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Stock: baoshan iron & steel (6000 19)

Stock valuation

July 9(th), 2007

Baoshan iron and steel company

(6000 19)

Comprehensive value evaluation

www.chinasogu.com.cn

Owens stock selection value model

more ...

Comprehensive score of stock name

(Star) Comprehensive Valuation 12 Step Value Assessment Industry Rating Growth Quality Rating Forecast Rating Investment Rating

Valuation range (yuan) Yesterday's closing (yuan) valuation result

Baosteel ★★★★★★★15.59-17.1511.40 Underestimated area ★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★★ ★ ★

Relative return rate

Investment rating and profit forecast

Relative rate of return (%)

The profit forecast (yuan) "e" is the forecast value.

Baoshan iron and steel company

Shanghai index

Current investment rating: strong buy, rating coefficient: 4.9

Strong buying, neutral buying, moderate reduction and selling.

value assessment

DCF valuation (discounted cash flow) (yuan)

Dividend Discounted Value (DDM) 4.53

Capital Free Cash Flow Model (FCFE) 18.54

Company Free Cash Flow (FCFF) 9. 13

Relative value valuation (times) (yuan)

Dynamic PE 12.5

P/BV 2.44

Part number 1. 19

P/CF 9.24

P/E ratio is 0.70

Target price valuation (yuan) (yuan)

Stock target price 15.59.

Other valuation (yuan) (yuan)

EVA value is 0.34 yuan.

G (basic growth rate) 5. 1%

The average rate of return is 2.4%

Return on equity 4.3%

risk assessment

VAR VaR 10.9%

Monthly fluctuation of 0.4%

The mean square deviation is 3.0%

Maximum profit (yuan) 1.24 yuan.

Maximum loss (yuan) 1.24 yuan.

Areas where comprehensive evaluation is underestimated

1 1.4

15.5917.1518.87 (yuan)

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content

The rise and fall of stars

Core competitiveness ★★★★★★★

Industry status ★★★★★★★

Growth analysis ★★★★★★★★

Profitability analysis ★★★★★★★★

Corporate governance ★★★★★★★★

Financial status ★★★★★★★

Value added by shareholders (EVA) ★★★

Institutional identity ★★★★★★★★★

Market intensity ★★★★

Value at risk (VAR) ★★★

Liquidity ★★

Margin of safety ★★★★★★★

Comprehensive rating star ★★★★★★★

Latest basic information

Proportion of capital stock structure (ten thousand shares) (%)

The total share capital is1751200.00100.0.

Non-tradable shares 1277700.00 73.0

Market value in circulation (100 million yuan) 539.79

Total market value (100 million yuan) 1996.37

Latest price-earnings ratio (times) 15.4

Dividend per share (RMB) 0.32

Latest P/B ratio (times) 2.4

Annual dividend yield (%) 3. 1

Enterprise value return rate EV/EBITDA 45.438+07

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content

The rise and fall of stars

Final consistent score ★★★★★★★

Finally, the consensus forecast ★★★★★★★

Comprehensive score

(star rating) ★★★★★★★

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content

The rise and fall of stars

Value growth rate (PEG) ★★★

Profit growth in the next three years ★★

Basic growth rate ★★★★★★★★

Adjusted after-tax operating profit growth rate (NOPLAT) ★★★★

Value added by shareholders (EVA) ★★★

Future added value (FGV) ★

Market added value (MVA) ★★★★

Comprehensive score

(star rating) ★★★★

content

The rise and fall of stars

The relative strength of the industry market ★★★

Industry growth ★★★★

Industry concentration ★★★★

Agency recommendation ★★★★★★★

Industry comprehensive star rating ★★★★★★★

Institutional research report

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Title author source date

Baosteel: Better than Le Yukun BOC International 2007-06-29.

Baosteel: In the third quarter, the price was flat. Considering the impact of export tax, we want to compare ... Zheng Dong, Li ... Guo Xin Securities 2007-05-23.

Baosteel: Baosteel's ex-factory price in the third quarter was flat, in line with expectations. Zhou Tao Guo Jin Securities 2007-05-22

Baosteel: The prices of main products were flat in the third quarter, and Zhao Zhi Chenganxin Securities was issued on May 22, 2007.

Baosteel: Profitability is still rising Zheng Dong, Li ... Guosen Securities 2007-04-26.

Trading guide

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Time category content

2007-07-03 Wen Wei Po Baosteel entered the field of nuclear power materials.

2007-07-03 Wen Wei Po Baosteel entered the field of nuclear power materials.

2007-06-29 Beijing's first steel Great Wall Shelter Certificate (6000 19)

2007-06-29 Oriental Morning Post Baosteel squeezed into the territory of nuclear power materials.

2007-06-29 China Certificate Baosteel cooperated with private enterprises to produce steel for nuclear power.

hot spot for investment

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Pay attention to equity participation in finance and large-cap blue-chip stocks

Giant whale in action: central enterprise integration ... power industry: industry performance in the second half of the year ..

Pharmaceutical industry: the economy continues to pick up ... Nonferrous Metals Weekly

Industry Sector Style in the Third Quarter of 2007 .. Tian Xiang IT Industry Daily Information.

One-week model stock selection portfolio

Release date: June 22, 2007 & gt More

Stock name comprehensive valuation consistent rating yield (%)

Valuation interval

(yuan) latest share price

(yuan) valuation

result

Changjiang electric power19.70-21.6715.59 bought 5.6200 strongly in the undervalued area.

CIMC 40.94-45.04 28.49 showed strong buying in the undervalued region -0.6800.

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