The European refugee crisis will have an important impact on the post-cold war situation.

China Com 24th —— On June 24th, the conference of "Blue Book of Europe: Report on European Development (20 15~20 16)" was held in Beijing, which was jointly organized by European Institute of China Academy of Social Sciences, European Society of China and Social Science Literature Publishing House.

20 15 Europe has been hit hard by the refugee crisis, which is the result of the post-cold war pattern changes in the Middle East and North Africa, and in turn will have an important impact on the post-cold war pattern. The Blue Book believes that this influence is mainly reflected in the following three aspects.

First of all, it urges the EU to reflect on the Middle East and North Africa strategy in the post-cold war period and show a clearer will to maintain regional stability. The EU recognizes that the reform process it promoted in neighboring countries in 10 has been at a standstill in many regions, and not all partner countries hope to form a special partnership with the EU in a diversified and integrated mode. The EU is ready to put down its stance, get along with its eastern and southern neighbors more equally, and respect the differences of partner countries more than before. From the perspective of the EU, this change is fundamental. After the changes in the Middle East, especially the impact of the refugee crisis, the EU's willingness to democratize its neighbors tends to decline.

Second, France hopes to play an independent role in the process of cracking down on religious extremist organizations. Playing the role of an independent power is the basic goal of French diplomacy after World War II. In the post-cold war period, Chirac had a serious disagreement with the United States because of his opposition to the Iraq war, while his successor Sarkozy actively cooperated with the United States and played the role of a big country under the influence of the United States. After Hollande came to power, the initial foreign policy basically followed Sarkozy's path. 2015165438+1October 13 On the occasion of the third anniversary of Hollande's recognition of the Syrian opposition alliance, the "* * * country" created a terrorist attack in Paris. In response, Hollande * * * quickly stepped up military strikes against "* * * countries".

Third, the trend of multipolarization in the Middle East has strengthened, which has had a far-reaching impact on the changes of the whole world pattern. The increasingly multipolar pattern in the Middle East means that the ability of the United States to control the situation in the Middle East has declined. Recently, religious extremist organizations have been launching terrorist attacks on countries all over the world, so they have always said that the United States will not actively crack down on "countries." However, if the "* * * country" is hit hard, it will be more difficult to achieve the goal of overthrowing the Bashar regime, and Syria will also become an important member of the Shiite camp, thus enhancing Russia's influence in the Middle East, which the United States and its Middle East allies do not want to see.