What impact will Scotland have on Britain and Europe if it becomes independent?

As a person who has lived in Scotland for more than 2 years, talk about his feelings.

First, the impact on Britain:

The negative impact is certain. The loss of the northern territory, which accounts for about 1/3 of the total area, further narrowed the already narrow strategic depth. Loss of about110 population; The loss of Faslane Naval Base and Lucas Air Force Base further weakened the control in the Atlantic Ocean and northwest Europe; Most importantly, Aberdeen's North Sea oil and gas field was lost; The encouraged separatist forces in Northern Ireland may become active again.

However, although the impact is there, I don't think it will be too great.

1. Although it has lost its northern territory, Scotland will certainly not become the second Ireland. I disagree with Wang Yu here. You know, Ireland is an island after all, and Scotland shares a large area with England on land. The economy and logistics of the two sides are so intertwined that they completely cut off contact and completely became diplomatic relations. Britain will not allow it, nor will Scotland itself. For example, one winter, there was a heavy snow and snowstorm in Scotland, and the west coast connecting Scotland and England was buried by heavy snow, which led to the suspension of the north-south railway line for two weeks. What I saw and heard in these two weeks made me realize that if I left England for blood transfusion, Scotland would be finished. In just two weeks, supermarkets, including Tesco and other large supermarkets, were completely out of stock. Usually the fresh meat area and vegetable area are empty, even if you take money to buy food in the supermarket, you can't buy it! Finally, I can only drive to China supermarket to collect instant noodles! Letters have also been delayed. I went to the post office three times to urge the express mail that arrived in two days, and it was delayed for two weeks. At that time, my friend in Scotland said that it was because of Britain's control over Scotland that Scottish ports were not allowed to import food, and this happened. But in any case, such a food shortage occurred in the most developed western Europe in the world, which still shocked me.

Therefore, I think neither England nor Scotland can afford such a complete division. Even if it is independent, it should be similar to the relationship between China and Hongkong, a form of "confederation" which is closer than the relationship between countries. The economic and trade ties between the two sides are too deep to bear.

2. In view of the above reasons, the separation of military and land will not be complete. Here, I disagree with @ Lengzhe's assertion that the British army collapsed. Scotland itself does not have the strategic demand and ability to maintain nuclear submarine bases and air bases. Scotland's biggest possibility is to join NATO and hold brothers' thighs. Then the British military base in Scotland is most likely to continue to exist in the form of lease. Moreover, Scotland in the north has never been the strategic depth of Britain, but the whole North Atlantic is. In the event of war, there is no possibility that Scotland will defect from England to the other camp. Independence, like Ireland, was strictly neutral during World War II. Churchill made a battle plan at that time, but once Ireland showed signs of investing in Hitler, the task force immediately blocked the Irish coast and destroyed the Irish navy in the harbor. As for Scotland with a gun pointed at the back, I dare not. It is lucky to remain neutral. Most likely tied to a chariot by Britain, Scottish bagpipes resounded through the battlefield.

3. From Scotland's own analysis, it is obviously Scotland that needs each other more after independence. The population is only110 on the other side, and the GDP is far behind. After independence, Scotland lost its complete industrial system, the high-tech industry in England, and the financial center in London, and sought help for everything. Glasgow, Scotland's own industrial center, has been declining for decades due to industrial upgrading. Edinburgh can only rely on tourism and cultural industries. After independence, Scotland will become a small third-rate European country supported by tourism and animal husbandry, and occasionally sell oil from the North Sea to earn a little money. You can also take the road of Australia, New Zealand and other countries, and use the vast territory, abundant resources and sparse population to attract immigrants.

Two. Impact on Europe:

France and Germany will definitely benefit. Britain's two traditional strategic rivals in Europe are happy to see Britain weak. Britain is weakened and the European Union is strengthened. They are the happiest. The process of European integration is further deepened, but can Scottish independence push Britain to join the euro zone and play together? Personally, the effect is limited.

To sum up, Scotland and England are like young lovers, fighting at the head of the bed and fighting at the end of the bed. Too independent. It's impossible. And as far as I know, English people generally don't care much about Scottish independence. On the contrary, the Scots are more rational and have not come this far. In the last referendum in memory, the number of people in England in favor of Scottish independence was 5 1%. On the contrary, the population in Scotland is only half. There are discrepancies in memory. Please point out any errors. )

You are so noisy, you really need to start your own business. Find out for yourself first.