Why did Wuxi, Changzhou and Yancheng experience natural negative population growth for the first time?

Yancheng has used up some economy or opportunities. Education in Yancheng is no longer suitable for children's growth. Teachers only care about making money, and teachers' morality has broken the bottom line. Yancheng's housing prices are comparable to those in southern Jiangsu, and the wages are much different. I will leave Yancheng when I have the chance, which is good for myself and my children.

I will answer Wuxi directly, because I am a standard Wuxi person and a city person. I have always said that Wuxi people are rich. This is absolutely correct. I was born in the 1970s, and there are still many people born in the 1960s. As an indigenous house, it is definitely not a problem. It rained for a long time in Mao Mao. The problem is that because the policy stipulates that only one child can be born, a lot of surplus funds are all invested in children's education. As a result, most children go abroad to study after graduating from college or high school, many emigrate and few return to Wuxi. Few domestic university graduates return to Wuxi, and their parents have also sold their houses and moved to take care of their grandchildren. So many people say that it is difficult to see aborigines in Wuxi, which is very telling. It is not difficult for these high-quality aborigines to sell their properties and use their savings to buy suites in Beishangguang. I received a school district house a few days ago. This is the case. My grandparents sold the school district houses and houses in Wuxi and went to Beijing to buy a school district house for their granddaughter. Foreigners have made public their old crowns, and they are very graceful. As soon as the transfer formalities were completed, they sold the car and were not ready to return it. As for other conditions, the average family size is actually decreasing. The continuous outflow of high-quality residents, coupled with the shrinking local population, and Wuxi lacks enough industries to absorb a large number of foreigners, it is natural for the population to grow negatively.

I live in Yancheng, education cycle, housing price cycle, employment cycle.

Most people focus on children's education, spend a lot of money, make up lessons, and study with various interests ... The most basic thing for a good education is to have a school district. The house price is more than 20 thousand, more than 30 thousand, more than 40 thousand ... one square meter, and the monthly salary of the working class is about 5,000 yuan. Look at your income. Dare you have more children?

Poetry and painting life, meet the ridge. Focus on literary travel and purify your mind! Of these three cities, you said that Yancheng has a natural negative population growth, and I am sure I believe it, because Yancheng is a relatively backward city in Jiangsu Province!

But Wuxi is different from Changzhou. The "Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou" economic belt has always been very bullish. The population density here is one of the best in the country. How can there be a natural negative population growth?

If this is the case, then it is really "Who in heaven has let go?" However, in my heart, I have been worried about the "one-child" policy. Now the country's liberalization of the second child will have no impact, and now young people are too lazy to get married!

About ten years ago, I heard such a true story in a remote ravine: after a teacher officially established by a country gave birth to two daughters, his father forced him to resign, and later he really gave birth to a son!

Seeing the teacher chopping bamboo on the mountain, I smiled and asked him: Do you regret losing your job? He simply said: If there were no people in the world, everything would be empty!

How well said! I think there is a natural negative population growth in many places now, which is an alarm!

Ok, that's all, I hope you like it!

Following some small and medium-sized cities, some big cities have also begun to enter the "negative growth era" of natural population.

At present, at least 26 prefecture-level cities have published population data, of which 8 cities, including Shenyang, Fushun, Taizhou, Yangzhou, Zhenjiang, Changzhou, Wuxi and Weihai, have entered the ranks of natural negative population growth.

Cause of occurrence

I. Ageing

According to the data of Population Pyramid Network, the population over 60 in China has reached 258 million in 2020. Compared with 20 10, the proportion of elderly people over 60 has increased from 13.3% to 17.2%, which means that five people work to support an elderly person. According to world standards, China has entered an aging society ahead of schedule.

Second, low fertility will.

In 2020, the number of newborns in China will be103,000, which is the least since the founding of New China.

For ordinary families, it is easy to have children, but difficult to raise them. After the child is born, it will face extremely high parenting costs, including: milk powder diapers, medical care, education, marriage and buying a house. This makes young Alexander.

The liberalization effect of the second child policy is not significant, but it only stimulates the fertility rate in the short term, and the overall impact is not significant. Some people say that education expenditure, childcare cost and high housing price are the best sterilization operations. Young people can't even support themselves, how can they have children? What you said is really a heart-wrenching sentence!

Three. Population mobility

According to the article "Study on the Urban Development of China's Outflow Cities", after studying the population data of 322 prefecture-level administrative regions, it is found that there are 199 cities in China, accounting for 6 1.8.

The fundamental reason of population loss is that the city is too attractive, there are insufficient jobs and the level of economic development is low. The phenomenon of population loss is very prominent in some prefecture-level cities such as Henan, Anhui and Hebei.

Fourth, housing prices are too high.

At present, housing prices in third-and fourth-tier cities are weak, while housing prices in first-and second-tier cities are still firm, especially after the country began to print money, housing prices are boiling again.

So the negative population growth of these three cities you mentioned is the result of a combination of many factors.

There is a natural negative population growth in a city: my personal experience has two aspects: one is related to the current low birth rate decline; Secondly, it is related to its own endogenous development motivation, such as imperfect innovation and entrepreneurship mechanism, unsafe talent introduction policy, lack of vitality in the development of leading industries, and low happiness in urban life. These are the keys to retain and attract talents! [yi tooth]

Wuxi, Changzhou and Yancheng experienced natural negative population growth for the first time in many years. For Wuxi and Changzhou, two southern Jiangsu cities, the population is negative and the economy is still developed at present. It is said that the threshold for household registration has been relaxed, and the inflow population is still relatively large. The registered population of these two cities is still growing. The data shows that in 2020, the registered population of Wuxi will increase by 6 1.300, and the population of Changzhou will increase by 1.630. Compared with Yancheng in northern Jiangsu, the registered population of Yancheng has decreased by 68,600.

Housing prices are soaring, employment opportunities are few and urban construction is developing. However, it is difficult to change the current situation that human relations in small cities are particularly important. A large number of people fled, especially outstanding young talents who did not enter the system, went to southern Jiangsu.

There are three reasons for the negative population growth in Yancheng.

First, few college children are willing to go back to Yancheng. Unless you can work within the system, you won't go back to Yancheng in your last college, and there are many jobs in Suzhou, Wuxi and Changzhou.

Second, housing prices in Yancheng have soared in recent years, the cost of raising children has increased, and the desire to have children has decreased.

Third, because the purchase of new houses in Suzhou, Nanjing and other places is restricted, people with senior titles have moved out. There are not a few such people, and there are several units I am familiar with.

Wuxi and Changzhou are also local people's desire to have children is reduced, few people want to have a second child, and migrant workers can't afford high housing prices, and they want to settle down because of funds and purchase restriction policies.

The answer is. Every city develops well and quickly, and of course, cities will also add new foreign citizens.