Where will the black immigrant area be in the next five years?

The fertility rate of black Americans is not high, so the United States will not become the second South Africa. Contrary to many people's imagination, the fertility rate of black Americans is not high, and Hispanics have the highest fertility rate in the United States. In addition, a large number of Latinos immigrate or sneak into the United States from Central and South America every year, which makes the United States Latin rapidly. Hispanics account for more than 30% of all states bordering Mexico in the southwestern United States, and since 2004, Hispanics have become the largest minority group in the United States.

The fertility rates of all ethnic groups in the United States in 2020 are as follows:

Asians are the lowest, only 1.38.

Indians and Alaska natives are 1.52.

Non-Latino whites are 1.55.

The population of non-Latino blacks is only 1.7, which is not high, nor does it reach the 2. 1 required for intergenerational replacement, even lower than that in sub-Saharan Africa. The highest fertility rate in Africa is Niger, reaching 6.74, and the lowest is Mauritius, only 1.44. But Mauritius is not a black country. The black country with the lowest fertility rate in Africa is Seychelles, which is 2.3.

Compared with African black countries, the fertility rate of African Americans is very low.

The fertility rate of Hispanics in the United States is 1.9, which is lower than 2. 1, but it is already high compared with other ethnic groups in the United States.

In 2020, there are 62.08 million Latinos in the United States, which is the largest minority. Latinos account for 18% of the total population in the United States, but among newborns, Latinos account for 24%.

In California, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas, where the United States borders Mexico, Hispanics account for more than 30%.

From 2000 to 2007, the number of Hispanics in the United States increased by 28.7%, about four times the national population growth rate (7.2%). From July 2005 to July 2006 alone, it increased by 3.4%. According to the 20 10 census, among the 366 metropolitan areas in the United States, 19 1 is the largest ethnic minority. According to the forecast, by 2050, the proportion of Latino population in the United States will reach 30%, and the number will reach 65.438+33 billion.

At present, the proportion of blacks in the United States is 12.4%, and will be 13% in 2050, with little change. Therefore, the United States is not "blackened" but "Latinized". The United States will not become South Africa, but it may become Mexico or Brazil.

At present, 62% of Hispanics in the United States are from Mexico. At present, the largest immigrant group in the United States comes from Mexico, with 65,438+million legal immigrants and hundreds of thousands illegal immigrants every year.

Under the "internal cooperation", the growth rate of Hispanics in the United States will far exceed expectations, and Hispanics may become the largest ethnic group in the United States by the end of this century. And blacks can't compare with Latinos and can't surpass whites.