Job Recruitment Website - Immigration policy - Why did Hollande win the first round of the French 20 12 general election? Analyze the reasons in detail and list the views of Sarkozy and Hollande. The result of the second round of elections will be
Why did Hollande win the first round of the French 20 12 general election? Analyze the reasons in detail and list the views of Sarkozy and Hollande. The result of the second round of elections will be
Hollande now blames Sarkozy's mistakes for the current economic situation in France. Polls also show that Hollande is ahead of Sarkozy. Is there no doubt that Hollande finally won?
I saw 10 French civil affairs organization's forecast for the second round election this morning. The biggest difference is that Hollande will be elected with 57% of the votes, and the smallest difference is that he will be elected with 53% of the votes. Judging from the polls, it should be said that it is extremely beneficial to Hollande now, but after all, the vote has not yet taken place, and it is hard to say now, because the biggest uncertainty here is mainly the far-right voters. Now Le Pen, the far right, has got 19% of the votes, and whoever the voters finally fall to will win. However, in 2007, Le Pen, a far-right candidate, called on voters to give up participating in the general election. In this general election, Sarkozy has been using various methods to win over the far-right voters, but judging from the first round of voting, his strategy was not successful. Because Sarkozy only grasped the anti-immigration tendency of the far right, but did not notice that many voters of the far right were middle and lower classes. Now the core policies put forward by Hollande's left can actually cater to the interests of some of them.
Why did this economic issue become the core issue of this French election? What is the reason?
First, under the background of the whole European debt crisis, both voters and governments are inseparable from economic problems. Second, France's economic fundamentals are very bad. The emergence of public expenditure has reached 56%, which is almost the highest in Europe. At the same time, it has an unemployment rate of nearly 10%. So in this case, Sarkozy made some reforms, but these reforms offended many people. If Hollande comes to power, if he promises to expand public spending and renegotiate the fiscal agreement, it will definitely bring great impact to the economy of France and even the euro zone.
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