If Japan discovered the Daqing Oil Field during World War II, would it still provoke the United States?

What is the purpose of war? In essence, it is an extraordinary acquisition, that is to say, the seizure of production means and labor force through violent means. Therefore, wars are often related to the economic situation. When the economy is running well, wars will not break out easily, because conflicts that can be resolved through trade activities are more cost-effective than war.

At first, Japan was not so arrogant that it wanted to annex China. Judging from Japan’s policies after the Meiji period, Japan hoped to gain more interests in China and expand its colonies in China. In essence, it is a dumping market and raw material market, used to inject blood into Japan's domestic economy to ensure the growth of Japan's domestic economy.

It’s just that Japan is a relatively weak link in capitalism. At that time, Japan’s status was lower than Italy, and it was far inferior to Britain and France. The reason is that the financial system at that time was built first by the established Western countries, including the trading system. Western countries have been operating for more than a hundred years. In the financial era of the gold standard, they have a natural advantage. Therefore, it has been difficult for Japan to expand its interests in China, and because the domestic economy was affected by the Great Depression, Japan started to consider the four northeastern provinces.

Many strategists in Japan at that time, including Kanji Ishihara, recognized the important status of the four northeastern provinces and believed that it would be easier for Japan to occupy the four northeastern provinces than to occupy other parts of China, and they were close to Japanese colonies. Korean peninsula. As long as the annexation is successful, Japan can connect Manchuria and Mongolia and create a so-called lifeline, which is actually a blood transfusion line. By snatching the resources of the four northeastern provinces, it will inject blood into Japan’s domestic economy. At the same time, the advantages of the four eastern provinces were also used to carry out large-scale immigration and industrialization.

So since 1935, the four northeastern provinces have supplied Japan with 60% of its cotton, 90% of its soybeans, and 30% of its rice. It also produces a large amount of fertilizers, steel, and military products. In general, within five years, the four eastern provinces have become comparable to Japan. So much so that the Japanese base camp regards Northeast China as its rear area. It is a pity that Japan's entire industry has a fatal shortcoming of oil, which puts Japan into a dilemma.

In fact, history has shown that if Japan discovered the Daqing Oil Field, it would be the most tragic result. Because at that time, Japan would never be in a hurry to start a war. Instead, it will use the resources of the four eastern provinces to continue to develop and consolidate itself. After the four northeastern provinces are assimilated, Japan will have the best strategic position in Northeast Asia. At that time, Japan can freely deal with the United States. If we really wait until then to start fighting, it will really be a dead end.

In general, the reason for the outbreak of World War II was actually that the Jews failed the market economy under the gold standard. The Great Depression directly affected countries around the world. In order to absorb these effects, capitalist countries have actually thought of war. So much so that Britain, France and other countries would sit back and watch Germany violate the Versailles System from the beginning. After the United States entered the war, it consumed a large amount of production capacity and also promoted industrial upgrading and technological development. Therefore, unless capitalism disappears, the shadow of war will always exist.