Why did the German election cause widespread concern in Europe?

It is reported that Germany will hold a general election on September 24th. In recent months, Merkel's support rate has been far ahead. Since 2005, Merkel has been in power for 12 years, becoming the longest-serving female national leader in Europe and even the world. Some analysts pointed out that the "Iron Lady" is about to be re-elected, and she will continue her domestic and foreign ideas, lead Germany, which has always been in the leading position in Europe, to continue to be strong and contribute to the European rejuvenation.

European "leader" elections attract attention.

It is reported that Germany is scheduled to hold the Bundestag election on September 24th. As "the engine of EU economy" and "the bank of the whole European continent", the German general election has become a "big event" in Europe.

The latest poll results show that the support rate of the Christian Democratic Union led by Merkel and its sister party, the Christian Social Union (collectively referred to as the Union Party), is about 38%, which is about 14 percentage points ahead of the second German Social Democratic Party.

Analysts believe that the "black swan" incident is difficult to happen in this German election, and Merkel is expected to tie the former Chancellor Kohl and become the second prime minister in German history 16 years.

However, candidate Merkel and her opponent Schultz have similar views on immigration, Turkey and European integration. Jean Monnet, a professor at Renmin University of China, and Wang Yiwei, director of the European Union Research Center, said in an interview with this newspaper that Merkel and her rival Schultz are not very different in many aspects. Both of them actively support the construction of the euro zone and promote the economic revival of Europe. No matter who is elected, it won't have much influence.

It is reported that this month, Merkel first made concessions on the issue of setting up a euro zone finance minister, and then advocated cooperation with Macron to consolidate the euro zone. In particular, Merkel's statement on the unexpected softening of the central financial power in the euro zone may indicate that the reform process in the euro zone will be restarted earlier than expected. Macron is also waiting for Merkel to visit Berlin after her re-election. During the meeting, they will also promote the reform of the EU mechanism.

Some commentators believe that during the 12 years when the "Iron Lady" Merkel was in power, Germany has always occupied the position of "leader" in Europe and played an important role in European affairs. Once, restraining Germany was the main theme of European history, but now, the whole of Europe is expecting Germany to play a leading role.

Why did Germany become a European leader?

Some analysts pointed out that Germany's "leader" position in Europe is determined by historical and practical factors. "The development of Europe is inseparable from Germany's contribution," Feng, director of the European Institute of China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, said in an interview with this newspaper.

Wang Yiwei believes that in terms of economy, Germany is in its best period since the global financial crisis in 2008. Under a series of challenges such as the European debt crisis, Germany still maintained a strong competitiveness and was not greatly affected. Its financial situation is good, and the momentum of progress has not diminished. There are no problems that European countries generally face, such as fiscal deficits.

Relevant data show that Germany's fiscal surplus in 20 16 reached 23.7 billion euros, the highest since the reunification of Germany in 1990. Considering that the current global monetary policy has been applied to the extreme, the European Central Bank has adopted quantitative easing, and Germany's fiscal surplus has reached record highs year after year. The relaxation of fiscal policy in the future can help the European economy grow steadily.

Secondly, Germany's position in Europe has greatly improved. Germany's measures to deal with the European crisis are very effective, and Germany has played an important role in the governance of the euro zone.

In addition, when European countries were threatened by terrorist attacks and refugee crisis, German society was generally stable and security issues were relatively good, which promoted the harmony and stability of European society.

As Merkel said, "We Europeans must take our destiny into our own hands." It can be seen that Merkel, who carries the expectations of the European establishment, is making every effort to promote the revival of Europe. Public opinion believes that if Merkel can be re-elected, she will stabilize the EU like a rock and promote the development of Europe.

At the same time, according to the prediction of relevant institutions, the unemployment rate in the euro zone is at a high level of 9.4% this year, and the overall debt ratio is 90.3%; At the same time, the economic performance of member countries is obviously divided. The EU and even Europe urgently need a "leader" like Germany to push it forward.

German election boosts European revival

Some commentators believe that with the gradual end of the general elections in France and Germany, the European Union is gradually stepping out of the darkest trough where various crises broke out and moving towards the light. European integration led by France and Germany has also injected new vitality into Europe.

After the German election, Europe may enter a new era. Feng believes that if Merkel is re-elected, she will continue her previous domestic and foreign policies and her attitude towards the EU and Europe as a whole will not change much. This will provide a good guarantee for peace and development in Europe.

In addition, Feng also said: "Germany can also lead European countries to unite and become a pole in the world multipolarization, thus balancing the United States. Such a strong strength is not available in other European countries. "

The rapid development of Germany can also accelerate the process of European economic recovery. Relevant data show that in the first quarter of 20 17, the GDP of the 28 EU countries increased by 1.9% year-on-year, continuing to walk in the channel of slow recovery; Inflation, which has plagued the euro zone economy for a long time, has also recovered to a level slightly below 2% under the continuous quantitative easing policy of the European Central Bank.

Experts said that although Europe will face various internal and external challenges in the future, the German election is a good opportunity. In the future, under the leadership of Germany, the European renaissance is worth looking forward to.