Flexible management of enterprises

1. What is the flexible operation of an enterprise?

I admire the person who invented the word negative growth, an absolute talent. Reduction means growth in the opposite direction. There is nothing wrong with this word. From the perspective of sensory impact, negative population growth is much lighter than population decline.

I think the most important word in 2022 is flexibility. We have flexible employment and flexible business.

Similarly, flexible employment is better than no job or odd jobs. As for why people choose flexible employment, you can give some examples of top anchors and some examples of express superman. Just like doing business in the sea, there is gold everywhere outside. As long as they go out to do business, they collect money. It is by no means that most units cannot pay wages.

While contemporary young people are complaining about flexible employment, I hope you can see the news that they were laid off in those years. Being forced to do business in the sea has become one of the sources of difficulties for the new generation of young people (my friends around me basically think that doing business in the sea is a good thing) (complaining that their father didn't seize the opportunity). I'm surprised by the selective coverage of past history. It doesn't hurt for young people to read more history books.

Maybe twenty years later, young people in the future will complain that their parents didn't seize the opportunity of flexible employment to become a big V, leaving them with no better material foundation.

Let me tell you an interesting policy. Beijing's closed system allows enterprises to operate independently, and retains the trademarks and related qualifications of the corresponding enterprises when closed.

After seeing a group of friends, my first feeling is that this is not bankruptcy protection. When this policy came out this year, it proved that many enterprises could not continue to operate. One is policy suspension (environmental protection policy for industry, epidemic situation for service industry, so it can't be eaten), and the other is long-term suspension of marketization (profit decline, even negative profit growth, that is, loss). This policy will reduce the number of bankrupt enterprises and then have money to continue.

What are the characteristics of flexible employment? Working hours are uncertain and welfare benefits fluctuate. What are the characteristics of flexible business? Business hours are fixed and profits fluctuate greatly. Since odd jobs are not pleasant to listen to, they are called flexible employment. Since the sensory impact of closing or not opening is too great, it is called closure, and if it is too negative, it is called flexible business.

In fact, enterprises have begun to operate flexibly, so there will be more flexible employment this year.

The employees of Luohe Food Factory in Hebei Province did not work overtime, indicating that the market demand could not support employees to work overtime. The disguised 8-hour working system is also a kind of flexible production for enterprises.

2. Why did large Internet companies deliver flexible and skilled talents to the society at the beginning of the year?

There is only one labor cost that an enterprise can control, because the damage of equipment is a probability problem, the rise of raw material prices is affected by the production capacity of upstream enterprises, and the shrinkage of the market is affected by the consumption power of downstream enterprises or consumers, so enterprises can only reduce operating costs by controlling labor costs.

The problems of manufacturing enterprises, the price of upstream energy enterprises rose, the profits of downstream enterprises in the superimposed market fell, and the market was sluggish.

The problem of service enterprises is that under the impact of the two-year epidemic on economy and employment, consumers' spending power has dried up, and market demand or business volume has dropped rapidly. There is no need to leave so many people without related business.

Last year, I knew that the salary of the construction company, a downstream enterprise of our cement plant, had dropped, and this salary reduction was spread to the cement industry this year.

At the beginning of the epidemic, everyone had savings and could last for a while, but two years was enough to drain their savings, especially in Changchun in the northeast. Other cities have suffered epidemics several times apart, and Changchun is like this every time.

In a market economy, market changes need time and production links to pass. There is a phenomenon in economics called bullwhip effect. The more production links or manufacturers there are for a product, the longer it will take for the manufacturer to make corresponding price and capacity adjustments to the changes in its product market.

The shrinkage of the cement market in Guizhou Province was caused by the reduction of the policy of covering every village and the reduction of expressway projects in 20 19. However, the cement industry generally declined in 20021year, and the connection between infrastructure projects and cement enterprises was through construction companies, so the construction companies were serious in 2020, while the cement price decreased in 20021year (Anshun Hongshi cement price was lowered).

Manufacturing enterprises are facing the rising cost caused by the rising energy price in the upstream, and the consumption shock in the early stage of the epidemic has also begun to impact downstream enterprises and some medium-sized manufacturing enterprises.

In the negative growth of total consumption, 202 1 only the total consumption of luxury goods showed an upward trend, which was transmitted to the middle-reaches enterprises through the bankruptcy of downstream companies one year later.

At the same time, the thunder of real estate companies last year also proved the authenticity of the data on the decline in total consumption.

3. Why did it start in 2022?

Because two years after the epidemic began, our residents' ability to save or borrow has reached the limit, and at the same time, the micro-enterprises that were initially hit by the epidemic have been unable to persist. This shrinking consumer market takes time and industry to pass on to big companies.

The price increase of upstream raw materials, especially oil, will increase the production cost and transportation cost, thus putting pressure on the price increase of products, which is the reason for the rise of ppi index.

Consumers' spending power is reduced because of the epidemic, which leads to consumers' inability to bear the rise of products, which is the reason why cpi index does not move or even decline.

The data precedes the status quo, and the deterioration of cpi index and ppi index precedes the layoffs or optimization behavior of large Internet companies.

In addition, the Federal Reserve did not adopt the policy of raising interest rates, and the prices of upstream raw materials rose. The impact of the epidemic on small and medium-sized enterprises, there are not so many investment projects in capital, so we have to increase investment in upstream industries. Only upstream energy and mining companies can maintain the return on investment required for capital. This has not been affected by the Fed's interest rate hike, nor by the war situation. This is the impact of the epidemic on capital flows.

This is the characteristic of 202 1-the rising price of raw materials and the inflation of upstream products.

On the other hand, the epidemic has repeatedly led to the continuous restart of the economy. This repeated impact on individual merchants and micro-enterprises is a constant back and forth in hope and despair, which is a kind of torture to people.

The bankruptcy of individual merchants and micro-enterprises will inevitably lead to difficulties in repaying debts, and the labor market will further exceed demand. Is it still difficult for factories to hire media workers after the outbreak?

I've been talking about it all year since I graduated.

How long can personal savings last under the epidemic?

The consumption of mobile phones has begun to decline. Zhihu even asked: "Why do mobile phones change every three years instead of every two years?" The epidemic is coming. Is your job stable? Can your cash flow support your life? Will you not encounter salary cuts and layoffs? Can I still borrow money?

The debt of the residential sector has reached its limit. In the case of interest rate not falling, residents' cash flow has been hit by the epidemic. Where can consumers have spending power and debt space?

I'm afraid the extra money has entered the bank deposit.

This is the characteristic of 2020-the total consumption began to grow at zero or even negative, but the total consumption of luxury goods was not affected by the epidemic.

4. What happened to Vanke's cancellation of senior management?

This is a disguised layoff and salary reduction, but I am still optimistic about Vanke.

Vanke, this company, from the previous golden age theory of real estate, to the first one who shouted "live" and now "cancel the senior management", it can be said that you are lucky to choose once and you are right three times. It's not a matter of luck. This is the foresight of Vanke.

Li Ka-shing said "Don't be the last copper coin", which is nonsense. The question is whether you know that you made the last copper coin. Vanke is too clever.

Second, don't look at Vanke's efforts to abolish executives. I saw many positions on Vanke's property recruitment software. While reducing the treatment of executives, Vanke is expanding its own property company.

Property company is the first asset sold by real estate companies including Country Garden during the storm of Evergrande. In the eyes of capital, property development will give priority to acquisition.

Vanke's mind is not confused, on the contrary, it is quite sober, and the top management is sober. The company's development will not be too bad

This article was born out of my recording and broadcasting on March 3 1 day, and was inspired by the news about Vanke sent by group friends.

Enterprises operate flexibly, and there will certainly be more flexible employees in the future.

But don't be afraid, my friends, resources are being reconfigured, including labor of course. So many people succeeded in doing business in the sea in those years, and you won't succeed this time.

I recommend you to listen to Liu Huan's Start Over.