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The Influence of Population Increase and Decrease in China on Studying in Britain
China's huge market for studying abroad attracts countries to rush in.
China's huge market for studying abroad attracts countries to compete for China students to study abroad, but how much can Britain benefit from it?
The British Council and the Economist Intelligence Unit have recently developed a cooperative research model.
They vertically analyzed the influence of price fluctuation, population increase and decrease and national composition on overseas enrollment of British higher education over time.
China is a big source of British overseas students and the first research object of this research model.
Research shows that China's one-child policy will affect the overseas enrollment of British higher education.
The report predicts that due to China's one-child policy, British higher education institutions will face a more difficult situation when enrolling students overseas.
change greatly
Through research and analysis, it is found that in the next 12 years, there will be great changes for China students studying in the UK.
It is predicted that the demand for higher education in China will remain great in the next five years. However, due to the increase and decrease of population and composition, the demand for higher education in China will gradually decrease after five years.
At the same time, the proportion of China students studying abroad will decrease slightly, which means that after 20 1 1 year, the total number of international students will gradually shrink.
The study also predicts that the number of China students studying in the UK will decrease, and China's share in the UK study market will drop from 65,438+04% to 65,438+02%.
If population growth and all other factors are taken into account, the number of China students studying in British higher education institutions will increase from 45,000 in 2006 to about 60,000 in 2065, 438+065,438+0.
After that, the number of China students studying in British higher education institutions will gradually decrease.
One-child policy
One of the main factors is the rapid aging of the population in China, and the reason behind it is the one-child policy implemented in 1960s and 1970s.
The population of China 15 to 19 reached its peak last year, and then gradually decreased for a long time, so the number of people studying abroad will decrease.
However, the rapid economic growth in China has also slowed down this impact. In recent years, the number of college students in China has been increasing, and the increase of urban population income has continuously expanded the study abroad market.
According to the British Council, past studies have neglected price factors, including tuition and living expenses.
According to the report, China students know how to calculate carefully, and Britain, the United States, Canada and Japan are all competing for the international student market in China in terms of price and quality.
With the popularization of studying abroad, the development of preparatory courses in China has undergone profound changes in four aspects: market environment, quality of students, preparatory courses and preparatory management.
Change 1 market: from being misunderstood to realizing essential functions
According to reports, in the past, there were many misunderstandings about preparatory education in China, equating preparatory education with English training was only a base for candidates' language learning.
Now, after more than 10 years of construction and development, the preparatory course has gradually realized its essential role, providing a transition between language and learning for some students who need to study abroad.
Changing the second source of students: realizing the leap in the quantity and quality of students.
Not only the structure of international students' sources has changed, but also the quality of domestic preparatory students has changed obviously. According to Shen of Cambridge College in Shenzhen, before 2005, she was still working at Indi University in Malaysia. At that time, most of the international preparatory students she accepted were students who could not enter universities in China. At present, most of the students who apply for the preparatory course of Cambridge College in Shenzhen are students who can't get into the ideal universities in China.
Experts studying abroad told reporters that most of the students enrolled by the institutions in recent years came from key middle schools, and most of them achieved excellent results.
Change 3 Institution: School management is becoming more and more mature and standardized.
In the management and development of preparatory colleges, it has gradually changed from simply pursuing admission to foreign universities and visas to paying attention to students' comprehensive quality training and career planning.
According to reports, the previous preparatory courses for studying abroad did not screen students' quality and quality sufficiently. There are many blind spots in preparatory education abroad, and it is not clear what kind of programs are really suitable for China students. Therefore, in school management, it is a simple pursuit to send students abroad to study in universities and help them apply for visas. With the maturity of the preparatory market, especially the rise and development of study abroad agencies, the current preparatory institutions pay more attention to the adaptability of projects and students, pay attention to the comprehensive quality training of domestic students studying abroad for one or two years, assist students in career planning, and improve the market competitiveness of institutions and students.
Change 4: Diversified development and market capacity expansion.
Before 200 1, the preparatory programs for studying abroad were very single, and they were basically Canadian preparatory programs; The learning level is also very single, that is, undergraduate preparatory study. After 200 1, it gradually moved to Canada, Australia, the United States, Britain and other countries, but it was mainly English-speaking countries.
By 2005, especially after 2006, the programs of studying abroad in preparatory courses covered English-speaking countries, European countries and East Asian countries, and the development was more diversified. It is reported that South China ushered in the upsurge of studying in Korea in 2008, and the preparatory study in Japan, South Korea and South Asian countries has also become the focus of candidates' attention.
Commonwealth education is in a leading position in the field of education in the world today, and most of the 50 Commonwealth countries in the world adopt this popular education model, so it is easy to understand that the Commonwealth education system has become one of the most widely recognized systems in the world. Among them, Australia and Britain are outstanding representatives of the Commonwealth education system, and tens of thousands of China students go to further their studies every year. When choosing to study in Australia and Britain, how to plan your study plan with the right ideas?
Britain: You don't have to stick to the rankings when choosing a school.
Experts studying abroad often find that some students keep their promises when designing their study plans in Britain, which seems to be the only parameter for choosing a school. British university rankings have a strong commercial flavor, and there are many kinds, such as The Times, The Guardian and The Financial Times. Because these rankings are unofficial and highly commercialized, the credibility of the rankings is greatly reduced. The ranking of different institutions and the selection of evaluation parameters are different, so the results will be very different. In addition, the total score in the ranking is determined by many parameters, and many parameters in the ranking system are often not directly related to China students. According to the current ranking scoring system, research universities are more likely to rank in the top. However, for most students who are about to find jobs after graduating from undergraduate or master's degree, the quality of education and work experience are far more important than the level of scientific research. For example, the University of Nottingham Trento in the UK, according to the latest statistics of the British Higher Education Statistics Association (HESA), has a graduate employment rate of 97.7%, ranking first in the UK. More than half of the majors in the business school of this school can provide one-year paid internship opportunities; All courses (undergraduate/postgraduate) in Computer College can provide one-year paid internship opportunities, and the annual internship salary of students is as high as 8,000-26,000 pounds. Such schools can often meet the needs of many China students, but they are often not very high in the rankings of many universities.
Australia: Choosing a major should be employment-oriented.
Many students who choose to study in Australia often have plans to emigrate further. Therefore, it is suggested that students studying in Australia must be inclined to majors with good career prospects, such as accounting, finance, actuarial science, human resource management, information management, real estate management, and tourism hotel management. Engineering disciplines, such as civil engineering, petroleum engineering, mineral engineering, medical pharmacy and so on. These subjects not only have a future in Australia, but also have a future after returning to China. Experts specially recommended three majors:
1, Mining Major: The employment situation of students majoring in mining is very good, and often graduates have found jobs before graduation. Australia's mining industry is highly developed and modernized, and its geographical location may sometimes be a little biased. Occasionally, on-site work is needed, but most of the time, most of them work in office buildings with high wages.
2. Nursing major: Nursing major is a cost-effective immigration major. As long as you have the qualification of registered nurse in Australia, you can get a "green card" to work in Commonwealth countries. Graduated from a junior college or undergraduate nursing major in China, with a nurse's certificate and one year's nursing experience, can directly study the bachelor's program of 1 year, and can become a registered nurse after graduation. The salary is 45,000 Australian dollars per year, and those who have served for a long time can get 50,000-60,000 Australian dollars per year, which is equivalent to the income and treatment of senior managers of enterprises.
3. Education: The employment prospects of education continue to be good. There is a shortage of teachers in primary and secondary schools and preschool education in Australia, especially in Western Australia. According to the current immigration policy, primary and secondary schools and kindergarten teachers are classified as 60-point occupations, which has become an immigration road for education students. Teachers in Australia have an easy job. Teachers in Western Australia only have 6-7 months of working time a year, and the rest are holidays. In terms of income level, the States are similar, among which Western Australia is slightly higher, with an annual salary of 60,000 Australian dollars, and financial subsidies are available in remote areas.
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