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From 9,000 yuan in 2006 to 20,000 yuan per square meter in July 2007, the ratio of housing price growth to GDP growth in Shenzhen has reached 2.68 in two years, exceeding the bubble warning line of 2.0. In the past six months, housing prices in Shenzhen have soared by more than 70%, and high-end properties have exceeded 90%. House prices are almost equal to Hong Kong, causing controversy from all walks of life.

Shenzhen Speed of Soaring Innovation

According to the latest statistics released by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Bureau of Statistics, as of June 2 1 day, the average price of Shenzhen property market was 15487 yuan/square meter, which was 1264 yuan higher than that in May, with an increase of 14.6%, making it the highest in the country again. Compared with the average house price of 9384 yuan per square meter in 2006, the increase actually exceeded 70%.

Among them, the average transaction price of new houses in Nanshan District has now reached nearly 22,000 yuan per square meter. The reason for the surge is mainly stimulated by the opening of Shenzhen Bay Bridge in July 1 and the customs clearance of Xingang. This Shenzhen-Hong Kong Western Corridor connects Nanshan District in Shenzhen and Yuen Long District in Hong Kong. The property price in Nanshan District is fully fermented by the concept of "Shenzhen-Hong Kong integration". According to Hong Kong real estate industry insiders, the price of some ordinary houses in New Territories West of Hong Kong is only 20,000 yuan per square meter. At present, the real estate environment is not as good as Shenzhen.

On the other hand, the latest statistics of Shenzhen Local Taxation Bureau show that in the first five months of this year, Shenzhen's real estate market was active, and most of the transactions were new buildings built within five years, with a total tax revenue of 4.984 billion yuan (excluding deed tax), accounting for 19.6% of the city's total tax revenue. It is estimated that this tax will exceed 654.38+000 billion yuan in the whole year.

Shenzhen property prices are close to Hong Kong.

According to the information of professional organizations, if the house price in Hong Kong is converted into square meters, the cheapest low-priced house in remote areas is probably HK$ 654.38 +0.5 million per square meter; Ordinary Hong Kong residents live in a small apartment of 50 to 80 square meters, which costs about 20,000 to 30,000 Hong Kong dollars per square meter. High-end houses or apartments with good location, about 50 thousand to 70 thousand Hong Kong dollars per square meter; The more luxurious mansions and hilltop villas in Taiping Mountain range from HK$ 6,543,800+to HK$ 200,000 per square meter.

Shenzhen, separated by a bridge, has a total area of only 2020 square kilometers and a population of10 million. In 2007, there were134,000 sets of commercial housing, with a construction area of 1 1.97 million square meters; 47,600 policy-oriented housing units were built, with a construction area of 2.48 million square meters. Policy housing is only higher than commercial housing 1/3. It is estimated that 1 18000 sets of commercial housing will be built in 2008, with a construction area of 1054000 square meters; We will build 38,800 policy-oriented housing units with a construction area of 2.04 million square meters. Policy housing is less than commercial housing 1/3. According to the statistics of Shenzhen Municipal Government, the per capita disposable income in Shenzhen in 2006 was 22,567 yuan, with an average of 188 1 yuan. The per capita income of Hong Kong is more than five times that of Shenzhen.

Figures show that at present, the average price of new sites in Shenzhen Special Economic Zone has exceeded 20,000 yuan/square meter, and high-end properties are nearly 40,000 yuan/square meter. In Luohu District, the highest price of 50,000 yuan/square meter is almost equal to that of Yuen Long, a suburb of Hong Kong. With the favorable fundamentals of the property market, Buji District is changing the traditional concept of low price in one fell swoop. The average opening price climbed from 7,000 yuan/square meter in April to 1.4 million yuan/square meter in July. In these short 90 days, the price has increased by nearly 90%, which is creating a new speed in Shenzhen.

Hong Kong people can't afford to buy a house in Shenzhen.

At the end of June, a property called "Pure Waterfront" near Happy Valley in Futian District, Shenzhen reached its peak. A villa with a unit price of more than 73 million yuan was sold here, and the price per square meter was as high as 6.5438+0.4 million yuan. "That villa earned 654.38 million yuan on commission alone." The lady of the intermediary company pointed to the "pure waterfront" artificial lake surrounded by green trees and said that the villa was basically sold out.

According to the international statistics of home ownership, from June 5438 to May this year, Hong Kong people bought about 5,000 properties in Shenzhen, with an estimated turnover of 3.4 billion yuan. A number of people in the industry said in an interview that more and more Hong Kong people buy houses in Shenzhen for investment purposes, accounting for about 40% at present, and the proportion used for self-occupation has declined. With the rise of housing prices in Shenzhen, prices have become less and less motivated for Hong Kong people to buy houses.

The latest statistics show that during the period of1-May this year, Hong Kong people bought about 5,000 houses in Shenzhen, with a turnover of about 3.4 billion yuan. From the sale of many properties in Shenzhen to Hong Kong in the first quarter of this year, it can be seen that the number of Hong Kong people buying houses in Shenzhen has decreased. Some Hong Kong people said that they can't afford to buy a house in Shenzhen and will invest in other cities in the Pearl River Delta in the future.

Can the new tax policy scare speculators?

Shenzhen is about to introduce a new tax policy to regulate the property market, and it will take time to scare off speculators. The reporter learned from Shenzhen Land and Resources Bureau that the policy of collecting 20% income tax based on the evaluation price was officially introduced in September. The evaluation agency will be composed of the Land and Resources Bureau and the Local Taxation Bureau, and the evaluation price will be determined by multiple indicators such as area, orientation and recency.

According to the intermediary, what they are most worried about is the policy of taxing according to the evaluation price after August 1. If the policy is put in place, the crackdown will be very obvious. According to reports, in the face of the new policy of "collecting 20% income tax according to the assessed price", the final winner will face problems left over from history, not only the 20% price difference, but the "sudden death" of years of "debt". Some market analysts said, "For investors, joining real estate speculation now will face great risks.

I think I dropped it again. seemingly