Why do you want to open a second child and a third child?

Recently, the three-child policy has been opened again, and everyone is a little confused. China has a large population, ranking first in the world. In the past, all countries required family planning. How can we encourage the second child and open the third child?

When friends discuss this topic, they generally know that our country has entered an aging stage, and now young people are reluctant to have children, so they begin to encourage them to have children. Some people even say that it is because fewer and fewer people can make money and pay taxes, and the country has no money to support the elderly. In fact, many people may not know the real reason behind this.

Recently, I was making up an entertainment program "Seven Ba Shuo" and saw that there was a debate topic about the second child in the sixth season. The program invited a demographer from Renmin University as a guest. At the end of the summary, experts explained why China began to encourage childbearing, and I really understood the importance of population structure. If the country does not take measures, it will lead to the decline of the whole society.

First of all, he mentioned that from the perspective of demography, the degree of aging in our country is getting more and more serious, but the average fertility rate has dropped to about 1. 1, that is, a couple has only 1. 1 child on average. If this fertility rate remains unchanged, the population of China will be less than that of the United States in one hundred years. /kloc-In 0/000 years, China people will be extinct.

I just watched the news recently. In the first half of 20021,the birth population dropped sharply 16%. In 202 1 year, the birth population may be only100000, which is less than the death population, while the fertility rate has dropped to about 1.0. According to this declining fertility rate, the extinction time of China will come earlier.

Secondly, he mentioned that from an economic point of view, it may seem that it is one thing for every family to have children. Many people think that the cost of having children is too high to afford a house. How can they afford the high cost of education for their children? But experts say that if there are serious problems in the population structure, there will be problems in the whole society and the whole country's economy. This is no longer a cost-benefit problem for individuals, but a cost-benefit problem for the whole society.

When the aging is serious, the national strength of the country will be greatly affected, including the decrease in the number of young people, the decline in productivity and the decline in consumption power; Talent will be greatly reduced, innovation ability will be reduced, which will lead to a series of problems such as the decline of scientific and technological strength and the decrease of export volume. To put it simply, China has finally become a big country with economic strength and scientific and technological strength through hard work, but it will gradually make us lose this position because of the demographic problems. In addition, the cost of old-age care is getting higher and higher, and young people will also bear higher and higher tax burdens.

According to the detailed analysis of these economists and demographers, I think the state is a new measure to encourage fertility. I now understand why the Canadian government should formulate an immigration policy, welcome rich or talented people to Canada, and even subsidize milk money to encourage everyone to have children. It is precisely because Canada has a small population that it needs more young people to develop its national strength, and so do many western countries.

At present, the generation of marriageable childbearing age is the post-90 s, and there are many reasons why the fertility rate of this generation is obviously low.

First of all, the post-90s generation are all only children, and the total population is much lower than that of the post-70s and post-80s generation, while the proportion of college students in this group is much higher than that of the post-70s and post-80s generation. After graduating from college, I found that the job market in this society is more inclined to graduate education, so I continued to study. In addition, due to the epidemic in recent years, it is difficult to find a job, and many students who did not want to go to graduate school have to choose to go to graduate school, so their overall marriage age has been postponed.

My daughter is born after 95. She told me that many female friends around her don't want to get married, and some don't want to have children. Children born after 90 pursue a free life. Their post-70s parents are generally financially strong. Their children grew up in superior family conditions and were relatively self-centered. They want to have fun, enjoy life, enjoy freedom and achieve their careers when they are young. This is the characteristic of their generation.

Because the fact that the one-child fertility rate is low cannot be changed immediately, it is necessary to start encouraging the birth of a second child and a third child, and it is necessary to speed up the pace. ?

To solve the problem, we need to find the root of the problem. The reason why people don't want to have children is the high cost of living. The good news is that the government has taken various measures to reduce the living costs of ordinary people, including housing, education and medical care. I heard that some cities are also preparing to introduce maternity allowance policies.

The change of population structure cannot be realized in a short time, and it needs to be realized through the efforts of generation after generation under the guidance of correct policies.

Haha, why do I suddenly feel that having a child now or having more children is actually contributing to the future survival of the Chinese nation? )