

However, if consciousness can exist without the body, is it also a way of eternal life?

However, can consciousness exist without the body?

What is conscious thinking? Biologically speaking, consciousness is a collection of brain wave activities, just like a system running processes on a computer. So, if we can reproduce brain wave activity in other media, can we also produce conscious thinking ability? For example, transplant the program of electronic computer to quantum computer?

Theoretically, it is possible. Once technology can do this, the whole human history will have a major turning point. Consciousness transcends the limitations of the body and is eternal. Since then, the earth, the solar system and even the universe have been unable to restrain human activities, and the era of interstellar migration has come.

Of course, how to reproduce conscious activities in other media is definitely a very complicated scientific problem, and it may never be realized. I have no intention of discussing this issue here.

Assuming that conscious activities can be reproduced in special media, there are actually many interesting questions to imagine, such as:

1. How to reproduce this conscious activity? Will you just copy the memory, or can you copy your feelings and thinking habits, so as to completely copy a person? On what basis can conscious activities be replicated?

There are actually two problems here, one is how to preserve one's memory, emotion and self-awareness, and the other is how to reproduce the preserved consciousness, memory and emotion in a special medium to ensure that people have the same consciousness as before, at least from the perspective of consciousness and thinking habits, they are the same person and have the same living habits, feelings and memories.

For the first question, it is possible to preserve a person's memory contents such as audio-visual videos and genetic materials such as blood by current scientific and technological means.

Then, if most of a person's memories are preserved by audio, video and text, can future technology reproduce this person's conscious activities accordingly, so as to revive this person?

If the body and blood of the deceased are frozen, can future technology extract biological information from it, so as to reproduce this person's conscious activities and revive this person?

Or combine the two, combine the biological information and memory of the dead body, and resurrect a person more completely?

Or at the moment when a person is about to die, based on biological information such as blood, memory and even brain wave activity at this time, completely copy and transplant it to another medium to realize the resurrection of the soul?

These are all very interesting things. With the current technology, smallpox is nonsense, of course, and it may not be impossible after thousands of years.

For the second question, we can only hope that future technology can give an answer.

2. What happens if a person is resurrected by transferring consciousness activities on a special medium, and death is no longer inevitable?

Assuming that tens of millions of researchers have enough time to support them, their research progress will certainly continue to push forward, and the overall scientific and technological progress will be much faster than now. Just imagine, if Newton and Einstein can live healthily until now, how great will their achievements be?

If tens of millions of business elites have enough time to support them, their promotion to the business society will continue, and the business activities of the whole human society will be much more prosperous than now. Imagine that Jobs can live for thousands of years, and how many amazing products can Apple produce?

With the gradual accumulation of top talents in different times, the scientific research ability and commercial development ability of human beings can reach unimaginable levels, which will greatly promote the development of science and technology and interstellar immigration.

3. If the death toll is greatly reduced, will the number of human beings exceed the bearing limit of the earth?

I don't think so. Because there is no threat of death, the fertility desire of many people will be greatly reduced, and the birth rate of the newly added population will be unimaginable. And there is no natural death, there will be other causes of death, such as murder, for example, because of economic reasons can not afford the cost of consciousness transfer. It may also be because they have lived too long, and many people seek to end their lives because of psychological problems. Therefore, the number of people who die every year for various reasons will not be a small number. It may not be able to offset the new population.

Of course, if this cycle continues, the proportion of naturally born young people on earth will be lower and lower, and it is possible that 99% of the population will be resurrected by consciousness transfer, and naturally born people will be as rare as ornamental animals in zoos now. Because the resurrected people may not be born naturally, fewer and fewer people have the ability to give birth to the next generation. Naturally, it will be rare and difficult to see. Moreover, even if the birth is successful, because the soul can live forever, the desire to believe in giving birth to the next generation will be greatly reduced. The natural reproduction of all kinds of creatures on the earth is for the continuation of the race.

More and more people are coming back to life. How to manage these people? Will the country still exist?

I think the existence of a country is the result of competition among different nationalities. After the resurrected people occupy the mainstream of mankind, because they have enough time to learn new languages and knowledge, prejudice based on race will be greatly reduced, and ethnic groups will gradually merge. At least in appearance, you will not be able to tell who is black and who is white. I think the concept of the country will change a lot. First, small countries disappear, the population gradually merges into big countries, and then big countries compete with each other. Finally, there will be a human alliance similar to the United Nations, which is likely to be a strong human alliance led by the central government. At that time, different human civilizations will continue to merge and gradually form a brand-new civilization, just like the Spring and Autumn Period and the Warring States Period in history, which eventually formed the A Qin Dynasty. People who get lost in this process will have to become interstellar adherents and escape from the solar system with high technology, just like the Puritans who fled the United States in history. The future war will be a war between different planets. There will be no large-scale war inside the earth. There will only be one winner on the earth, and there will not be many opposing forces.

5. Will people's intelligence level generally improve after resurrection? After they all have high IQ, can the resurrected people achieve high achievements?

Just like configuring a computer, after reviving consciousness in the same good medium, the revived person's intelligence level should be similar, but this does not mean that the revived person will achieve similar achievements. I believe many people understand that a person's success depends not only on his intelligence, but also on his personality, perseverance, opportunities and many other factors, such as two equally smart students, one studying literature and the other studying mathematics. It is possible that their achievements will be very different in thirty or forty years. I believe that in the future, after the beginning of interstellar migration, there are many scientific problems to be studied and many planets to be explored and discovered by human beings. So it is good to improve the intelligence of the resurrected. It is not enough for people who are born and naturally grow up to accomplish all kinds of complicated things.

6. Will there be a radical change in human education?

Now human education is to invite knowledgeable people and gradually guide others to learn knowledge and learn again and again. Future education may not be like this, because everyone who is resurrected has high intelligence and a lot of time. He can learn any science to the highest level if he wants. In that case, why did he spend so much time studying in his childhood? For a resurrected person, his life can be divided into two lives, the first is flesh and blood, and the second is machine. The focus of the first kind of education should be to develop good personality and living habits, experience the feelings and consciousness that human beings should have, and learn knowledge equivalent to junior high school courses. The second year is the time to learn scientific knowledge. With the support of super intelligence, it is much easier to learn scientific knowledge than the first one. Considering the differences between the two worlds, it is possible that those who are in the first world will be concentrated in one area for protection and isolation from the outside world. Obviously, knowing the second world too early will have a great impact on the life of the first world.

7. What is the greatest threat to the resurrected?

The biggest threat in the world now is the nuclear arsenals of the United States and Russia, which can destroy all mankind. So in the era of resurrection, what is the threat that will lead to the extinction of the whole human race?

I think this is a strong xenophobia.

A soul can be resurrected in a special medium, so it can be resurrected in many media. Just as a computer virus replicates itself infinitely, a person can revive his soul tens of thousands or even hundreds of millions of times as long as he has resources, so that he can occupy the whole planet by himself. Will he try to kill everyone else, leaving only one soul on this planet? It's hard to say how strong this feeling of xenophobia will be. Will many people feel this way then? And will an army composed of the same soul be more effective than an army composed of many souls? Will a madman copy his soul crazily, form a terrible army, slowly invade a planet, then gradually spread around, and finally occupy the whole universe?

The future is full of possibilities. When the transfer of consciousness is realized, I believe there will definitely be laws that stipulate that a soul cannot be resurrected in multiple media, just like monogamy now.

8. Will long-lived humans be confined to the earth's environment?

I don't think so. Humans who have enough time will explore every part of the earth, and then they will lose their freshness to the earth. At this time, the desire to leave the earth will be far stronger than that of human beings now.

However, without the earth, technology needs to develop by leaps and bounds.

Today's human beings, like all living things on the earth, are in the final analysis only derivatives of sunlight, and need sunlight to provide energy, and then form a complex food chain to maintain this ecological circle.

Away from the sun, this complex ecosystem will no longer exist, and human beings will not survive.

However, if the selected medium is advanced enough, the consciousness transfer body can get rid of the limitation of the earth's ecological circle, such as reappearing consciousness in a medium that is not afraid of cold and heights, and we can survive on the moon, Mars and other planets. It is also possible to survive on some planets far from the sun.

After this, coupled with two conditions, rapid transportation and long-term energy, we can start a vigorous era of interstellar migration.

From the perspective of the future of mankind, the transfer of consciousness may be an inevitable direction. So, what kind of industry is in line with this direction? In other words, what industry can push mankind to develop in this direction?

I think there are four industries: medicine, especially brain science, robot-like industry, nuclear-like safety energy industry, and human emotion maintenance and repair industry.

The first three are easy to understand, and the last one may be in doubt. It doesn't matter. I will explain it in detail below.

1. Brain science industry

To realize consciousness transfer, it is necessary to conduct in-depth research on brain activity, and brain science must be put into and promoted to a very high level. Even after the realization of consciousness transfer, it is conceivable that most medical activities will be related to the brain, and it is likely that more than half of the doctors will be brain doctors, because problems in other bodies can be solved by replacing a new part, while problems occur in places where consciousness occurs, and replacing this medium is obviously the most expensive and complicated solution.

In the future, a person with a serious violent tendency will be forced to implant a brain correction chip for life after committing a crime. The chip will inhibit the activities in the areas related to violent tendency in the brain, thus reducing the violent behavior of this person.

Brain science is closely related not only to the transfer of consciousness, but also to the enhancement of consciousness and memory. If we invest more in this science, the scientific and technological progress of mankind will be more motivated.

For the future, brain science is obviously the most critical science. In order to get rid of the shackles of sunlight, human beings must look for the body of consciousness outside the flesh and blood. Only in this way can they find a way to survive outside the solar system, spread their branches and leaves in the vast universe, and gradually occupy countless planets instead of living on the earth or in an environment similar to the earth.

2. Robot-like industries

This industry produces body parts other than the head of resurrected people, and also includes robots that provide auxiliary functions, such as long-distance transportation, flying in the sky and diving in the sea.

Obviously, this industry is also very critical and important. In order to get rid of the identity of the derivative of sunlight, human beings must change from cell-based organic organisms to molecular-based inorganic organisms. Only in this way can they survive in the extremely hot, extremely cold, extremely strong radiation, extremely heavy and extremely light environment, and truly open the era of cosmic migration.

Why robots? Because in the future, the human body may not be like a person walking upright, but also like a four-legged or eight-legged animal body. In the future, there will be a spider-like lower body with a human head standing on it, which is absolutely not surprising.

This industry is not only related to the production of resurrected people, but also to all aspects of the industry in the future. For example, the research of brain science may require sophisticated robots to monitor brain activity, and even enter the brain to observe brain activity at zero distance. For example, many industrial manufacturing may be done independently by robots, and even most of the army is composed of robots. Security patrol, environmental reconnaissance and combat will all be completed by laser blasting, and human beings only need to hide in a safe environment for manipulation.

The robot's body will be very fast in a short distance. It can walk quickly on the ground, fly to the sky and wade through it. In this case, the personal car will completely lose its proper scene. In the future, the automobile industry will disappear completely, and maybe only a few cars can be seen in the museum.

Some people may ask, what about long-distance transportation without cars?

I think there will be large long-distance buses that will run regularly at the tip of some cities, just as the subway is the main traffic force in cities now. By then, it will be very convenient to travel between different cities, because short-distance vehicles can get close to themselves quickly, while long-distance vehicles with high frequency and punctuality can not only carry people, but also directly improve the power and energy for passengers who lack energy. Basically, everyone who is resurrected can go anywhere they want, and there is no need to prepare anything.

The robot human industry is prone to monopoly enterprises. If an enterprise is ahead in this respect, it will be easy to lead everywhere, gradually occupy most of the market and become the overlord. Nowadays, the richest man in the world often appears in promising emerging industries, such as Amazon's Best and Tesla's Max. The prospect of robot human industry far exceeds the online shopping industry and the new energy automobile industry. I predict that there will be a world's richest man in this industry, and it is even possible that in the next few hundred years, the world's richest man will be an entrepreneur similar to the robot industry.

3. Nuclear-like safety energy industry

This industry is also very important. In order to start interstellar migration in the future, human beings must get rid of the dependence on sunlight and can no longer rely on animals and plants as the source of nutrition and energy for their own survival. You need to find a way to survive for many days or even years with a supplement. If the speed of an interstellar spacecraft cannot exceed the speed of light, I think finding this energy source is a necessary prerequisite for interstellar travel. Because it may take decades or hundreds of years to travel between many planets, if there is no lasting energy supply, it is believed that the range of planets where human beings can move will be greatly reduced, and the significance of interstellar travel will be greatly reduced.

After human beings break through the life limit, hundreds of years of interstellar travel time will no longer be unimaginable and unacceptable. With enough energy support, people after resurrection may spend most of their time living on interstellar travel tools. Every interstellar travel tool can be said to be a small city, and there is almost no difference between living on it and living on the planet.

In the future, human beings may use production and transportation equipment to enjoy energy, because most of the materials that make up the human body are similar to manufacturing equipment, and the enjoyment of this energy is considered to greatly expand human activity ability. Imagine that if today's human beings can rely on gasoline to provide their own survival needs and feed on gasoline, a person can drive through the desolate and vast no-man's land as long as there is enough gasoline in the car. In the future, this kind of energy can not only maintain the energy needed by the body, but also drive the vehicle. With the size of the earth, human beings can go anywhere, and there is no no forbidden zone.

The word "safety" mentioned here is relative. For example, nuclear energy is full of danger to human flesh and blood now, but it may not be dangerous to the robot's body in the future.

The energy industry will always be the pillar industry of the human world. In ancient times, man relied on heat and water. Now, human beings rely on electricity and nuclear energy. In the future, mankind will certainly be able to explore new energy sources and make use of them.

The energy industry is naturally a monopoly industry and it is easy to become the richest man in the world. However, this industry has a significant impact on social stability. The will of the state must not allow private enterprises to monopolize this industry, so it is not easy to have the richest entrepreneurs. To promote the development of this industry, countries need to invest heavily.

4. Maintenance and repair industry of human emotions

This industry includes film and television, games, toys and other industries, and may include some new industries such as VR and AR in the future. I list this industry here, and some people may doubt it. Let me tell you my reasons.

After the resurrection, the human body is made of cold and high-precision materials, and it can survive without absorbing nutrients from animals and plants. What's the difference between this resurrected man and a robot?

I think the only difference is that the resurrected people have feelings and humanity. There are many kinds of emotions, such as happiness, pain, regret, regret, anger, excitement, love and so on. Great literary works

They can be circulated for thousands of years because they can arouse the emotional buzz of most people.

However, how do emotions arise? How do different moods change? How do cultural traditions in different regions, different people's education level, different people's intelligence level and different life experiences affect their emotions?

At present, there are no answers to these questions. I feel it will be difficult to find these answers in the future until I thoroughly study the human brain.

I think it is a big question mark whether the resurrected people can maintain the same mood after the consciousness transfer and the soul resurrection because of the complete change of lifestyle.

In order to make the resurrected people have the same feelings and keep the bottom line of human nature, it is necessary for the resurrected people to maintain the human lifestyle as much as possible. What life types can be preserved in the future? Industrial and agricultural activities such as ploughing and weaving are definitely gone, and it is estimated that it is difficult to keep eating and drinking. Even if there is, it may change a lot. Watching TV movies, playing games and playing toys may all stay, which may be the main way to maintain human emotions.

Another point is that after the high development of science and technology, the ability to produce the materials needed for life has been greatly improved, and a small number of people can feed all mankind through work. Most people don't have the problem of making a living, and they don't have to earn money by working. Just like google now, only relying on the profits of the search department can support the employees of the whole company, and it is easy for other departments to develop technologies that will generate profits over a long period of time. This can be called Google mode. Of the 7 billion people on the earth in the future, only 1 100 million people may be engaged in productive work, enough to feed the whole world. Among the remaining people, there may be hundreds of millions of people willing to engage in scientific research, Ad Astra and other development work, and the rest are so-and-so people who have been muddling along for a long time. If there are no games, TV movies, toys, etc. It is hard to imagine that these people will live with peace of mind. Therefore, in the future world, games, toys, streaming media and so on. It can be used for entertainment time, which is more important than food and energy, and it is the basic industry to maintain the stability of human society.

If I had to choose the greatest discovery in the last hundred years, I would choose TV. With TV, life at night is much happier, and human spiritual life is rich and wonderful. Television promotes the development of social media and has a great influence on social governance. After the productivity of human beings has been greatly improved, and they can get enough survival materials without spending all their time, it is hard to imagine what the remaining human beings would do to the community without time-consuming tools such as television. Television and other entertainment tools, like ancient religions, have calmed society a lot.

People who are resurrected later will have more leisure time. If there is not enough TV to watch and games to play, I believe many people will go crazy.

I believe that at any time, there are only a few people with ideals and motivation, and the pursuit of most people is to eat, drink and be merry. In the future, due to the development of science and technology, most of the work can be done by machines, and people can live a life that is neither hungry nor bitter without work at all. Considering people's lazy nature, it is obvious that people who do nothing all day will be in the majority. In this case, the importance of TV, games and toy industries to social stability even exceeds the first three categories. In fact, in today's society, this kind of industry is also of great significance, which will consume a lot of human free time painlessly because of the improvement of productivity and prevent energetic human beings from falling into disputes and infighting.

In ancient China, there was a saying that playthings are weary in well doing. In ancient times when productivity was low and human resources were precious, this sentence was definitely correct. However, in modern society and the later resurrection era, a small number of people work enough to feed all mankind, and most people need to play with things to kill time and adjust their emotions. Therefore, it is very correct to play with things at this time, which is worth promoting and is no longer a derogatory term.

Among these industries, I think the toy industry is the most worth promoting. Compared with games and TV, toys don't hurt the eyes. The body is also exercising when playing, which has a certain fitness effect. It can be said that toys don't hurt your health, but indulging in games and TV for a long time will seriously damage your health. Another feature of the toy industry is lacking in other industries, that is, the toy industry chain is long, attracting a large number of employed people and promoting social development far beyond the game and TV industries. Unfortunately, at present, there are not many products with high playability in the toy industry, and their attraction is not enough to compete with the game and TV industries.

In the future world, the whole world will be affected by the lack of creativity because the number of new human beings is greatly reduced. How to improve human creativity will be a major event that affects the whole world. Compared with games and TV, toys will provide more help in improving creativity and creativity. Obviously, games and TV focus on providing a sense of substitution, improving human self-satisfaction and relieving tension. Toys have always had some educational functions, some of which can improve hands-on ability and some can improve thinking ability. In the future, when facing the lack of creativity, human beings will certainly design a large number of toys that can train creativity. By then, the toy industry will become much more important than it is now, and its market share will increase a lot, which may far exceed the game and TV industries.

In modern society, the toy industry mainly serves infants, children and teenagers. The main audience of TV is middle-aged and elderly people. These industries should expand their market scope. In this sense, these industries still have great development prospects. After all, these industries are partially addictive. As long as it can be extended to all ages, the market capacity will only expand, not shrink.

Toys, games and film and television industries are all creative industries. This industry pays attention to letting a hundred flowers blossom. If one or several monopolies occupy a huge market share, it is not a good thing for these industries. The emergence of the world's richest man in these industries is definitely a tragedy for all mankind. Countries in every era should formulate policies to curb monopoly enterprises in these industries, encourage small and medium-sized enterprises to dare to compete with large companies and provide more and better products for the society. Off-topic, it is absolutely undesirable for some companies to try to monopolize Internet video, games, online texts and other aspects, which will definitely stifle the development of these industries in China. Once creativity is suppressed, the prospect of the whole industry is bleak, and China's efforts to compete with the world in games and other industries will inevitably fail. I think it is necessary for the state to limit the market share of large companies in these industries and leave a considerable share to small and medium-sized companies. Only when a hundred flowers blossom can such creative industries promote each other and form a good cycle together.

Since attaching importance to science and technology, the development of the whole human race has entered the fast lane. Driven by science and technology, many long-cherished dreams of mankind have come true. As the biggest dream of mankind for thousands of years, I believe that immortality will be conquered. I want to emphasize here that immortality must be promoted by the power of science and technology, not by religious beliefs or indescribable mysterious forces.

My ideal is to devote the rest of my life to these four industries. Obviously, even if I try my best and spend all my money, I can't achieve this goal in my lifetime, and I have no ability to push mankind into the era of interstellar migration. However, as the ancients said, "Those who listen to the Tao die in the evening!" I think this is the future development direction of mankind. If I can work hard in this direction, then my life is meaningful and valuable. As for whether it can be successful or not, I don't think it really matters. The road is rugged, but the future of mankind is worth looking forward to.