Forecast of American house price trend

No matter at home or abroad, in the eyes of many people in China, the house is the only place with a home. Things change, the currency will depreciate and the investment will fail. Buying a house to preserve the value and collecting rent are the investment methods that China people are keen on.

In the next few years, are friends of American imperialists expected to see the possibility of falling house prices? According to Bloomberg News, because the current growth rate of personal income in the United States failed to keep pace with the recovery of the economic crisis, ChrisFlanagan, an analyst at Bank of America, speculated that house prices might be "moderate" for three consecutive years from the beginning. An annual increase of 0.8% will decrease 1.7%, 2. 1%, 0.8%.

However, analysts in JPMorgan Chase gave other guesses about housing prices. They think that house prices will still rise year by year, up 2.6%, up 2.4% and up 2.3%.

Who is right or wrong? Let's wipe our eyes and wait. Even if Bank of America lowers its forecast, the fluctuation is only about 1%-2%, which can be ignored.

The main goal of the US housing price trend is the employment rate. As long as the employment rate continues to decline, house prices will not fall sharply. On the other hand, it seems that American house prices have little to do with American income. As an immigrant country, the purchasing power of new immigrants can not be ignored. It is estimated that Trump will maintain a low interest rate policy after taking office, which will further affect the economic recovery and also support the housing market.

Now the problem that buyers should consider is not whether to buy a house, but how to get a satisfactory house. In the first half of the year, the transaction volume will increase, local buyers will have purchasing power, and even replace some overseas buyers. As the medical insurance system is about to be reformed, which can reduce the burden on the middle class, real estate will be an important investment target for them.

Although house prices are rising at present, they have strengthened to the point of slight back pressure. However, in the past, I took over a lot of drowning houses. It is foreseeable that the real estate market will improve in the future and the appreciation potential still exists. In this way, buyers will still consider the school district, the surrounding environment, the education level of residents, and the annual income of consumption power; At the same time, consider the expectation of appreciation. Now many negative factors have almost completely disappeared. For southern Canada, the future wave of buying houses will not only come from Chinese; At the same time, in addition to the above factors, people will be happy to buy blocks with American elements.