Francois hollande's Dilemma

According to the survey data of the Political Research Center of the Paris School of Political Science, "the public's anger over political life has reached the extreme". At present, Hollande's trust has fallen to 30%, making him the "least popular" president of France since 198 1. Economic difficulties, social problems, political agitation, and the mutual encouragement of multiple crises make French politics run under high risks. The enlightenment of France lies in explaining the harmfulness of domestic economic stagnation and the importance of economic development. Reform is imperative, but it needs attention and good relations with the people, and internal pressure cannot be lifted through diplomatic actions.

Pascal Perinaud, director of the Center for Political Studies at the Paris School of Political Sciences, believes that the political and social foundation of the left-wing forces supporting the president is undergoing a major division, and the proportion of ordinary people expressing distrust of Hollande has increased significantly, which is due to some formal propositions put forward by Hollande (such as salary cuts for the president and cabinet members, low-carbon travel, etc.). ) has not been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.

Less than a year after Hollande was elected, more than two-thirds of French voters were disappointed with Hollande's ruling performance. The latest survey of Sophomore Company in March 20 13 shows that the public trust of Hollande is only 30%, while the survey result in February 20 13 is 35%. Most French people think that Hollande can't fulfill his campaign promises in 20 13 years or during his five-year term. These commitments include reducing the public deficit to 3% of GDP, reducing the unemployment rate and not raising taxes for low-and middle-income groups. The survey also showed that 68% of the respondents expressed disappointment with Hollande, the proportion of French right-wing voters who were disappointed with Hollande was as high as 92%, and the proportion of left-wing voters reached 39%. After 1970s, the French economy entered a stage of slow growth. Since then, the French economy has been stagnant. During Chirac's period, France's national strength and international status declined relatively. During Chirac's period, "three highs and one low" (high deficit, high deficit, high unemployment and low growth rate) in the national economy became the main characteristics of French macro-economy at that time, and it was also an economic problem that the French government urgently needed to solve. However, from Chirac to Sarkozy, this problem has never been overcome and is still in front of Hollande. 20 12 September, the number of official unemployed people exceeded 3 million, challenging the psychological bottom line of the French people. This is a very important reason for the crisis of confidence and the worrying prospect of left-wing governance since Hollande was elected.

A series of economic problems facing Hollande at home and abroad not only involve the "three highs and one low" macroeconomic dilemma that has not changed in the past two decades, but also face the economic background of the current economic depression and the European debt crisis, and are more related to the inadaptability of its economic development model to globalization and the difficult situation of domestic reform. The decline in the purchasing power of national consumption, the high unemployment rate, the severe financial situation of the government and the obstruction of the government's economic reform have all made the French economy difficult to return. After Hollande came to power, social problems and social crises in France have not been improved. Under the subsequent impact of the economic crisis and the European debt crisis, various contradictions have been rising and intensifying.

On March 5, 20 13, 200,000 people in France went on strike to oppose the new employment bill. The complexity lies in that it can always mobilize many followers, vent their dissatisfaction with the current social situation, and point the finger at the government, leading to further out-of-control and deterioration of the situation. When it is serious, it will make France's economic life and social order fall into extreme chaos and paralysis. In May 2005, the French "referendum" rejected the EU constitutional treaty. In 2005, at the end of June 5438+10, immigration riots broke out in the suburbs of Paris. In March 2006, a nationwide demonstration against the "first employment contract" broke out. On June 65438+1October 65438+August 2007, French trade unions protested against Sarkozy's reform measures to cut pension benefits. From June 5438 to/KLOC-0 to October 29, 2009, nearly 200 strikes and demonstrations took place in various parts of France to protest against the current economic policies of the government, aiming at opposing Sarkozy's crisis management policies. According to the statistics of the French Federation of Trade Unions, 2.5 million people took part in various protests. On March 19, 2009, the second national general strike broke out, demanding the government to effectively protect the interests of workers in the economic crisis. 20 10 July, two vicious incidents involving Roma occurred in France, which caused riots. 2010 August 19, French president Nicolas Sarkozy ordered the illegal gypsies to be repatriated to Romania. 20 10 On September 4th, large-scale demonstrations broke out in more than 30 cities in France/kloc-0. Participants shouted slogans such as "No to Sarkozy's inhumane policy" to protest against the French government's security policy focusing on expelling Gypsies. On 201019, France continued to hold nationwide strikes and demonstrations to protest against the government's retirement system reform bill.