Forecasting method of human resource demand

The forecasting methods of human resource demand include subjective judgment, quantitative prediction and regression analysis.

1, subjective judgment method

According to their own experience and intuition, leaders of organizations at all levels determine the methods of future personnel from bottom to top. Subjective judgment includes empirical judgment and Delphi method. Empirical judgment is the simplest method to predict the demand for human resources. Delphi method is also called expert prediction method. The advantage is to avoid one-sidedness of personal prediction; Anonymous, multi-round prediction, high accuracy.

2. Quantitative prediction method

According to the relatively complete historical statistical data in the past, the future development trend of the market is quantitatively calculated by using various mathematical models, and the prediction results are obtained. Quantitative forecasting methods include ratio analysis and trend forecasting.

3. Regression analysis method

Establish the functional relationship between human resource demand and some influencing factors, and then bring the future estimated values of these influencing factors into the function, so as to get the human resource demand. According to the number of independent variables, it can be divided into univariate regression method and multivariate regression method.

human resources

It refers to the population with necessary working ability needed to develop economic and social undertakings, which was put forward by David eurich.

As a special resource, it has six characteristics: initiative, duality, timeliness, sociality, continuity and regeneration. It also refers to human resource management, including human resource planning, recruitment, training, performance, salary and labor relations. , mostly used in the personnel department.