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If Belarus falls to the west, will it face the same fate as Ukraine?

If Belarus falls to the west, will it face the same fate as Ukraine? There is no doubt about this, because the position of Belarus is very important to Russia. Let's give you a detailed analysis for your reference:

First, if Belarus falls to western countries, Russia will launch a military attack:

Russia is a very powerful country, and their economy is not very good, but Russia has a very strong military force, and even the United States does not dare to confront Russia head-on. This is because Russia has a very large nuclear arsenal, and they have very strong armored armed forces. It is said that the number of Russian tanks is amazing, and there are not as many Russian tanks in Europe. In addition, Russia has excellent technology in fighter planes, and their missiles are even more powerful. The geographical position of Belarus is very important, and it belongs to a very important ally of Russia. If Belarus falls to the west, it will mean that Russia is almost attacked. Therefore, Russia will definitely use force decisively, which can be seen from the situation in Ukraine. Moreover, the position of Ukraine is far less important than that of Belarus, so Russia's military attack is certain.

Second, the government of Belarus is likely to be reorganized:

The military offensive should end soon. After all, Belarus has no too powerful weapons, and the combat effectiveness of the army is very low. Therefore, Russia's victory should be a very quick thing. After that, Russia will begin to reorganize the Belarusian government institutions and gradually use leaders in line with Russia's interests, so that Russia can gradually control Belarus and achieve strategic stability.

Third, Belarus is likely to be gradually merged by Russia: this matter will probably not end. Personally, Russia is likely to continue to step up its deterrence against Belarus, and finally let Belarus return to the territory of Russia through a series of political operations.